Hit the Books | CFB PLAYOFFS & BOWL SEASON BEST BETS (PT. 2)

2024-12-31

 

 

As college football fans know, there's nothing quite like the unpredictable thrill of bowl season. From nail-biting last-second victories to the unforeseen letdowns of powerhouse teams, the excitement is palpable. In this latest episode of our podcast, we delve into the chaos and strategies of college football bowl season, with a particular focus on the Big Ten and ACC conferences.

 

We begin by reminiscing about the unforgettable energy of game day, from braving the cold for a rivalry game to celebrating a heart-stopping win. This episode encapsulates that enthusiasm as we dissect standout performances and the controversies that defined this year's bowl games. Notably, we explore the contentious decision of a quarterback opting to sit out and Miami's unexpected struggles despite their offensive prowess. The influence of betting strategies on these outcomes is also analyzed, highlighting how they shaped the narrative of this season.

 

Looking ahead, the episode builds anticipation for the much-anticipated showdown between Alabama and Michigan. With Michigan facing significant absences that could tip the balance in Alabama's favor, we explore the implications for their playoff hopes. Other intriguing matchups are also on our radar, including Penn State's strategic maneuvers and the evolving odds in the Arizona State vs. Texas clash. Throughout the discussion, personal anecdotes, such as an honorary mention of Bryant University, enrich the conversation with insights into betting strategies and the ever-changing landscape of college football.

 

Our conversation extends to unraveling the complex web of betting strategies during bowl season. We spotlight key player prop bets and the unique dynamics of games played in unconventional settings, such as baseball stadiums. The impact of the transfer portal and player opt-outs on team dynamics is scrutinized, revealing how astute bettors can leverage market insights for a competitive edge. As college football undergoes transformations with team realignments and shifting recruitment strategies, we ponder the future of programs like Oklahoma in the SEC and the delicate balance between high school recruits and transfers.

 

This comprehensive discussion bridges the exhilaration of college football with the art of strategic betting. Whether you're a die-hard fan or a savvy bettor, this episode offers a deep dive into the nuances of bowl season and the strategic moves that can redefine the game. Join us as we navigate the unpredictable thrills of college football and uncover the betting tactics that could change the landscape of this beloved sport.

 

 

 

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Episode Transcript

00:44 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Here we go All right, five o'clock on a Monday, you guys know the drill let's hit the books, part of the Hammer Betting Network sponsored by FanDuel. Alongside the man Namit, the legend himself, joey Knish, producer extraordinaire Zach Phillips not with us Other prior obligations we said the guy would be in much demand. So we appreciate Jason filling in here, and I'm really Brad Powers. Before we get into your questions, comments, concerns, before we recap a very busy weekend of college football bowl action, before we talk the bowl game going currently, and before we talk New Year's Eve, new Year's Day bowls, let me remind everybody that Hit the Books is indeed brought to you by FanDuel and you can make every moment more during the first ever college football playoffs with a win on FanDuel, america's number one sportsbook. Love FanDuel First to market FBS, fcs, sides, totals, win totals, you name it. Fanduel's got you covered. And right now FanDuel does have you covered with some great offers for the quarterfinal round. 

01:45
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02:33 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Kanish, how was your weekend, buddy? No complaints, no complaints. Uh, you know what? Uh, thank, no, thank you to Green Bay. Uh, for now. Uh, making next week. Uh, in all or nothing, give it Lions-Vikings, you know so. Can't count on the people, the packed people, for anything but college football couldn't complain. Little Lions on Monday night tonight in a game that doesn't mean anything anymore, and bowl season playoff continues on here. So, yeah, we've got a pretty good one going at the moment, a lot more scoring than you would have thought. 

03:09 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, and we hedged out. We had Mizzou originally minus two and a half. We took Iowa. It was that plus three on Friday or either Saturday show, thinking the Iowa would end up being the right side Market. Agreed with that. With Iowa, what closing one. 

03:23 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, yeah, and then it looks like I think Weez, theo Weez, is out for the rest of the game. 

03:29 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
But I mean, missouri did just go down and scored, so a good one Big Ten performing well so far, the only non-covers, the only game that seems to be talked about Indiana not deserving to be there, but every other Big Ten's covered Best bets. I think we're what? 6-6. Now we did not have a good Saturday. Bc Boy BC had high trips inside the 35-yard line in Nebraska zero points. 

03:54 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
That one hurt. 

03:55 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
And the Arkansas game was you know what? Out in front of a 7.5-point move. No shot. There we hedged the Miami game. I'm glad we did. Uh, an NC State oof. 

04:08 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
The misery of the ACC continues, what oh yeah, that was one, you know, right by, as that was getting closer to kickoff, I was like uh, uh we were greedy on that one. 

04:19 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
We shouldn't have given that out. We're just giving out the. What was it? The trading at seven across the board? 

04:24 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
yeah, yeah, at six and a half no, I agree, um, do you have any? I? This has been the online discourse of the. Everybody gets mad about everything nowadays, which I am guilty of sometimes as well. The cam ward sitting, the second half thing like who I don't know. 

04:41 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I don't know. I thought that was already like I know. 

04:46 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
People were like oh my God, how could he quit on his team? The guy played a half. How many quarterbacks would have even played in that game in the last 10 years in the NFL draft. 

04:57 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I'm sure he got paid to play. 

04:59 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I'm sure too. 

05:01 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I don't have a problem with how it went down. We kind of thought there was much more than a greater than 0% chance of it happening. Preflop we said, hey, he might not play the whole game. He's going to play, but maybe not the whole. I understand Miami wanting to get a good look at their quarterback yeah, and they probably got a good enough to look to say we need to go out and get this quarterback. 

05:22 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah to find us a portal guy. Yeah, man, I tell you what you want to talk about missed opportunities. I think that Miami offense was the best offense in the country and you don't make the playoff. You don't win a bad ACC Like what did you? 

05:41 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
You don't win the Pop-Tarts Bowl. 

05:42 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, yeah, you get a brown cinnamon sugar Pop-T tart. You know opening up on you that. You know that that while you lose to all Iowa state there at the, that was a missed opportunity because for the money they were spending, if you just even had a decent defense, that's a team that should have been in the playoff. 

06:02 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
It should have been a team that could have won at one or two playoff Right. 

06:08 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Right, and I mean you have been in the playoff, uh, and it should have been a team that could have won at one or two playoff, right, right, and I mean you're gonna have a top five, maybe the number one overall pick with uh, you know things are and yeah, yeah, that was disappointing. Uh, if you're a miami fan, you gotta gotta have a bad taste in your mouth the way that season came to close and could have been worse too. 

06:20 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Fortunate in the cow game. Fortunate against virginia. Tech boy, I, we'll see. They got a. They got a tough one to open up. Next year, we'll see. Yep, I can't wait for that one your boy mario. 

06:32 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I don't know, uh yeah, they're in trouble. 

06:34 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I gotta also question when you put 20 million dollars into a team and that's your roi, are they going to be willing to spend that much again that? I'm guessing a few people probably won't be. I wouldn't be. 

06:47 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
That's like the unspoken thing of NIL, where you know you see these numbers thrown around and it's like you have to go. It's not like you know where the NFL salary cap. You know you're getting that much. You have to like go continually go to these donors and come back Like if you're Ohio state, you lose this game, you've lost it. And you have a few big donors that are like I'm not supporting this right, like I'm not supporting this anymore, I'll give you money when you switch coaches. And then it's like, well, now we don't have 20 million, now we got 10. 

07:16 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
So that's something we're going to have to look into. I wish they drew, but I actually think, from what I'm hearing, congress is going to step in and there's going to be like $20 million available At least $20 million on the books. 

07:29 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, it seems that way They've also got to get the. 

07:33 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
The portal's got to be fixed. 

07:35 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
It has to, but this is where we're going. I know we get on. This is our People, we love this sport and so we get on these tangents. But you can't. Every case that the NCAA gets taken to trial, they lose. So it's like everything just keeps unwinding, like the juco laws, the portal movement, the one-time transfer, loss, loss, loss, loss. And so now it's like, oh you just anybody could sue them and get an extra year. I could be like you know what, joey K? I walked on Ann Arbor's campus a few times. I want another year and they be. Oh yep, you win, see you at ball camp. 

08:14 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I think contracts will help, uh like actual well, where you have less of it. But I man, caa pretty much fails to exist anymore, right yeah, at least in football. 

08:24 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
like there's no, they have no, yeah, it's like a sport just being on its own right now. Um, I don't know, I don't know how they really solve it. Um, because then it's like what, who are you entering a contract in? What is that going to, you know? Like then, can you transfer, can you break? I don't know. So, but something has to change, because it's just insane right now and like, for the good of the sport, that's not us being like, oh, these stupid kids getting paid, like I don't care about paying players, but to have just like mass free agency every year. 

08:58 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Oh, mass free agency every semester. Hell, I can't, yeah. 

09:05 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Spring. Oh, I don't like where I'm at a transfer out. I mean, come on now. I mean there has to. Like you're, you're taking away, like the, the, like the, the sport at its core of like being part of a team working towards a goal together. Like that. Even sports that have player movement um, you know, pro sports have that. Now it's like, yeah, they got to be careful because a lot, of, a lot of old they do it and they're taking the popularity for granted, if I mean I know it's popular right now, but yes nba, I totally agree you, you take this for granted and like then, all of a sudden, people got a lot of options of what they want to watch, so yeah, it's a TV show and people stop. 

09:47 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
and college basketball used to be a lot more popular. Great comp, great comp. 

09:52 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
So in the nineties college bat regular season college ball was like the young bucks won't believe us, but that college basketball used to be a thing and now it's like a month yeah. 

10:05 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
We'll month. Yeah, we'll see. Alright, so that stars the show. We got plenty. We got a whole offseason to talk about it. Stars the show being you guys to chat Jason in the chat he was first. Oh, nfl, we like it, though. It's the Lions. What are the Lions doing tonight? Joey K, I'm leaning under 50. 

10:25 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I agree with the under. Yeah, me too. Uh, that's of the play. I actually made that bet. Um of the the plays that are out the variable. 

10:29 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I like that um I don't want to mess about it well it was, we'll call us. 

10:37 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
People will say, if you got a 50 or better, uh, we're on it. Um, I will say I, I don't. They're the lions and dan. They're not doing any of that sitting, resting, play. I would be shocked, shocked, if they did any of that type of even though game theory, analytic, maybe it's the right call they're not going to do that. 

10:58 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
So not the team that eliminated you. Next year, dan can't wait. He doesn't have that in him and honestly I don't. 

11:07 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I don't know. 

11:08 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
The week before a big game like if that yeah, you don't want to lose your edge yeah, yeah so keep it rolling, keep your edge, win this game, win next week and then you can rest for a week. Uh, I agree. Uh, dealy 23 in the chat. What do you guys make of the Baylor game, trying to decide if and when to middle with an early Baylor bet? Thanks, boys. What do you got on that bet? Do you got three Baylor plus three? I just let it ride. 

11:35 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, me too, Got some Baylor myself. I haven't done much middling in bowl season Just because you know what. 

11:43 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
And we almost middle that iowa state miami game. I thought we were for a minute there I thought we were too. 

11:50 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Um, I, you would. Uh, you know what it's running. You mentioned that wazoo at the close. 

11:55 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Uh, would have been a middle, yeah, but I just I still required them scoring a touchdown with 10 seconds left to do that. Somebody's bitching at me on Twitter. Like you said, it would be good, mf-er, I was telling you for a month about the game and you bet it five minutes before kick and you're crying to me that it didn't cover Jesus. Yeah, I just think I looked at the three-pointer more move size in totals, even if you bet five minutes before kick, like, oh, that line move, somebody point. Or more move size in totals, even if you bet five minutes before kick, like, oh, that line moves, somebody knows something, you're still profiting. So, uh, what does that tell me? There hasn't been a lot of middling opportunities as well as tell me so now, keep your baylor bet. I think it's a good one. There's other people that are on that that I respect, mr. Yeah, mr travis hunter is on that. Uh, johnny, bravo, man, did he? I got you Boy? Did Tent really handicap that appropriately? 

12:47
Did you see the coverage of that BYU-Colorado game? What a disgrace. I mean they're just showing SportsCenter and ESPN. I got to watch what I say. I'm on ESPN tomorrow, wednesday, the main show I'm going to be on, oh, I say, but still, still, it was a disgrace. The only highlight they showed was hunter's touchdown in a game they're getting beat by 30 freaking points. What a, what a joke. Oh, that way, and uh, you listen. Oh, I probably buried the lead another head-to-head yeah, I was gonna say tip the cap. 

13:17 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Another head-to-head that was, that was a b, that was a weld. There was no fluke in that one byu just buried them. 

13:24 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Start to finish. Johnny Bravo. Thoughts on Tez Johnson's longest reception over 23.5. I lean that way. 

13:32 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I lean that way too. You know what I thought his receiving yardage prop was a bit. I was just looking through those in that game. I didn't want to play his up, but in terms of longest reception I like that better than the receiving yardage johnny. So uh, yeah, I don't hate that we'll get to that we might. 

13:50 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
We'll have more thoughts on this rose bowl here in a second. Keep in mind we are doing a half time tomorrow. Big game, huge game. I mean it doesn't get any bigger than alabama michigan. 

14:01 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
We're doing blue bloods, two of the most recent national champs. Yeah, it doesn't, and I this. Michigan roster's in trouble, so I think it's more about the future boy, bryce Underwood, looks good, holy cow. I saw you seen the practice picks of him. 

14:18 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
He's ready to go. Can he play tomorrow? Can he play tomorrow? 

14:21 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Speaker 3 0 1 0. 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0. Watch this. I'd rather see that than what we're going to be throwing out there. I agree with you. I was actually at a casino in town last night running for— Did you finally bet it. 

14:35 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I had to. It's not the best number but bam, it's gone. 

14:38 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Me neither, I didn't. There was a juice 12.5, which I took. I saw you give I. I think they're gonna lose like 40 to 17 or yeah. So maybe not honestly, I just think they get like with the team they're putting out there what would? 

14:55 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
let me ask you this win total. And if you don't know michigan's, you know top eight. What out of their top, if you stack rank their top 10 players, what eight? Nine of them are not playing? Yeah, take them out. What would be the win total on michigan at the start of the season if you took removed these eight guys, eight starters, what would their win total be right, I mean, I'm not even joking though I. 

15:21 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I mean I it would have been, I would have said, like you know, six, but but they only went seven and six with those guys. So, but no, I know I hear what you're saying. I, I'm working like the offense and again, I know their defense was the store and some of those guys I think the defense has some guys in terms of the offense is going to be like, uh, I mean, both backs are out, the left tackle hinton's out, um loveland's out loveland's out our only receiver that caught the ball here's in the portal I mean, I don't know how this, I don't know how we're gonna score 10 points. 

15:58 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I agree uh, I almost said zach, pull that up. I'm so used saying that, jason, can you pull up their team total? I just want to see that, since it's already gotten away from us. As far as I don't see, I agree with you. As far as I don't see, forget scoring. I don't know how they get first downs because Alabama doesn't have that many opt-outs on the defense. A couple guys are injured, but let's see, here Just got to scroll down on fan duel. Uh, nope, nope, yeah, I I'll figure it out. Uh, team total under michigan. 

16:40
Total points 13 and a half oh there it is under, so I wish it was 14. We'd be having a best bet there. Yeah well, I think we didn't get the right price, but I can only look towards. I think it's going to close. I would you be surprised if it closed like 16 and a half 17. 

16:58 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
No, no, no, no I think it's already, it's already leaking that way. Once there was no buy at 14, then I think it next stop 17. 

17:05 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
yeah, guy asked in the chat. Hey guys, total a bit higher on that penn state game. Still, like the under, did we give out the under? I know we talked about, we leaned about it, I don't know. No, I'm not so much on it. 

17:20 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I think Penn State's the side. Yeah, I mean I lean that way, but again, nothing that I would consider best bet territory. Same thing the numbers now it's been leaking up. I mean I saw some 12s out there. I think Penn State's the side. 

17:39 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, me too. I just did a deep dive, spent like an hour on the game Penn State's the side. 

17:44 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
What do you think of that Arizona State? Big move on Arizona State over the weekend. 

17:50 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
All from 14 down to 11.5?. 

17:52 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, I prefer Texas at current oh yeah, oh yeah, current, I agree with you um I guess I understand the 14, although I I don't know man did you? 

18:06 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I honestly think arizona state's in worse shape than boise state, I mean with tyson not playing, and I trust texas's defense more than I do penn state's defense. What are the options here? I don't know. 

18:17 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
This is one I think I'm going to wait Like I don't think any shot. We see a 10 at a flat 11. Are you a go on Texas? 

18:27 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, yeah, me too. Oh, definitely, I might still go. Anyway, as it is, and Arizona State's like talking, we're chirping a little bit. 

18:38 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, I will say old dilly uh, he doesn't mind, uh, he doesn't mind lathering up in those, uh, those, yeah. So I tell you what, if this game this is one of those if this game was at number one, this game was at arizona state they're probably like you you would need about, you know know, like the National Guard on the campus to control the drinking for this one. But this would be a fantastic at-campus game. Same with the Boise game yeah, it would be much better on campus. Yeah, speaking of on-campus drinking. 

19:08 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I see you're, you know. Honorary member of Bryant University. 

19:12 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Oh, yeah, I'm like you know I might be on staff there. Bryant uh, what do they call that? You know I'm going to teach you the course there over at bryant, so yeah, I remember that. 

19:23 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
That's from like two years ago and they framed it. Put it on a banner. 

19:27 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
That's crazy yeah, I didn't know my, you know I was around the sorority houses. Uh, yeah, the sororities and fraternities is that a sororority house too? 

19:36
Taylor, our girl Taylor, had this up in the dorm room. Yeah, the calling card of Bryant. I will say I remember that game so vividly, watching that. There was some kind of like on-court incident where the Bryant students were like waiting to rush the court and those kids were hammered Like you had. It was quite a scene. I think they had one. It was something like they won the first conference title in forever. 

20:03 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
So good for them guy s also asked about north dakota state. I'm not there yet plus four meaning I'm not there yet. As far as wanting to dive in on this one, keep in mind, if you don't like me and Kanish, I'm afraid I got some bad news because you're going to see us tomorrow, you're going to see us on Thursday, you'll see us next Monday, leading into that game. So I'd rather talk as we get closer, because if we talk, people listen and I don't want to talk too much yet on that one. Nick G, any rumors on where the South Dakota State quarterback could be heading? Yeah, I could see. I mean, obviously there will be a market for him. He's not going to follow with the coach to Washington State. They need a quarterback, unless that couch kid is still staying there from Brian. 

20:54 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Have you heard? 

20:55 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
anything, he played pretty well. Speaking of kids playing hard, I mean these kids are playing at washington state. 

21:01 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Kids played hard, yeah he looked really good, um, and they were. I mean, they talked it up during the game that that competition with uh material, like in the preseason, was like razor thin. Um, it looked like it the way he played ducks as uh likely to northwest for that I think that'd be a good spot. He's definitely a lower tier power four talent in terms of quarterback, so to me like he almost went to Northwestern this past year. 

21:28 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
That's why I bet Oklahoma State in the opener, because there's rumors, like in the offseason, that he was going to go to Northwestern this past season and the North Dakota or the south dakota state oklahoma state game was like available in the market already and I mean if you're, if you're like you probably got one year to cash in on football, like you know for him saying like he's not it. 

21:47 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Maybe he's uh, I don't know a training camp guy or something, but he's not an nfl talent. 

21:52 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
So yeah, this is your year to make seven figures, yeah. 

21:54 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, yeah, you can make. You know at least a half million, you know. 

22:00 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Richard in the chat. Happy holidays to you guys right back at you, richard. Thanks for all you do. Here in Maryland we cannot bet on college player props. Do you think that will become reality in other states? Thanks for your thoughts. I don't think so. It's too big a business now. 

22:15 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I Know that well here's what is there, whispers you. 

22:17 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
You I mean, yeah, well, it's too big a business now. 

22:19 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I know that. Well, here's the thing. But is there whispers? I mean you're. Well, it depends on your state. The other thing is what's left of the NCAA and Charlie, whatever They've been trying to push like, oh, our kids are getting harassed, I don't think most states will go with it. As you said, maryland's not the only place. There's been a couple of states that have taken those off the board, so oh I hope not. 

22:46
I hope this doesn't gain more steam, but uh, it's something the ncaa has actually like, tried to push. Um, I would tell the I mean, if I, if joey k's running, uh, you know the state legislature, I I wouldn't even take a meeting with that guy. 

23:01 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Onion man Speaking of player props Gunner Stockton all over 299 and a half rush yards. That's funny, yeah, I mean. What's your thoughts on that game? Notre Dame took a little bit of money today. 

23:17 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I mean, I don't necessarily that doesn't necessarily surprise me. I still kind of lean with you on Georgia on the side. 

23:31 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Jerry, in the chat I'm with you on, tommy Finn Got a Boise ticket 100-, 101 and 20 to 1 to win it all. 

23:40 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
long shot, bet you never know, uh oh you know I mean you never know you're gonna hit the powerball either, but uh, sometimes well done I just, I mean, you know, I mean like you, so many things have to happen for them to win. You know three straight where they're going to be double due to dogs. So yeah, I don't see it. 

24:05 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, Anything egg in the chat. Anything occurring on Baylor, South Carolina or Washington games not involved in any of them is now. I like Baylor but man, we missed the boat there, Probably too late. To the party south carolina. I haven't really bet. It makes us your thoughts on that. I think washington's the side. The more I think about that, washington is the side in this game it's, it's strickling that way too um trickling. 

24:31 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I think they close favorite no, I well, I said, I mean I say down from two and a half. You know there's some one and a half, some ones popping. It does look like they're uh number one, the acc her. 

24:41 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I mean the worst bowl season ever for any conference. Oh and 10, and you look at who they got left and it's like, oh my god, this could be. Oh and 13, and the only straight up win is against the, the worst, the most ravaged team in the history of the bulls washington state, and even that one sucked for the most part. That wasn't impressive. You got anything on South Carolina Illinois, you're, mr Big Ten. 

25:04 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I mean, I know a friend played the over there, I kind of agreed with that, but now I mean, that's up a few points. Illinois was a team that I didn't believe in all effing year, and they just kept biting me. Do I really want to lay that price, though, with South Carolina in a bowl game? No, no, I don't. I mean. 

25:27 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Dogger pass. Or maybe a pizza bet on Illinois plus 10. Travion, henderson over 47 and a half rush yards Hold on, this is lagging the chat. Yeah, is that a good segue? Yards Hold on this is egg in the chat. Yeah, is that a good segue? I like that, that is a good segue. All right, let's just hit them with it. Rose Bowl Big one Ohio State, oregon. I like the over, I think you do as well. Let's hit it. Same game parlay. 

25:51 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, sgp baby for the weekend. Uh, egg, you're reading my mind. My friend, uh, the dog. Uh, well, that's, I gotta go bet the ducks right now. The dogs, yeah, yeah, I was gonna say the dog. The dog is loving the day, especially if you. If you walk, there's probably a duck walking by my house right now. She's barking at here, but um, jason, do you have the SGP from the chat? 

26:21
Yeah, I can build it on screen if you guys want. Oh yeah, okay, first one's going to be over 55 and a half there. We like that. Oh, look at that On the move already Going to get a little bit of a price there. But yeah, the Ducks Our man, the Duck in the chat Over 55. It was a price we both liked in terms of that game. 

26:41
The trade beyond Henderson Rushing yards, I think, yeah, henderson's up a bit. If you have that, I really like it. And again, I think you're 47.5. If you got 47.5, you play that number, my friend. But I agree, have you play that number, my friend? Um, but I agree, I, I like the henderson over uh in terms of his rushing yardage. Next one's gonna be a couple of I. I don't think oregon in this game, uh was gonna be more like a little bit more pass happy keeping it around. So we've got uh. Evan stewart, over 42 and a half, played some stewart overs, got burned before I'm going back to the well baby. And then dylan gabriel, over 245 passing yards, uh, so 560. The over just took a little bit of a hit there, so 563. There's the old man duel, ohio state, oregon sgp for the weekend um of the of those four henderson. Oh uh, over rushing definitely that's your favorite word there. 

27:34 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, yeah, I like it. I saw when that came in. I'm like, I like it. I think it's a track meet. I know that it sounds so easy, but you know a lot of the easy shits cashed this bowl season. I was looking at it, we, I think. If you bet against the team without the starting quarterback, you're eight and three. You bet against the the team that has six or more starters opting out or transfer portal, you're like nine and four. You bet against, uh, the team with has six or more starters opting out or transfer portal, you're like nine and four. You bet against the team with 20 or more players in the portal, you're like six and two. Like all this stuff, so easy. All you have to do is just look at it. Oh, that one, I think, is easy Over Nearly six to one odds for our friends at FanDuel. Make sure you're checking out that same game parlay, since we've been talking a lot of player props and got three of them in that same game parlay. 

28:17
Also would be remiss not to say that if you're looking to beat the college football basketball player prop market, it's time to try bet stamp pro, the odd screen our friends at bet stamp have created to highlight market-based edges across any prop type. It's essential for top down betters. Bet stamps develop the highly efficient, reliable, market-based true line that incorporates unique market-specific adjustments powered by real-time data from over 50 sports books. Plus, bet stamp pro features a user-friendly layout that allows you to view line history for any prop. With these, you need to visit betstampcom htb to get to hit the books exclusive trial pricing and a free demo. A limited number of spots are available, so act quickly. Back to the chat. Uh, 20 mc20 over at the fiesta bowl in the slick field. Is that the rumor slick? 

29:01
slick field huh I don't know all right last year's fiesta bowl. I mean it's just oregon scoring. I'll have to look into that. Uh, I know they've had footing issues there, but sometimes I mean that could go either way. You can't get your. 

29:15 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah yeah, yeah, and sometimes right hurts, the can hurt of both sides. Uh, I mean, you want to, I, I mentioned it on the saturday show, but that field, uh, at yankee stadium, uh, flick, feel like what are we done with the playing football at baseball stadiums? Like I mean, what, why, what, why, what, what is wrong with? What does that draw any? I know we're not done with it ever because money. 

29:42 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Another obvious thing you know what I bet at the. When those lines came out, I bet the unders at those two games were fed outside and shitty weather under, just so I mean, some of this is just who's going to? 

29:53 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
who's like oh, pinstripe bowl, the pinstripe bowl, oh that's great, because it's got pinstripe. Oh, yankee pinstripe, oh that. Then I'm gonna go watch two terrible teams with half their team opted out at yankee stadium on a trash field when it's 30 degrees out you would have been all over that you'd have been all about it if bc would have covered that was. 

30:24 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
That was rough. Guy asked minnesota, my state. I know it keeps going higher, but I don't have access to a book until january 2nd. What number would you give you pause? Uh, I still think they're the right side. I mean, the acc is terrible, big tents, overperforming and feety quietly I started diving in. I'm like man, these guys have like 13, 14 starters out. They're decimated. 

30:44 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Minnesota I, I, I think it goes towards 10. 

30:48 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, I don't know if it goes to 10, but I think it's going nine and a half-ish. 

30:51 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Gerard, gerard, you've been to four pinstripes. Something to do in NYC, the great something to do in NYC. You're the greatest city. What do you mean? You can't find something to do in NYC? There, nyc, there's something to do on every block. You're going to go outside to a bin start ball. 

31:07 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Jesus, jerry, tell us it ain't so. All right, keep going. Kirk, in the chat we got a ton of chat and this is unbelievable. Theo Weiss for Mizzou and Moulton for Iowa are two to keep an eye on out here for player props for next year. Have you watched a ton of this game today? I got to rewatch it. No. 

31:27 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I really didn't. 

31:29 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Now we got a tie ball game. Man, I got so many of these media obligations. I miss stuff like this, including this one. Shame on Loretto for getting me to work while there's a game. I'm joking, no, I got to rewatch it. I mean, we hedged out. That's kind of where I was on my position, so I was just like yeah, I mean Missouri by three. 

31:48 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Wouldn't hate that. 

31:51 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Good point, alex in the chat. Any prop angles for Bama Michigan Mill Road. Two touchdowns plus 230. I don't hate that. I think more unders on Michigan. I mean I just can they get first downs. 

32:06 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I don't know. I honestly like that. 

32:07 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
That I won't place um, I think well so technically they. 

32:17 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
They elevated uh kasula the okay, I actually like oc but I actually like him my guess is, sh is Sharon Moore calls most of them yeah okay, I don't mind that guy. 

32:29 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Though John Stuff, north Carolina, over under seven and a half wins. I mean my gut says under. Let's see how they fill out the roster. Acc's so bad. I mean it would be a slam dunk under for me, but that conference sucks. So I mean there's probably opportunity. I mean, if they get, I want to see who's playing quarterback. 

32:50 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Cause you can really if they, if the money that they supposedly spend it? Yeah, exactly, you can just spend it and have a brand new team. 

32:58 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yep, and a guy. I mean, if they're competent X's and O's wise, then I don't think that's great and I'm tired of putting my money up for 11 months just to lose. Forget that. I'm done with that. Tommy, I'm really pissed about that. Last chance to get on Boise Moneyline. Don't say I didn't warn you, tommy, all right, I mean you warned us. I'm not going to be there, I'm not going to be there, but we've warned us does, Zach. 

33:23
We'll give you credit. Tommy Finn, we'll give you credit. You can clip this up and Boise wins. We'll give you credit, Tommy. I'm not there, though. Zach Bowman in the chat Locked in on UW fade ACC. Yep, we too late for Bama? I don't think so. I think the line's going up on Bama. 

33:40 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Honestly. I mean you could throw some pocket change on some B. You know pocket change on a, on some Bama old spreads, you know, minus 27 and a half or something like that. I don't the, yeah, the team that they're putting on the field, especially offensively, is woof. 

33:55 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Trip with a super chat Long time. Oh gee, listener trip Big time. A big thanks to Brad and condition for a great 2024. Let and condition for a great 2024. Let's make 2025 even better. I hope it's better then this show get rolling, maybe we'll. 

34:07 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I was gonna say yeah, maybe you and I'll see some money then, yeah yeah, I was gonna say trip. 

34:21 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Uh, yeah, we will tell you what 2025 goes. Well, we're gonna need, uh, some agents here to redo the contract. Yeah, uh, it'll be. It'll be the hammer betting network owned by condition powers. Uh, crave fan, he's got an interesting question. I know college teasers are usually no bueno, agree, notre Dame, minnesota. Six point long teaser, solid play. Yeah, notre Dame, I mean, that's consensus. One now seven and a half. I love Minnesota. I, I. You could do worse. Very low totals in the 40s. Uh, I'm not gonna sit here and say no to that one. What about you? 

34:51 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
yeah, I don't hate that. I agree with that. There's some certain situations uh, again the lower totals, both you know, through the keys there. I don't hate that, especially if you can find some of those. Depends where you shop. Sometimes the college teaser, you can get a discount on the juice, um, so if you got something that's not too bad, you know, don't don't pay like minus 130 or something for that. 

35:12 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
But uh, dane, another super chat 499. Do you get jason? Do you get the super chats now that you're producing the show? 

35:21 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I don't know I don't want zach. Uh, you know Zach lost his half his bankroll on Latvia. You know we're laying it with Canada there, but I think he lost the other half, ling it Latvia against the United States too which is the final. 

35:36 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
On that one, I think it was a four, one or five. Yeah, yeah, so they didn't cover goals. Yeah, that sucks. What doesn't suck is this Bama team total or 27 and a half? Is that the line? 

35:55 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I got to look myself. No. 

35:55 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I think that's great. 

35:59 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
You want to bet that best bet? No, it's 20. 

36:01 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I see yeah, 20. 

36:01 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Okay, if you got a 27 and a half. 

36:03 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, I was going to say Holy hell, yeah, 29 if you got a 27 and a half. Yeah, I was gonna say holy hell, yeah, yeah, if you got it, play it. That's best bet material. That's why I was like, wow, I could also see like 28, nothing. I mean I just this isn't gonna be good for Michigan. Uh, anthony in the chat fighting Brian Kelly's gonna bring any effort. Plus four seems a bit much. It does, but I mean they're pretty, uh, they're hurting. On offense, I mean they got their two best offensive linemen. They're tight end who I love what I think a wide receiver, I don't, I mean baylor's in on this game. They, they want to play. We'll see. 

36:37 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I, I, yeah I don't love lsu in a meaningless spot, missing a lot of guys on offense from a defense that was trash. Yeah, don't get me wrong, I would not be betting over three, though I'm not laying three and a halfs on Baylor. 

36:54 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
That's four now. So I hear you, it's kind of a no bet. I kind of lean under. I know the doctor just came in on the over but I think Baylor would be locked in on that lsu uh offense. I kind of like uh lsu team total under david in the chat. Bam minus nine and a half, first half, all. Yeah, I could see. Yeah, I mean I don't I will. 

37:17 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I've seen some other people talk about first quarter, first half I. I would much rather just lay the number like over the course. Yeah, because Michigan's going to go super slow tempo. They're going to want to run the ball. You could have, like you know, one possession. If Michigan, you know, receives the kickoff, maybe you only get one possession or something in the first quarter. So this is one of those. I just like the. I just like laying the full game better. 

37:44 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Garrett mentions. Yeah, I mean, obviously college football bowl game has got much more variance. The reason I kind of I don't mind the notre dame game there's should be less variance in a playoff game like that, uh. And then I think minnesota is just the right side with. Uh, I mean, if you told me, oh, I mean that's where it kind of was, I think it was two and a half I have two and a half in pocket on minnesota at the opener. So I don't mind that dane says 27 and a half at canby. Get your canby books out, make your five dollar and 32 cent bet over 27 and a half. 

38:14 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Joey pucks today unfortunately uh the joey pucks uh originator is on vacay. He went uh to uh some spot in california for New Year's with the White. So no pucks for a few days, but White should be back for the weekend. 

38:32 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
What about Franchise and your other buddy on player props? 

38:37 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
You know what we will, so let's do it for tomorrow's show. We'll have the halftime show because we've got a few more games going tomorrow. 

38:47 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, a few more games tomorrow might be some value, and then we're not doing a New Year's Day show so that we can. Maybe we've already given out one. I love the ETN over rush yards. Maybe one or two more for the playoffs. Even I might have one. We'll see Mike Vivian in the chat. Joey K, any tips for a fan who's going to their school's rich rod? Brady O'Hara Boy, that was rough. They had an Oklahoma had an opportunity to put that game away. 

39:18 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
They had to get off three scores and they didn't do it. Listen, this is to me. I mean, this is me and as a guy who's like a Michigan fan who's going to get buried tomorrow, I don't put any stock. People get upset about the last game of the season. Maybe I'm new school, not old school. I don't care about any bowl game. That's not a playoff game. I just don't Like. I don't care about, like if I'm in Oklahoma. 

39:48
If they beat Alabama tomorrow you're gonna be chirping. Well, you know you might see a rose. You know a few tweed line. I'll say that now. But um, yeah, I know, I just saw mizzou, 56 yarder there. Uh, what, how much, how much time's left in this one? Five minutes, four minutes? Yeah, I wouldn't hate that, wouldn't hate that result, um, but I will say again, again, I just don't care. What are these bowl game results, matt? I think it's just a fun exhibition. So it's not fun when you lose to Navy by one blow, a 14-point lead and stuff. But I actually, where did you to me the way Oklahoma finished the season, plus the new changes, new QB. 

40:26 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I tweeted the schedule. Have you seen the schedule? I did not see that. Yeah, that's why, mike's saying he's in an era I was going to say I don't totally. Are you and Mike going to the game next year? You know Michigan plays at Oklahoma. 

40:40 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Is it at Oklahoma? I knew we played them. Is it at Oklahoma? 

40:45 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
It's at Oklahoma, which means we can barely get you out of the house let alone across the country. 

40:52 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Oh, mikey V, he will be there. I was going to say maybe bring the kids. I don't hate the direction of the program. I'm sorry, I know Venables and that To me I'm not. 

41:06 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Uh, you know I hate it you they've had two losing seasons in the last three years. They haven't had a losing season since the 90s. It's not going well okay. 

41:19 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
If they were in the big 12, would they've had a losing season? No, you're right this is the new you're. You take the check. I'm going to steal Bud Elliott's line. Take the check. Take the losses. What's Oklahoma now in the SEC? 

41:31 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
There's what a 6-7 win that's a tough pill to swallow when you're at the top of the heap to the middle of the heap. That's tough. 

41:39 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Then he should have took the money. 

41:40 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Then he should have stayed in. Think some of these. Yeah, that's funny. 

41:45 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
That's just what it is Like. That to me is like you're Oklahoma now you have no in-state talent, like, so you're having to go to these other states and poach around. You don't have that much, you know. You don't have Texas money. You don't have Alabama prestige and money. You're like a seven-win program in the SEC. 

42:05 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Right now you are. What do you want me to say? 

42:08 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
It's not 1974 anymore. 

42:12 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
That's still tough, going from 11 wins a year to seven like that I agree. 

42:17 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
That's why, if Joey K and Brad BP were running the show, we would have never had all this real life. 

42:24 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I had to stay in the Big 12. Winning creates money. You win, you win money. Money comes in. Uh, I'm just looking at chat. Step on a duck, love. Step on a duck. When is joey k bringing back swimming? 

42:41 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
bats. Well, I duck it's a little I probably may right. I was going to say, give me a few months here, we'll have it for the summer Also. Chuck on Dabo, where are you? 

42:52 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Clemson. I will say I kind of like their. If Klubnick comes back, I like their two young freshman wide receivers. Yeah, I rewatched a Texas game. I thought Klubnick played the best game of his career and if he has those receivers coming back they got that stud linebacker, they got some guys up front. I was just thinking this today. I think they're the overwhelming ACC favorite next year. Right, miami, step back. Florida State won't even be close. Smu is going to take a big step back. That is Clemson's league. It's already been their league. But I mean they are going to be clear-cut favorite. 

43:23 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, no, I agree with they. There's something, do you I was talking to franchise about this the other day do you think there is still something culture-wise with the programs that are heavy retainment, high school recruiting, keeping our guys and sprinkle the portal as opposed to just mass portal every year? Do you think those programs have somewhat of a a leg up in terms of overall team building in that and just it's a really good question. 

43:57 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I think they do. I think they do. But well, ask me after the notre dame georgia game. I don't know. I just saw how Michigan won it last year. I just I know how I'd run it. I'm still high school recruiting Me too, and then I'll use my buddy, marcus Freeman's quote we want a minor in the transfer portal, not major in it. 

44:18 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, I like yeah, I agree, I think that's, I go out and get my. 

44:22 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Okay, okay, I'm losing five, six key guys. I'm gonna go out and get five, six key guys and that's all I just. The guys I'm going out to get are, like you know, grown freaking men. They just wanna, you know, okay, we're gonna pay them, but I don't want to get in a bidding war for them, but we're gonna pay them. You go, come in, do your job. I, I mean, I, I don't, I'm, I wouldn't be looking to get 15, 20 guys a year. I can just, I agree, six, eight guys that are immediate contributors. Also, I think there's, uh, I, I, you know, I'm gonna profile, I, I kind of like the, the, the fcs, g5 guys that got a chip on their shoulder that they're stepping up to the. Yeah, that they're still hungry. You give them a check and they're still hungry. They want to prove it on the field. 

45:04 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
So I know there's some sneaky like teams that have done well. Like grabbing some of those premium fcs guys is a uh is a sneaky good. I will say that michigan took that corner from albany uh amir hall and by the end of the year he was I mean, he made the biggest play in that game. He was their best corner by the end of the year and that was a kid who was FCS going like. That's a good find you can find guys like that. 

45:31 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Look at Florida State. They're two guys on that defensive front, Vers and Fisk. Yeah, Western Michigan, Albany those are the type of guys that I go out and get Kirk in the chat. Who's the ND? Go get for quarterback. 

45:47 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Now nd go get for quarterback. 

45:47 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Now the word is they're not going to. It's going to be cj car time. I can't believe it. I would have went out and got. Uh, I think they tried. I think they went big game hunting ewers, milrow, klubnick. They're going to strike out, so I mean that's I think they're going to end up having to get at least someone halfway decent is a depth guy. So, yeah, I think it sounds like a CJ car time. We're going to have fun with that. 

46:12 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Cause. Okay, they struck out on yours. Where's he going? Is he really? 

46:18 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
going to enter the draft. The word was they offered him like four, four and a half million. I don't know, maybe he just doesn't want to go to Notre Dame, maybe go somewhere else. But yeah, I million, uh, I don't know, maybe he just doesn't want to go to notre dame, maybe go somewhere else, but yeah, I would take the money if I'm yours. 

46:28 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
How much like you? How much is brock? I don't know the canes. 

46:32 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Charles, I could see that yeah me too and I could see him paying more than four, four and a half million. They'll pay six, seven million, so I definitely could see that. Uh, thank you, that's the team that probably will spend. We'll see if the donors want to keep spending and giving Mario money. Check their IQ level. That is not good ROI thoughts. Closing thoughts. I think we had a good show. Do we add any best bets? I don't think we did. 

47:06 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Missouri punting up three. One last dance for Iowa. 

47:10 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah 3.1 would be awesome. 

47:12 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
If this game could just end right now that would be yeah, If it was last. 

47:19 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Now, this season we've run well, so we got a chance of his last season. I'm like you know what's going to happen here, so We'll have. 

47:28 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
So we got a chance of his last season. 

47:29 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I'm like you know what's going to happen here. We got a show tomorrow halftime, so there's more. 

47:31 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, we'll have a couple prop adders for the later games tomorrow. 

47:35 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I'm trying to think you want to what? Nah FanDuel moved that line. I don't mind the over in the Buckeye game Oregon game. Do we have Jason? You make the executive call. Are there enough 55s out there? I'm looking at three or four, but I don't know. Our friends at BetStamp might say different. Are there enough 55s to give it out? Enough for me? I don't know if it's enough for Zach, but it's enough for me. All right, out enough for me. Enough for? I don't know if it's enough for zach, but it's enough for me. All right, over 55, best bet. I'll own that one. It's part of the parlay. We're rooting for it. I've already given out the clients. I love it. Over 55 for those that stuck with us today, and thank you for sticking with us this season. It's been a good one. I look forward to tomorrow. That's gonna be a fun halftime show. 

48:23 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
We'll see, yeah, well it might be a fun halftime show. We'll see. It might be a fun halftime show, it might not. 

48:27 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
We said the same thing about the Buckeye game. Look how fun that was. 

48:30 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Unless. Hey, michigan first half money line. You want me to get you a little bit on that. 

48:39 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
No, I'd rather you buy me some lottery tickets. All right, for the man the myth, the legend himself, buy me some lottery tickets. So all right For for the man the myth, the legend himself, joey Kanish. For producer Jason filled in great for Zach today. Thank you for all the questions comments concerns. I'm Brad powers. Keep in mind We'll be back tomorrow Halftime, alabama, michigan. See you then you just watch. Hit the books Part of the hammer. 

 

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