00:38 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Here we go. All right, five o'clock on a Monday, you know the drill let's hit the books. Part of the Hammer Betting Network sponsored by FanDuel. Alongside the man, the myth, the legend himself, joey Kanish, producer extraordinaire, zach Phillips, I'm really Brad Powers.
00:57
Before we get into your questions, comments, concerns, before we recap the college football playoff semifinals, before we give an early look at the national championship game between Ohio State and Notre Dame, let me remind everybody that Hit the Books is indeed brought to you by FanDuel and while we're approaching and it's bittersweet, we're approaching the last college football game of the season, it's one final time to make every moment more with FanDuel, america's number one sportsbook. Love FanDuel, whether it's betting national championship, props, side totals, team totals, first quarter, second quarter, halftime, you name it Love FanDuel. In fact, if you want to start getting an early peek at the 2026 college football season, fanduel is your one-stop shop for college football. Right now, fanduel has you covered for the national championship with a 30% PBT for the opportunity to increase your winnings PBT profit boost token. You can use that PBT on spreads, lie bets, overs, unders, so much more. What you need to do is visit FanDuelcom slash hit the books to download America's number one sports book. That's FanDuelcom slash, hit the books.
02:02
Disclaimer you must be 21 plus and present in select states, or 18 plus and present in DC. Opt-in required bonus issued as a non-withdrawable profit boost. Token Restrictions apply, including any token expiration. See terms at SportsbookFanDuelcom. Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit RG slash. Helpcom. Kanish, how was your weekend?
02:19 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Not a bad weekend. You know what Actually took in a decent amount of NFL, so you know what A little chilly around here. Little football in weekend, can't complain and bring on the commies. Yeah, that was nice. You know what you say, careful what you ask for, but I like playing Washington a lot better than, uh, the vikings rams winner yeah, I would agree with that.
02:49 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Uh and uh, yeah, I think. Uh, the the spread says that with the lions favored, took some money up to nine, nine and a half, I think.
02:57 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Probably some teaser protection there from the sports books I was gonna say how many Chiefs Lions teasers are going to be out there this weekend. Hashtag who blows it? Because, yeah, that is going to be a.
03:10 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
It's too easy. But I mean, how can you not bet it? I don't know.
03:18 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I don't know. I can't make a great case either way for the opposite side. I can't make a great case either way for the opposite side. I even liked I mean, as I tell you the story, the one game I couldn't watch and I was offline was for most of Denver Buffalo. I said on the show, bet Regret was not getting Denver at 10. They go right down the field and score. I'm like can't effing believe I missed that number. What an idiot they're. So live in this game. I'm off my phone for like two hours. Pick it back up. They never scored again. Yeah, it led first day 31-7. I was like, oh well, maybe, uh, maybe, I saved myself some money there from uh, not getting that. So yeah, you't alone.
04:02 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
That one got down to seven and a half. A lot of good on that one Yikes Seems like a lot of the obvious stuff won in the NFL. I would say it was definitely.
04:14 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I even squared it up with I pull. Yeah, I just went straight Fez with Eagles money line, Although they went that was more turnovers, that was just that was a rough game.
04:26 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, that was a rough one wasn't a lot, I mean outside of obviously washington tampa beta close it out.
04:33 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
That wasn't the the best uh weekend of uh great nfl action, but no I will say, as far as non-lions nfl games are concerned, though, bills, bills, ravens.
04:45 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Oh, that's as good as it gets. I mean, that's more like an AFC championship game, just not a divisional game. Excited for that one. Yeah, I'm into that one too.
04:54
That's the first playoff game that I'm like. All right, that's must watch for me, because I was watching high school football over the weekend and re-watching the semifinal, the college football semifinals. I did not watch a full game of the NFL playoffs, it just caught highlights. Let's get to the chat Stars of the show. It looks like they're wanting some questions answered. Well, you want to see?
05:17 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
We weren't on for Ohio State. No, we weren't. What's your thoughts the Ohio State to do?
05:23 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
No, we weren't. What's your thoughts?
05:25 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
The Ohio State Texas game. I will say and it's funny, there's no the box scores for this Like if you look at just Quinn Ewers box scores you'd be like you know, good season, pretty good game. And I feel like if they had just a little bit more like, a little bit more like a little bit another bump in quarterback, play, a few boneheaded start calls, but Texas was right there. I mean their defense played, I think, as well as you could possibly ask for against that Ohio State offense.
05:57 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
With the exception of the stupid-ass defense of the game plan. Yeah, the screen plan.
06:03 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, the worst screen uh defense in history.
06:07 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
But yeah, I agree, they played about as well as you could. I mean, I agree with this, the yours. There's just something he just doesn't have, that like I know what's the word dog juice like I don't know, like sometimes you know he, his mechanics go awful.
06:24 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Sometimes he flings a lot of balls on the even the times he was stepping up in the pocket he was like stepping up into pressure a number of times. I don't know, man, I think Texas will be better off next year If Arch is as good as we're thinking he could be. I think they'll be better next year without him yeah, the missed opportunity for texas missed opportunity.
06:49 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I mean, they're gonna regret that one when it's all, because that's it.
06:52 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I with the way. No, I mean, as we said, I think the winner of that game's a national champion. Uh, especially with some of the things that notre dame's dealing with the injury wise, um, and so, man, that's it. I agree that's it's hard with the injury wise, and so, man, that's it. I agree that's. It's hard to get that close and have that kind of game and not get there.
07:12 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Charles in the chat. Thanks for a great year, fellas. The odds are being posted now. Please give us the 2026 national championship winner right now. No changing your answer allowed for the rest of the year I got. Yet I mean I, uh, obviously I mean texas we just mentioned. Penn state's had an interesting day, to say the least. Lose time. Alan dc looks like singleton and alan are both back, but uh, last I checked james franklin and drew aller back, so I'm not betting penn state. Uh, I don't know yet. That is so early for me even.
07:48 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah it's the type of market where it's not one of those rush to market things, especially in the playoff era. Yeah, I agree.
07:59 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
It's one of the best pricing on the Georgians and the Ohio States of the world during this season.
08:03 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah. So I'm with you where, like you can. It's just one of the and it's not like, oh, you know, college basketball or some of these don't. We're like, oh, we'll find this hundred to one. That might I mean you might find one of those that, like, they'll make the playoff, a boise state and arizona state, but do they really have a chance to, you know, make it through games, especially with the reseeding that's likely for next year?
08:27 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
So it's another one where I'm much more interested as far as futures in the yes, no playoff market. Yeah, so that'll be my answer for those questions for the next three months, of course, if I feel like I got a good read on a team after on a team, after the portal settles down here in the next couple weeks, the NFL early draft, I get a better handle on that. Recruiting gets finalized, I mean, probably a month from now I'll be able to have a better gauge. Mason Bryant in the chat, early thoughts on the Natty line. Saw Indy take some money over the weekend. I don't know. I think it's a power ratings wise, I understand why Notre Dame took money.
09:10 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Matchup wise, I don't. I don't think it's a good matchup for Notre Dame. I don't think so either. Yeah, I'm a little surprised. I mean there's flat eights out there. I tell you what ticks down any lower Joey K, I'll have some juice, seven, and then that's even with having some Ohio State exposure here on the money line. Just like on the money line, we'll call it the national championship line. So yeah, I'm with you. I don't think and you can make a case that I know there was some sharp money in the Texas six, six and a half out there. That should they have covered. Yeah, I'll give it that. I agree with you on this matchup and just the way Ohio State's growing, I don't see them keeping pace. So yeah, I know some guys.
09:58 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I'm looking to bet Ohio State alternatives.
10:01 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, no, I'm with you, I just I yeah, it's going gonna be ugly.
10:08 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I won't even watch it so I won't. So I did people laugh at that. I won't especially with herbie and fowler on the call be horrific. Uh, it's gonna be a long. It's gonna be one of the worst days of my life. I'm already not looking forward to it and I part of me wishes we would have lost Penn State, mason Miller how does the Chiefs Ohio State teaser lose? It doesn't. Will Howard gets hurt. They have five turnovers. I mean that's Notre Dame's hope is like the stuff you used to see in college football and college basketball, like the 80s and 90s. Then I would say I mean you used to see upsets, you just don't see them anymore.
10:51 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I mean four or five turnovers you know willis mcgahee blowing out his knee, type of thing. That's what need to happen. I will say, of the chiefs lions, ohio state, if I had to pick one to lose chiefs, it would be the chiefs yeah I agree, I agree with that.
11:02 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
It would be the Chiefs. Yeah, I agree, I agree with that. Jason, what are we teasing the Rams with? I don't like the Rams teaser as much. Now I don't know what the distractions and the venue change. I mean, yeah, it's a typical Wong teaser, but where are you at on that game tonight?
11:20 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I did play. So there was a shop that I was able to get, you know, like a 3-1-20. All right, so I just numbers-wise, I thought that again I don't love it, but, yeah, played that Again. I agree with you that there's more variance in the game now with the venue location, the venue location change, where what's la been dealing with that type of thing. But I I just thought if that price was pretty, you know, I was five or ten cents better than, uh, you know what I would have thought in terms of a market price there. So, yeah, that's it not a huge bet? Um, just. But again.
12:03 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I mean Rams to the Lions, rams to the Buckeyes. Looks like are we going to be able to Wong tease the Bills when it's all said and done? I was going to say it.
12:15 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I mean there's, yeah, it's trending. That way Looks like a couple spots already.
12:19 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Have it right now.
12:19 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah.
12:20 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Interesting. Lots of options, dt, plus the points BP thought you gave up on being an Irish fan. What gives I know, but want to hear it. I mean, I just that was after the Buckeye game last year. Can you imagine after this year's game? I mean, it's just.
12:39 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
It's the same guy that said he wouldn't bet any regular season wins this year. That same guy said he won. You're gonna be, I know that first quarter when it's three and out ohio state uh I ain't gonna watch it. I cannot watch it like a leprechaun in that living room I hope that.
12:55 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I mean, if there's one game I could have my entire life, it'd be this one. Not gonna happen, though, charles in the chat. Any Joey Aussie, open locks, you bet tennis.
13:07 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I was moving some tennis for a guy for a little while, but we mostly did some of the lower level tennis or like the qualifiers in these. The big tennis is a grind, Hard to beat. So, yeah, a little bit. No Aussie yoke. I used to do some tennis future stuff too but honestly I've been out of the scene. It's tough to bet this is two in the weeds. But because of some match fixing or court siding at lower levels of tennis, it's now become quite hard if you're not in Europe or somewhere to actually bet some of these smaller for good reasons. But yeah, so no, I haven't been in the tennis scene too often so I don't even have a good Aussie open. I'll ask my Joel Joey Isaacs, he lies a tennis fiend. So I'll ask my old Joey Isaacs, he's a tennis fiend. I'll have it for the Friday show. When does that actually start?
14:10 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
You got me man. That's crazy. Aussie Open. I don't know the chat knows. Got any Joey Pucks on that front.
14:31 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
The only Pucks we had today uh was king's puck line, around minus 145. I think they were the oilers tonight, so king's puck line was the only uh I don't not be minus one, 45.
14:45 - Zack Phillips (Announcement)
You know you got a bad number there. We're a double best bet on that one, though that's what I was going to say and that's why I'm dropping in.
14:51 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
What else is that your cap?
14:53 - Zack Phillips (Announcement)
Uh, we have Kings money. Oh wait, you went puck line on Kings on that one. Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, okay, we went Kings Moneyline plus 164.
15:02 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Okay, no, yeah, yeah, no. I didn't.
15:06 - Zack Phillips (Announcement)
I realized as soon as it pulled up on there yeah, got Flames, blackhawks under six minus 110 and Flyers.
15:14 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Moneyline plus 156. There. There we go. Yep, Some negative CLV. What the hell is going on?
15:19 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Oh, look at that More like hashtag. Was that an Auburn pick? Oh, look at that More like hashtag. Was that an Auburn pick? Hashtag no edge work.
15:29 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
No, but yeah. Kings collab tonight Started two days ago. Yeah, well, that tells you, spencer, in the chat, will Howard over rush yard Saw some design runs for him against Texas. No need for them to save his legs anymore. I agree. I think that's the direction to go there.
15:43 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Have you bet any uh props yet? I would lean that, but I don't know if he I mean chip is. They've been stingy with the designs runs and 11 and a half was you know, sack yardage and the sack.
15:56 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yardage is what gets.
15:57 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
That's why I prefer the rush attempts.
15:59 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
The same thing with, you know, the riley leonard didn't get there, even though his rush attempts was like what? Six over and yet the yard, the rush yards, didn't get there because right, right, right.
16:07 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
So yeah, I'm, I'm not there on 11 and a half. It's not enough. It's not enough volume for the design runs and there's it hasn't really been doing any like um they're gonna even need it.
16:20 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I mean, I don't think that's the other thing.
16:22 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Like when you get back and you're throwing it 40 times, you know there might be some like over deep coverage quarters or something where you can step up in the pocket and get some yardage off script. He doesn't. I don't think they're going to really do that much so.
16:36 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
And they're the favorite. I mean the big favorites, so there's also a decent chance of him kneeling at the end of the game, right well, I don't think kneels come off the college football rushing yardage total are you serious? Yeah, I don't just this is.
16:55 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
We literally there's. I'm in a college football with like eight guy, all insane college football people and we just came to that conclusion. There was a game, one of the bowl games, where the guy kneeled it a few times and it doesn't come off the rushing yard at total in college. Pros yes, College no, All right. But college sacks come off, Pros no. So I don't know.
17:15 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I do not know that You're giving me stuff that I had no idea.
17:18 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I know I was like yeah, I just confirmed that too Are you serious?
17:22 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
They do not All right, wow, I'm stunned. Makes me look like an idiot more than usual Looking here. Mason, if you think the market is right, it makes sense to tease away from that through seven and three, assuming you can get good juice. Yeah, it's just one teaser, right? Is that what he's talking about?
17:44 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, I mean uh, yeah it's just one teaser, right?
17:45 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
is that what he's talking about? Uh, yeah, I mean, obviously it's been priced out on the nfl markets at most books, that's the.
17:52 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
The issue, mason is even so, if you think the market, like if you think eight and a half is bang on, you're getting it through. Obviously the three and the seven but one you're doing that with, you're having to correlate that with or put that with another game and to the juice now that you're paying for it very rarely can find minus 120 one out of 10 books now yeah, where you know you used to get minus 110 everywhere.
18:16
Now minus 120 is hard to find and anything. Once you get to like minus 130, the math doesn't work anymore.
18:22 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
So it doesn't. Long-term it doesn't. But I think some of these playoff games, somebody's going to have to run them numbers, cause you would think that they're a little bit. I mean more liquid and less variance, right Playoff games no that's fair. All right, my team typically doing 125. Maybe it was still okay. Sean Hicks, I'm here for the Hit the Books insurance condition edition.
18:44 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, yeah, I was going to say, hey, listen, if you want, if you want, this is like insurance and support. That's why so many there's like crossover between insurance actuaries and like sports bettors is it's kind of you're basically booking risk, right Insurance is basically a book booking risk, right Insurance is basically a book risk. So if you want to go open a company in California or Florida and offer below market rates to ensure these you know massive multimillion dollar homes for under what that? That there's an opportunity for you. That's why nobody's doing it, because it doesn't work anymore. The math doesn't work. There's too much risk and not enough. So yeah, I know that's my uh, you know, hashtag state farm ran for the day I know an act.
19:27 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
A former actuary know of him well I know, that's what I'm saying uh, flashbacks to that guy's something else now he's a?
19:38
uh starbucks connoisseur. Uh, jacob murphy, any notre dame? Uh, injury updates. Well, I mean left tackle is going to be out. Anthony knapp, uh, the freshman that started all season, he's not going to play.
19:52
I'm anxious to see what they do. I would kick out jagasaw, who was supposed to be the original starting tack, left tackle for him but was out for the entire season until another injury uh happened at right guard with spindler out of the orange bowl. Then he came in and obviously I mean I thought jagas saw the charles jagas saw his name. I thought he graded out to be the best offensive lineman in that orange bowl game, but he was pretty gassed after playing a couple quarters makes sense, he hadn't played all season. So but I just think toosh Baker is the left tackle. If you watched him in the game. I mean he's not a power four left tackle, just can't play it. I mean he able to apply pressures and a little over a half. So I'm anxious to see what they do. But I would kick, not that I'm an offensive line expert, but I'd kick Jagas off the left tackle. You can't have Tosh Baker playing the whole game.
20:45 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I mean it could ruin the game for him.
20:46 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Jeremiah Love, I think will be okay. I mean he actually looked, not that I mean he's 100%, but I thought he was. He surprised me that he was able to carry it 11 times against.
20:56 - Zack Phillips (Announcement)
Penn State.
20:56 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, I agree, and that touchdown run, even though it was two yards, was pretty freaking impressive. He's leaping over guys and stuff, so he was healthier than I expected. Other than that, I mean they're just banged up six, seven starters out. I mean again why we like Ohio State here. It's just it's not going to be a good game in my opinion, unless you're a Buckeye fan or a Buckeye better. Ryan's sitting on a 12-1 Notre Dame ticket from the start of the playoffs. Anything you guys would do to hedge or just pray for an outlier game, well, it always comes down to is it life-changing money? If it's not, I'm always a let it ride type of guy. Do you really love Ohio State, like me? I already bet. I mean, I got a Notre Dame 33-1 ticket and I've already went over the top and then some on Ohio State money line.
21:44 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, I'm usually with you on this. This one, ryan, I don't hate like at least taking yourself, you know, a little minor, whatever you can find, cheapest money line you could find on that one to get. If we're talking again situation, uh, you know a disclaimer that, like you know, whatever your yeah, life changing money, as you say, what, however much price, I don't mind, you know, laying whatever to at least get your wrist back or, when you know, ensure a little profit in that. Because if I again, if we thought notre dame was more live in this game, then yeah, then I'd say let it ride. The other thing you could do is, again, in games where I feel it's a little bit more the result in doubt, maybe you look to live trade. If Notre Dame can go up a score 7-0, you can come back and then get a lot more equity out of your price there. But if they go down 14-0, then you get it.
22:41
Which I mean.
22:42 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Ohio State's gotten out to fast starts in these yeah.
22:44 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
So yeah, that's one that if it was me and I'm sitting on, uh, you know, call it a thousand to win 12 000 or something like that I'm probably putting 5k on ohio state money line um yeah, I will say this.
22:57 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
It is one of those events where sometimes you can get it a cheaper money line on the favorite. So I would wait If you're looking to bet on a hedge back on Ohio state money line. Sometimes on game day you can get a pretty cheap price at a square book.
23:10 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
That's a great variety of reasons.
23:11 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I mean event. I mean it's not you don't have. It's probably as strong of an effect as a super bowl, but still this Ohio state it championship game. Notre Dame's cashed what? 11 times in a row with the public. Anybody who's been betting Notre Dame football since September has been cashed every single ticket. I do think. Wait until game day. You might find out that, relative speaking to the point spread, you might find a pretty cheap money line out there.
23:35 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I agree Because people be like see Notre Dame 3-1? Yeah, it's one of those where a lot of books will be. You know, heavy one way on, you know underdog money line now you might get an extra 25, 30 cents. Honestly for sure, I would wait I agree with that strongly you guys want some tennis oh yeah, do we have a tennis?
23:56 - Zack Phillips (Announcement)
show. We got it. We got a tennis guy knish. We have a mutual tennis guy, round robin 42. I texted him and I said I said you got any tennis? And he just spammed my messages with a bunch of shit.
24:11 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I said okay, I do well yeah, so uh got me uh the boot from the certain play doing uh you know 80 guy round robin yeah okay.
24:21 - Zack Phillips (Announcement)
So here's, uh, here's an sgp. These are both on fan duel. I said you better give us some fan duel stuff. He did uh. First one is monfils set one winner and pericard money line to win the match match. I don't fucking know what these things are called.
24:38
I don't know if you guys he just sends me stuff and I'll bet it. But yeah, there you go that, that one plus 402, and then, if you don't want, uh, the bigger, the four to one. He did also send this one. Total games in barrettini v nori over 38 and a half minus 118, holy cow that's in the weeds. Those are the ones he he sent, so I don't know If this wins. Yeah, this is me, I did brought this to you. If it loses, round robin 42 on Twitter.
25:10 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Just direct your hate at him. Jweb77, 777, oklahoma 75-1. No way, have you seen the schedule? I think it's more likely they have a losing season than a winning one. Go look at the schedule and tell me no chance. I think it's more likely Venables is fired at some point in the season.
25:34 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I like it.
25:35 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I'll tell you what if our buddy Mike is in there. He'll let us know. He'll probably say 10-2,. But no, look at that schedule. I mean there's no chance I'll book more than 75 to one. I can tell you that right now, johnstuff, cam Ward a lock for first pick. Hit it now, before it's minus 1,000. Where are you at on that?
26:00 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I don't think it's a lock. I will tell you that.
26:03 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I just saw one where he didn't go. It was Abdul Carter.
26:11 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, I don't really have a great feel. I haven't even placed any wagers either on the early draft stuff. You know what, if it was a stronger quarterback class, you'd say, all right, yeah, there's a number one guy, but I don't know um, I I will. We'll hopefully have some, you know shows on that, but I don't have anything on the the number one pick yet, I think, waiting to get a little clearer picture. I haven't even taken any bullets at, uh, you know, some of the longer shots, because I'm not sure it's. It's very, very up in the air at the moment.
26:46 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Uh-oh, tailgate tent. You know this guy. Can you guys give us loyal listeners a future win? Total bet for 2025?.
26:56 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Well, the Are you going to give?
26:57 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
us. I'm not saying nothing, I'm not getting.
27:00 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I was going to say the Mr I'm not doing win totals next year might have already fired on a couple I might have fired on a few already, but that's different than getting out there to the public.
27:14 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
There's some things you keep close to the vest.
27:17 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
A couple people asked about a few, but Vanduul did as we see. Put up some.
27:22 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, if you want to take a peek at them. I'm not going to again, I'm not going to try to ruin the market, because I mean the heat that I got this past year. Not that I mean you should have celebrated that. I ruined the market because, hell, I didn't win. I mean, did I win? No, I mean on these win totals. So you should be happy if I changed it a half, your favor, so. But yeah, there's some what looks like nine win totals out there. Yeah, already, fanduel, your one-stop shop. Look at that. Look at the michigan wolverines that's I mean.
27:51 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
What is that that?
27:52 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
one, that one I thought was about right, yeah, I thought that was about right too.
27:56 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I mean, I would have made it 11 flat, but so I mean there's, they're out there for the.
28:04 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
you know, nine of the more interesting teams out there Got the buck guys.
28:08 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Penn state, texas, uh, you know so this one, this was not BP influenced. Um, uh, but there was a Ohio state I didn't go up in like plus one under 10 and a half, plus one 55 or something like that. Uh, yeah, I took a little under there. I again 155 or something like that.
28:22 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
You went under.
28:24 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, I took a little under there Again, losing a lot off this year's team, texas to open at. Let me make it very simple Texas to open at Michigan 0-2. Gotcha, so they got Penn.
28:40 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
State. They're at Wisconsin, at Washington. It's uh that one seemed right to me.
28:48 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah.
28:48 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
But again it's tough. I mean, are you, are they going to go fully? They just want a title with going 10 and two this year. Are they going to be fully optimal in the regular season? Probably not.
28:56 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
And it's I mean these 11 win seasons when you're in the mega conferences now are it's. It's no much, no longer a cakewalk to get this, plus the some of this. You know the portaling and the depth has taken. You know these like in indiana, where indiana in every year for the last hundred years of college football has been an auto win for michigan and ohio state. Now you got a real football game. So so it's one of those small differences there.
29:26 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
There you go. Best bet from Kanish win total.
29:29 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Under.
29:32 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
There you go, tailgate tent. He'll be blowing us up on Twitter on that. I don't hate it. I will say that I did not send that to you, but I don't hate it. Guy asks hey guys leaning total under in the natty Thoughts? Yeah, I mean I can. Only I mean these two teams have. They've been dead nut unders the last two years. With these two teams I don't see Notre Dame's offense having much success.
29:57 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
No, I'm with you, you know. You could tell me Ohio State, you know 38-7, so it goes under.
30:06 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, I was just going to say that exact score 38-7. That'll be my prediction. You want a prediction?
30:12 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Should we put in an exact score ticket there 38-7?.
30:18 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Zach, pull up the alternate lines. That's what we'll do. An alternate line Buckeyes minus 27.5. Where are we at here? That's got to be Notre Dame or no? That's Buckeyes, that's yeah. Let's yeah go down, you guys. There we go, keep going, keep going, there we go. 27 and a half plus 630, there you go. I know you guys want to bet a little to win a lot. There you go. That's my prediction. Pain, it's going to be awful.
30:51 - Zack Phillips (Announcement)
I don't like this at all. Pp, I know you guys want to bet a little to win a lot.
30:53 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
There you go. That's my prediction. Pain, it's going to be awful. I don't like this at all. Pp, this is fucking nuts. Tell me what gives you hope. There's no hope here.
30:58 - Zack Phillips (Announcement)
We're going to the national title game, year one. I'm happy for the future of the team.
31:04 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I just hate this matchup for them, I mean if they're playing Texas, I'd feel better. It's not looking good. I'm happy they overachieved, beat Georgia, beat Penn State Three playoff wins Very happy they got to play Ohio State Sucks, I'd be happier if they're playing Michigan or just somebody other than I hate Ohio State so much.
31:25
I don't hate Ohio State, I hate the fans. The one thing I give Herbie a lot of crap. He's right about the Ohio State lunatic fringe. You have no idea. I know a lot of fan bases are bad. The Buckeyes I've always said this it's fitting that their mascot is a nut, because that's what the fan base is Total nut. It's bad Jacob, mean it's. It's bad Jacob. Murphy. Howard touchdown plus three 70.
31:57 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Don't hate it. I, like I said I I'm not as keen on the Howard stuff, just as they have not really put it out of the bag this much, and I don't, I think they've kind of protected them for most of the year. So there there was a couple. I mean when there was a high leverage decision versus Texas, I know they used it, but it's just not enough volume for me to want to play him anytime TV or in that.
32:16 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Paul Bowman in the chat. This is fitting Cause my dad always called him this. I'm an Ohio Buckeye. Fans are the biggest cry babies.
32:30 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
He used to. My dad would tell you cry baby Buckeyes. I mean they just you get. Here's the thing. And this is like they haven't.
32:33
There's been a generation of like literally from like zero to sit that they've never had a down year like there is no, every program Michigan, bama, georgia, like has had like a bottom out, like where they blow you know, like a three win season or four season. It's never happened to Ohio State since, like World War I or whatever. So you have like every person that's alive, from zero to 65, that expects it's like if they don't win you know 10 games or 11 games or 12 games or a Big Ten championship or national championship. People are pissed.
33:05 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, I know, I just need to enjoy it, like every year, and they don't. They're miserable and it's just like I don't understand it. So there will still be a significant portion of that fan base, even if they win the national championship, that will think it was a disappointing season because they lost to Michigan. Yeah, I mean, no joke, that's just what you're dealing with. But yeah, it should be a good night on Monday. You got any thoughts? Closing thoughts? I mean I ain't got much else. I mean we're down to one game. We gave you a win total best bet already for next year. I don't know, I got nothing. Obviously we're going to do, aren't we doing, like a two-hour show leading into the national time.
33:50 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I think we got a few, maybe a little special Gabbaretto is running this, trying to get a few special guests on here for the lead-in. I think we should have a couple of surprise. I got one.
34:04 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
That'd be nice. How about a couple of?
34:06 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
your prop guys? Yeah, and I'll see if one former YBYB host might make his return to content to give us 10 or 15 minutes or so. All right, yeah, I'll see if a couple of those so yeah, have some fun.
34:24 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
People from competitors, let's get everybody, let's have some fun. So yeah, Is Moreno in charge, or are we allowed to book people ourselves?
34:36 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Well, yeah, I think we could. I mean hey, I don't know.
34:40 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I mean, I don't want to upset. You know who You're in contract disputes, so I don't want to. You know we're in a contract.
34:49 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I know who the people would love to see.
34:50 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
uh is uh your your good buddy blue horseshoe in here, yeah I bet we can get him when I guess tailgate tailgate's not going to do it now that we gave out a win total already for next year.
35:01
Uh, yeah, but grp, that'd be all fun. Yeah, no, your boy. Mr peanut butter, mr Peanut Butter, yeah, peanut Butter. Yeah, that's your boy, not mine. That'd be interesting.
35:15
I got nothing, man, it'll be again. We're going to do like an hour and a half, two hours. Obviously, prop market will be opened up, be more liquid, some other stuff. But I mean, what's not changing, is is and look, I'm not emotionally hedging aside, I just I think it's a bad. I'm talking this is not me being an idiot. Uh, it's just a bad matchup for Notre Dame. I mean, if you look at the teams that have had success against Ohio State this year, they've had a couple, you know a couple guys up front that are 300 plus pounds of defensive tackle, whether it was Nebraska, michigan, texas. They play, you know, obviously cover two, that deep safety, look, they play. Keep everything in front of them, nor name's not like that at all. They're undersized defensive tackle. They play cover one. They play man-to-man more than any team in college football. I mean, you tell me, man-to-man against jeremiah smith that's a recipe, that's a great call by you.
36:04 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Is the man that to the issues that Ohio State's had and when, when Harbaugh brought, like redid, the system to beat Ohio State, it was bringing that NFL zone defense that, uh, that Minter used, that Matt McDonald brought from the Ravens, that Texas used to kind of slow down Smith, and that they don't play a cover. One man-to-man is not. That's how Michigan lost Ohio State by 50.
36:28 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
For you, you know yes, that's how they got killed in those games. So that's when Notre Dame runs Now it's been great for them, but I mean you can't run that against this Ohio State team.
36:39 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
You can't just flip from a cover one man to man team to like, oh, we're going to, and then everybody be crisp on, you know like where to be in the zone. All that Like I mean it was years of reps for Michigan to get good at, or like a full year, like for them to rep it and play it in every game, for them to get good at it, to then be able to even slow down Ohio State.
36:58 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
So, yeah, no, I it's going to be a long night. I just it's just a bad matchup, really bad. Oh well, at least we got there, I guess. Bad, oh well, at least we got there, I guess, I guess.
37:11 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I got nothing. Man, yeah, you got any final thoughts? No, I uh. Yeah, we'll be tuned up for the Natty game and then, uh, you know what Be?
37:16 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I, yeah, I don't know, we're in a contract here. We'll see what happens. But uh, you know, yeah, I don't know, that they don't. Uh, I don't know what the off season schedule. I, I would strongly and I know moretto and pizza man might be watching I would strongly suggest that we take it, you know, a few weeks off. So I mean, uh, I don't think, is that what your game plan was, or are they going to get us right into, uh, college basketball and stuff?
37:41 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
no, yeah, I think we'll have a little bit of a break, let the off-season marinate and then probably be, you know, right around where spring ball starts. Yeah, I would recommend that. And that's probably the bring back. I don't think we'll we'll have to talk if we do any college basketball.
37:59 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
That's not really either of our, not anymore for me. I mean there's again. I mean I got to start looking at next year already. I mean win totals are up. I mean I got to start looking at next year already. I mean win totals are up. I mean I started taking a peek at the portal and recruiting rankings.
38:15 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Maybe we do a bracket show or something like that.
38:17 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, we can do that. That's fun. That's how everybody does that.
38:20 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
We've tried it on this network. People do not care about regular season college basketball anymore, like there is no appetite for that kind of content like anywhere in in the in America. So yeah, we may be some tournament stuff, but not until then.
38:34 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
All right, but until then, until next Monday night, be the super show. Plenty of guests. We're going to do an hour and a half two hours. Break it down, profs, you name it. Some other ways to attack the national championship. We'll have some fun For the man, the myth, the legend himself, joey Knish, producer extraordinaire, zach Phillips. Thank you for all the comments. Questions concerns. We'll talk to you guys next Monday. I'm Brad Powers. You just watched Hit the Books, part of the Hammer Betting Network sponsored by FanDuel. See you next week.