00:37 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Outro Music All right, five o'clock on a conference championship, friday. Welcome to Hit the Books. Part of the Hammer Betting Network sponsored by FanDuel, alongside the man, the myth, the legend himself, joey Knish, producer extraordinaire Zac Phillips, I'm merely Brad Powers. Before we get into your questions, comments concerns maybe a few more best bets besides the couple that we gave out on Monday. Before we get into all that, we are indeed sponsored by none other than FanDuel.
01:09
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01:34
That FanDuel has you covered with and right now, all customers can get a profit boost for any wager on the two biggest games of the week. You know what they are the Big Ten Championship, the SEC Championship, and with that profit boost, you can use that on spreads, live bets, totals, so much more. What you need to do is visit Fanduelcom slash hit the books to download America's number one sportsbook. That's Fanduelcom slash hit the books. Disclaimer you must be 21 plus and present in select states, or 18 plus and present in DC After a required bonus. It uses non-withdrawable profit boost tokens restricting supply, including any token expiration See terms at sportsbookfanduelcom. Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit rg-outcom Kanish. How was your week, man? Another Detroit Lions win.
02:16 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
You know what, it just keeps on rolling. The old gambler at the table, danny Campbell Campbell, just uh, I love I as a fan, I love it like when you're growing up, you know I remember, I mean remember like we're old enough to remember like football, like in the 90s, where nobody like it was fourth and like you know maybe fourth and inches if you were like in the opponent territory now on his own, 30 couple times inside the red zone. Um, I love. And when you know what, that's how you give your chance with uh, an underman defense, a chance to win the game. So yeah, that was a nice stuff, I think between us friends here, I think both of us had a little packers on the spread, so uh, three and a half was nice, so that was perfect result for you, hey vines win packers cover was about as sweet as it gets, so on to next week.
03:05 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, they got another tough one, don't they at the Bills?
03:07 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, and maybe a preview for the Super Bowl.
03:11 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Super Bowl preview.
03:12 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Super Bowl preview. Winner takes home the MVP.
03:17 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, there you go. Ooh, you got money on both.
03:21 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
No, Allen, unfortunately.
03:24 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I thought Barkley was a favorite. Barkley's not the favorite.
03:28 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
No, alan's like no After last week. Alan's like minus two 50 now.
03:32 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Oh, okay, wow.
03:34 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
The snow primetime uh lateral touchdown Now is there, I don't bet the NFL MVP.
03:41 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
So sorry for my ignorance, but uh, does that have wild swings like the Heisman on a weekly basis?
03:46 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
you know, I mean it's got some swings, I will say this year outside of. You know the Barkley train which kind of got rolling there. It's pretty much been the same I mean Lamar Allen Holmes, you know kind of been the three at the top and it's like, can anybody crack into that? Um, that, that you know that big three there. So, and I know barkley's made a run at it, I still I mean alan, that seems even cheap, minus 250, doesn't it?
04:13
if he, I mean if they beat the lions, I think it's over, like if they go into detroit and win next week, then it probably should be like minus 5 000.
04:20 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
So what's that spread two and a half three I did not see the early line I know two and a half. See, I'm okay every now and then yeah it sounds about right. It sounds like a nice teaser. Uh, do you got any other things? That uh been how signing day, michigan, did you donate to the collective?
04:43 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
uh well, you know, joey, I I did buy, did buy a Bryce Underwood shirt, if that counts. So yeah that that I've got already got the Bryce Underwood. We did lose a tight end today. I saw it at Penn state. I would have been looking around, but overall, I mean it's the best class. I mean these are like and again you want a national championship without you know. I mean these are like, and again you won a national championship without you know these type bets. It's the type of class you need if you want to compete in this day and age. So I didn't see, did you have any like as far as team, not just players, because that's a little in the weeds any surprises as far as teams or lack thereof in terms of, I mean, the one is Clemson outside the top 25.
05:29 - Zack Phillips (Announcement)
No, five stars, only 15 commits.
05:32 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I mean, if you're not gonna do the port, like if he doesn't do the portal of this season, it's over. Like I would. I would, honestly, I'd do what they're trying to do to gundy and be like we're either cutting your salary and give it to or you're out Cause you can't win. You can't win like this.
05:49 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
No, you can't, so that would have been one. The one on the positive side is Georgia tech in the top 20.
05:57 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah.
05:58 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
That's as good as they've been in 20 years. So legit coaching staff. We'll see if their coaching staff gets rated a little bit. I think there's a possibility of that. But I just getting in the weeds. The first time I start watching film is the All-Star Games, the Navy I think it's called the Navy All-American Game this year and, yeah, under Armour that's when I start diving in.
06:17 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
We'll let it settle a little bit and obviously Portal is going to be nuts in the next week a little bit, you know what, and I'll throw a little jab trolling in here, michigan state 50, but uh like if you're gonna pay johnson smith to come over, like what's the point if you're not gonna?
06:33
you didn't you? You lost your best players to the portal last season. You didn't go hard in the portal. You have the 60. I mean you've got like a mac level recruiting class. What do you want this guy to do? People are like, oh Smith, he's lost the you know taking heat. It's like what, what is he supposed to do?
06:52 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I thought that the fact that we had to sweat the wind, the fact that you and I had to sweat the wind, total until the last week of the season he did a decent job.
07:00 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
That's like a two win team that he got to five.
07:03 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, so that'd be interesting to see how that all shakes out. Any surprises before I get in the chat? Any surprises as far as the playoff rankings? No surprise for me.
07:14 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
No, I mean we kind of talked to like I mean I know there were some people who are like you know. I will say the the biggest theater left is if SMU loses, are they going to pull the rug out on them, cause they left it.
07:29
I think you did too, ward, matt, and you'll say, and even a Rhett Lashley's on TV saying what would my team just got COVID, we'd be in, why are we playing this game? So they got to change. That's the biggest takeaway. They got to switch this up next year, like the whole bracket conference, because it didn't make the regular season kind of meaningless. It has made conference championship weekend where if you're gonna I know something, you get an automatic bid in a few, but for t you know, for like the big 10, for the acc. Now, if you're one of these teams like I don't know, they gotta make some. They gotta make some changes.
08:01
I heard some people saying that oregon be better off throwing the game and getting the five to get the five right, right where it's like I mean that and this, this is the one thing and we'll, we'll fight, we'll get off our high horse here and get to the chat. But every year in college football, going back, whatever you know, whether it was the top two, top four you felt like the best you couldn't luck, box your way into like a bracket, like you can in college basketball, where it's like, oh, we played, you know, five. This now feels like a lot is dependent on the draw as opposed to like we settle it on the field and the team, which I'm not a huge fan of agree, I'm okay with the big 12 and acc getting in, but not getting automatic three, four seats.
08:43 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
That should not be happening.
08:46 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Just use the FDS format. That's the best one.
08:50 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I can't believe they can't get it right. It's unbelievable. Without further ado, let's get to the chat. Speaking of chat, super chat, Benjamin Rash 1999. Benny, that's good. Take the significant other out there, Zach, and grab a lunch. Rolling my T-Math coin into my Hawk 2-a coin was a mistake. That means we need Joey Pucks Also. Iowa State taking money. You guys agree, I agree with the Iowa State money. What do you got, Joey Pucks?
09:20 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Me too. I think I've kind of convinced myself that Iowa State's going to win that game and I know the price that we talked about on the show. Don't think it's going to three. It never made three, now it's one, one and a half everywhere. Listen, before I get to the pucks, like apparent. This is. This is 2024 financial. Now you just if you get out, you know 15 minutes of fame. You create a coin, a bunch of idiots pump it up for a minute and then you smash it down on them and take all their money. Um man, I I guess I'm long for the days of. Is there?
09:57 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
jail time. Is this regulated by the sd? What is it?
10:00 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
never, it was like a moderate fine maybe. Um, yeah, so now, now. Now Bernie, everybody's Bernie Madoff, but Joey Pucks, I got two of them for you tonight. For tonight's game we got Kraken plus one and a half, around minus 110-ish, and you're going to the producer, zach, jump on the Toronto train.
10:24 - Zack Phillips (Announcement)
Toronto train, minus 140, played the Leafs as well, so, jack, there's no way you did that, moreto did the Capitals this morning.
10:37 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Oh, we got a head to head with. Just well, it's not just the guy I'd want to be fading, but it's the second guy I'd want to be.
10:43 - Zack Phillips (Announcement)
Yeah, yeah, yeah, albert's the guy you want to be fading. Yeah, yeah, yeah, albert is the guy you want to be fading.
10:46 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, yeah, if Albert was around there, what do we got? Price-wise?
10:51 - Zack Phillips (Announcement)
Plus 122 on Washington. Minus 146 Maple Leafs right now on Fane.
10:55 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, I've played Leafs around minus 140. And five cents premium now with Moreto on the cap. So I put the line up a little bit when you you know when I'm fading that trick.
11:08 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
So so there we go we got a lot of super chats. Uh, I'll start with them. We got like five or six lined up here. Uh, reichs in the chat 999. Happy friday. Fellas is army. Team total under 20 and a half minus 125. A good angle to attack UNLV team total over 25.5. Joey props, malik Williams over 62.5 rush yards Out of the three. For me I'll take the team total Army under Just. You know I'll trust Summerall. They'll have a good game plan, like he's had the last three times against the Service Academy where they've scored a total of nine points in three games. So that'll be my preference there you got any preference. You know the team total I could definitely see over. I would lean that way when you at. On props, you got any special.
11:52 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
So I got two for you, not Malik Williams, I give you a high number. I don't like you know I'm not dying to play at 62 and a half. Let me give you. We got a head to head. The franchise didn't like. He was out of the spotlight for a while. He's been tripping. He said he's the big time prop guy. He doesn't want Jordan being the new prop guy. So I got one from franchise, one from Jordan. Head to head prop battle of the century. Let's get them out. Let me just get it out of the way to put in a few.
12:32
First one we're going with franchises first. He's the older, you know, the historian of the show, zach. Go to Clemson and rushing yard Clemson, smu, rushing yardage. And we're going Phil Maffa under 82 and a half there. That was franchises favorite play on the board. Thanks. The SMU front a little too tough. If they're ahead a little bit trailing you might run out some up. So franchise is going with the under 82 and a half here. So we'll lock that one in and let me go with the Jordan. He's going Tulane Army receiving yardage Zach wow, he's in the weeds he jordan's in the weeds.
13:14
He's really in the weeds. He's going, mario williams, over 50 and a half, receiving yardage. Uh, not to be mistaken with the old, the wide receiver, mario williams, uh, or the or the artist, uh, the r&b artist, but mario williams over, yeah, I'm going way back over 50 and a half. That's jordan. Well, that's franchise on clemson, a film alpha under head to head. I bet them both. We'll see who comes out on top for all the bragging right, they both come out on top.
13:46
Oh they both come out on, if they, yeah, every week come out on top, if they both win um and if this one loses tonight, jordan come back to the saturday show. Martingale player prop tomorrow oh, look at that, look at that, this guy got to work for a sports book. Uh like, yeah, so yeah, that's the. That's the head to head. Prop of the prop.
14:06 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Battle of the century and guys remember, if you're looking to beat the college football and basketball player prop market, it's time to try BetStamp.
14:14 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Pro.
14:14 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
That's why you're a professional, the odd screen our friends, our good buddies, our besties at BetStamp have created to highlight market-based edges across any prop type. It's essential for top-down bettors. Betstamp has developed a highly efficient, reliable, market-based true line that incorporates all unique market-specific adjustments, powered by real-time data from over 50 sportsbooks. Plus, betstamp Pro features a user-friendly layout that allows you to view line history for any prop with ease. What you need to do? Visit BetStampcom slash, hit the books. All right, it's actually HTB. Betstampcom slash HTB. Betstampcom slash HTB. To get to hit the books, exclusive trial pricing and a free demo. A limited number of spots are available, so act quickly. More super chats. Cam Combs, we appreciate you. Dollar 99 dollar menus back at McDonald's. Zach thanks you for that. He's been. He doesn't have much time between all his new jobs that he has to new jobs new women a lot of grabbing go grab and go high value conversations A buck 99.
15:11
Is there a scenario where Bama gets bumped out?
15:21 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I guess if SMU loses by one or something, maybe right I think they're man just to put it on I think Bama would get in. If SMU loses, committee is going to. I mean it's going to be a hot one if they get, because that's going to. If they're going to, committee is going to. I mean that's going to. It's going to be a hot one if they get, cause that's going to. If they're going to bump SMU, you better be ready to change the format next year, because you will. I think you will legitimately have teams be like ah, fuck you, We'll sit out the conference championship.
15:48
Right, right, right, Like I'm not, we're going to take a, but so that that to me is like a shift. If you're going to make that call, which I think they probably would, then you better be ready to adjust the format, Cause you're going to have some teams be like no, I'm, I'm good on this conference title game. We're getting in the playoff.
16:06 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Big Stu USC in the chat for 99 super chat Great season. How do you handle bowl season early bets without thoughts in the portal?
16:15 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Also, joey, it turns out OSU minus one. You and Stu were like, oh, I'll say, bet at the 200. This is the best one on the board.
16:21 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, yeah, awful. Thank you, Stu. Good job, stu. Bowl games Case by case basis. I probably am looking to go against the coaches, the interim coaches, because there's more likely chance of opt outs. Motivation factor, I mean, I would anticipate Vanderbilt's motivated, I would anticipate Nebraska's motivated to be playing. So that's kind of that's where I'm at. Where are you at?
16:52 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Got to follow the portal almost that religiously yeah, I and it the I mean last year was a little bit like, because you get a kennesaw state where it's like, oh, these guys are hitting the portal, but they're still playing yeah, actually, you know I'm hitting the portal, but come look at my highlight reel when I play in this ball game now.
17:09
Uh, you want I, I. You know what it's. It's a lot of information trading, so there's there's a number of ways you can attack it. Stew, whether you want I, you know what it's, it's a lot of information trading, so there's there's a number of ways you can attack it. Stu, whether you want to just spray the board, whether you want to do nothing, whether you want to just, you know, wait for some information to come out, maybe get in the circle. You want to talk about the one we played so far? I still, I think this game, if things go, yeah, we could talk about it uh let's.
17:34
People are talking ball games. All right, hey, listen, it's up at fanduel. The people want it, we're gonna give it to them yeah, we are uh.
17:40 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
So bring up uh memphis west virginia, zach, memphis west virginia, so you can go to ball games on fanduel. Or you can go to games and scroll the bottom. It should be up there. You want to best bet it I still yeah.
17:54 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I mean yeah, memphis is closing favorite folks.
17:57 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Unless hennigan decides to uh not playing, I think he will play. So memphis plus two and a half, best bet boom I, I agree, I like that one.
18:06 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I mean, you've got the neil brown exodus and when the coach leaves that's usually a sign where the troops will follow and be looking for for the end Memphis.
18:17 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
In consideration. I already make Memphis a slight favorite Right right, right, I agree. I agree.
18:23 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
And you know, I mean finish the season on a nice high. I, I just, I think they're the better squad and if you tell me who's that guy that trolls me about the green, the quarterback, the quarterback. If he doesn't play, if old Gary Green doesn't play in this game, memphis is going to go.
18:41 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Gary Green, that's funny. Yeah, I like Memphis there. So there you go. There's a bowl game. We'll be talking more on Monday on bowl games. Trevor Troiner in the chat, I'm glad he brings this up. Stick with me here. Fanduel has Bama and SMU 300, three to one. To miss the playoff at Clemson is only plus 125 on the money line. One of Bama SMU would have to get bounced right. Just value to play both at plus 300, getting plus 200 on plus 125. It is weird on I've seen the yes notes for both SMU and Alabama and they're heavily juiced and they should not be both heavily juiced. Is that correct? Correct Cause? You're not. I mean, how do we attack it? You're better at this than me.
19:27 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Well, it's one of those like do you see a scenario, like, is there a pull the? I guess? But I would say is is there a pull the I guess? What I would say is is there a scenario where you're not just in this one-to-one correlation here?
19:39 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
where is? There a scenario where I don't think there is, though I don't think there is either.
19:44 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Um, and you would be, you know, safe, but that would be the. The question there is is there, uh, I don't know, somebody else?
19:52 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
in, right, I just I don't see. I don't know somebody else, right, I just I don't see, I don't see it. Yeah, so here.
20:03 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I mean, I haven't yet, so if you bet, let's just play it out. It looked like BAM and SMU. They're both yes minus 430, no plus 300 right now, if you bet both no's for plus 300, is there a scenario where they can, well, they can go.
20:25 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I mean, you go 0-2 on that. I mean just SMU beats Clemson right.
20:28 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, yeah. And then he's talking about Clemson on the plus 125. I and he's talking about, you know, clemson on the plus 125. There, I, I my brain's breaking here Trying. Yeah, I don't get it.
20:43 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I just I think both of them are like minus 400. To make it right, zach, pull up the the, the yes to yes, no to make the playoff. I think the only two teams listed are Alabama, yeah, or Alabama and SMU. They can't be both, not when you have a short spread.
21:02 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
But if I mean yeah, because the oh man it is, but you've got to factor in the Clemson price into these, then yeah, to get out of it. So listen, someone that's a little bit better at on the fly math than me would have to to get this out in terms of you had to bet all three right. Right right, right right.
21:22 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
So how do you lose if you bet, like Clemson wins, all right. I'm trying to think, yeah, then when? And then, let me, I got to write it down on a piece of paper. I honestly do I am to write it down on a piece of paper. I honestly do. I am not smart.
21:37 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
You're betting all. You bet the 125 Clemson Moneyline. You bet both nose at 300. There's a way to lock in a profit. Yeah, you should get two of three in, but I think, yeah, between the limits on the market and one of these, it's a lot of work for probably not a lot of a lot of yeah, and they'll probably ban you. Don't let me talk, we love.
22:00 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Fando. We love Fando, but doing stuff like that probably is not. They don't like that stuff. I'm just saying I'll do it, I'll. I'll do it on a napkin and have it for you on Saturday, because all those games are that's Saturday night. So I'll figure it out. I'll probably end up attacking it. Action Sports Central. I'm looking to try and hedge a large SMU conference position. Do you think we see the three again? Should I hedge? Oh, I think you'll see the three again. I think it's already out there, isn't it? Should I hedge with the money line or try and get the one to two point middle? I think you go for the three because it's available. There's a couple threes out there, right? Yeah, there's two threes.
22:42 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I tend to lean with you too, because I mean, there's really nothing sweeter than threading that needle with the old 20 to one, and then SMU by one, two or three and what you're feeling, especially 1 or 2. Yeah, yeah, that would be my preference, if you're looking at it.
23:01 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
And I like Clemson at plus 3.
23:04 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, I tend to lean that way too.
23:05 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah. So yeah, I say shop hard for the 3. A little bit of money came in on SMU today. That's interesting. Spencer in the chat Army team total under. Yeah, I do like that. I kind of like Tulane more, though, to be honest with you, blue Horseshoe texted me before the show and said I'm going to read it quote for quote. This is the hard-hitting handicapping from Blue Horseshoe it's too cold for Tulane Army covers. I just read that word for word. It's too cold for Tulane army covers.
23:40 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
The guy hits one mistake line weather bet and now he's uh, you know a meteorologist here I mean it does get cold in Louisiana.
23:49 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Uh, it does. If not. Watch that LSU game, oklahoma game last week. I where you at on this game.
23:56 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
As far as the side I I lean to lane I mean to lane played at navy like a few weeks ago, it wasn't exactly, you know and they beat them 35, nothing so you're talking the same thing. This was at nate, where it wasn't like you know. I don't think it wasn't freezing temperatures or anything, but no, I mean, I agree with you. I I liked the Tulane side. I liked the side better than the team total as well.
24:24 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Charles in the chat. Do you guys play any of the hypothetical playoff match out there at fanduel, the hypotheticals? I, I did not see them, did you? No, I did not. I'm not into that because a lot can change. I I do think. I think we're heading for notre dame, alabama and ohio state, tennessee. I'm just, uh, I think we're heading for those two. We We'll see Brendan in the chat. Oh, missed that one. Zach Bowman, I see on FanDuel, no SMU playoff with great juice. Let me do that on Napkin and I'll have it tomorrow. I'm sorry, I'm an idiot, I just am.
25:07 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I just it's hard, Zach. It's really like we think that they would leave SMU out us.
25:13 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I'm sure, there's a scenario where we get effed on all of it, just like I thought that scenario, the number of teams in the state of Alabama versus the teams in Louisiana, even though everything was posted and one was 43, the other was 31, and I'm getting plus money and somehow I found a fucking way to lose. So sorry for me being cautious on some of that. Oh, it's guaranteed money. I thought that was guaranteed money and it wasn't. Zach Bowman, oh no, just read that. Charles Saul man, he gets in deep. Any FCF games you can nuke the market on. Well, the market did get nuked on a few.
25:45 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I was going to say it went early this week, chuck, because, yeah, some of the bigger places as well, like Fandle, had it first. Then a couple other shops came in and a couple of these got hit real hard.
26:02 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
The one you and I both liked the most UC Davis but that again got nuked four points and moved. Yeah, other than that, I just got a bunch of leans Did you guys bet anything else.
26:18 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
No, that was yeah.
26:19 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
That was kind of the early favorite as well, um kind of like uh, I get one that's holding a little bit south dakota minus 16 and a half. I'm good with that. Maybe not best bet, but that's a lean.
26:32 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, I'd lean that way too.
26:35 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Uh, that's all I'm comfortable with sharing right now. I think 15 and a half that's the best price.
26:41 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
There you go, 15 and a half, for sure. That's the best price in the market.
26:44 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Should I? Should I go out on a limb? Yeah, where's the limit? No, I don't want to ruin the market, just in case. So if you got you guys want to bet it, bet it. I do like that. I just you guys have no idea what best bet it. And we give that out and it moves like three points and it's just like Jesus. Was there anything else? I didn't think there was anything. Slam dunk and the the.
27:13
UC Davis was slam dunk because I just think Illinois State is so overrated. They've been outgamed on the season. They just were plus seven in turnovers. Last week there was like nothing. That screened to me like, oh my God, this is great. The weather stuff. There's nothing like weather that we can take advantage of.
27:31
I'm anxious to see why that total keeps coming down in the South Dakota State-Montana game. It's not the same teams as last year, so I might be contrarian tomorrow on that. Looks like all these games will not be done or have gone by the time we do our show tomorrow. So let's talk more about that tomorrow, because we'll'll be on the air around what 10 30. First game kicks off at 11. I'm talking 10 30, my time, one 30 year time. Uh, the first kickoff for these is until two, so we'll wait till tomorrow. Got about 20 minutes left. We got a hard out again today.
28:09
Uh, ryan, in the chat, all I want for Christmas knowing who the five seed will be. Yeah, I agree, I think it'll be Penn State, notre Dame or it could be Oregon. I guess If Texas loses, see, I mean it could. That's why everyone asks me for it. I got to see the bracket. I got to see the bracket before I say there's great value. Charles saw in the chat. Joey Pucks, can we get a take on the what's the true? Butt? Trade is that? Did I say that right? Traba true, but trade true, but yeah, zach, give me give.
28:38 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
What is it? What's our thoughts on the true? But?
28:43 - Zack Phillips (Announcement)
we think that this is a trade that had to happen and it was handled improperly. It was bound to happen. It was going to happen at some point, just a matter of when, but it was handled incorrectly. That is what we think, knish couldn't have said it better myself.
28:58 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I wish I would have handled it correctly yeah, l in the chat still liking ull at minus six, is it six? Why I think it's a good five. Five and a half, can't you?
29:09 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
yeah, I thought that let me make.
29:11 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Uh, there's more sixes than five and a half, so it would leak out a little bit more. I do like ull, but uh, make sure you can still find a five and a half out there. Uh, that's me. That's the talent service game of the week. Uh, mark s. Uh, michigan old miss bowl game would be fun. Not fun for michigan, I don't. Well, you never know how many opt-outs of old miss have.
29:31 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Right. Under Under I heard some I mean I heard some people I know things were telling me they were trying to do versus Florida in Tampa again and I was like how?
29:41 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
many times. Oh, my God.
29:43 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
We play Florida more than we play teams in the old Big Ten West. Like I'm good on Michigan-Florida rendition six with you know half a roster.
29:54 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
So, uh, holy cow, I would like florida, though. That'd be a good value, but uh, I would love florida in that matchup. Teak's favorites all win the conference championships. What are your guys thoughts on seating 1 through 12? Oh, my god, well, one change, right. It'd be almost exactly what it is now, right, right.
30:11 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, I mean, it should be pretty unless.
30:14 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I mean the only people would say well does Notre. Dame jump Penn State Right right right. They said they're not going to. It depends on how much that Oregon. If Oregon wins by three or four touchdowns, maybe they.
30:26 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, we're not going to penalize teams in the conference, except for booting MSMU out of the playoffs.
30:31 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, that's what I expect. They're not going to punish anybody but SMU.
30:35 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, and we're not punishing the big two. Did you see that recruiting stat that every five-star player went to either the Big Ten or the SEC?
30:48 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I thought the Kansas State got one and Georgia Tech got one. Maybe it was just that one service. Yeah, it might have been one service. No, I'm not surprised with that Sad yeah Oof. When you got 20 teams in a conference, I guess that's not surprising. More of the same Jack in the chat boots on the ground at Mikey Stadium tonight. Any Joey props for that game. We did give you the Tulane wide receiver over Mario Williams and he's going to drop an R&B track. Was that? I Don't Want to Know. Yeah, yeah, yeah.
31:26 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I'm surprised you of all people, pulled that one out of the woods.
31:29 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
yeah, yeah, that was good stuff back in the day. That was about 20 years ago. Genty, under 170 and a half rushing UNL Lee was able to contain him. Earlier this season he's got more tread on the tires now. Where you at on that, I'm not, I'm neutral. I could see it. I'd probably lean that way more than anything.
31:49 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, I could see it've got to fend off.
31:51 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
All it takes is one run they got him bottled up and then one run.
31:54 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
And I mean they're like their feed. I mean you're talking, you've got to fend off 35 times, yeah, unless they're down. You know, second half, multiple scores here. They're going to feed him the rock. So I left. I mean, I played a couple of genti unders midseason where the only reason they won was because he sat the second half. So yeah, I haven't really messed with him since.
32:20 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I wish he wouldn't have sat the second half. Maybe we'd have had a closer Heisman race on some of them. I agree I don't know. They still decided that it was Hunter a couple weeks ago. Joke Action Sports Central Guys, I'm in a survivor pool that allows me to use Jackson State this weekend. Is that the safest bet on the board? Is Jackson State the only FCS game you could use? Action Sports Central?
32:43
Yeah, I was going to say I think there's some Because I would say South Dakota State's safer, north Dakota State's even safer than that. But if that's the only one, then obviously that would be your safest bet, although, yeah, I think that's safe. You're talking a touchdown more than any other spread.
33:00 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah.
33:02 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
If that's it, then yep, that's good. Jordan Tyson isn't a two-point downgrade. This is from Cam Combs. Best bet ASU. No, I'm not. Also thoughts on the total at the key number of 51. I lean under on the total, but I do like Iowa State.
33:18 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, I lean Iowa State way too. I mean Tyson, I think it was like 75 catches on the year. All other wide receivers combined on the teams were like 40 something. It was kind of a one you know one man show there for the passing game. So sometimes, you know, I would say as a play like, is Jordan Tyson a Randy Moss type level player or something like that? No, but in terms of what he means to the team, what we talked a little bit about, like Harold Fanning with BG, like, I think, a point in the half, the whole passing game runs through him.
33:49 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
And then the other guy is Scadaboo. So I mean Scadaboo can't touch the ball on every play. I want to see how Iowa State defends this. They got to put extra guys in the box.
33:59 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I know because and that's you know what that's a great, because that's not the Matt Campbell style.
34:04 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
He doesn't lead, he really no, he's not, he's kind of the creator of the box. Yeah, so that I'll have to see. I'm interested to peek in my interest to see what kind of defensive scheme they go with. Looking here, how about Connor in the chat with the FCS question? Incarnate word money I feel like a dope taking Nova plus seven and a half. 11 and a half ago I did bet that 11 and a half Villanova. Did you bet that game? Are you? You part of the Incarnate Word money train?
34:37 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Actually have not gone in on that one.
34:39 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I did bet 11 and a half about two hours ago.
34:42 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
At current, I think you can only look towards Nova, even though their season's been kind of.
34:47 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Weather's not going to be good there either. I think 50 in rain in San Antonio. If you didn't know where Incarnate Word was, san Antonio, texas, 50 and rain. Any coaching carousel scoops? Who is West Virginia hiring Brendan Linhart?
35:00 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
This is your neck of the woods, baby.
35:02 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
You're on it. I've heard Odom. I've heard Rich Rod. I haven't heard anything that I would consider concrete. I heard Oom a couple weeks ago.
35:18 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I would, I mean I, I would like that better than the round two of rich rod, if I'm and I know people get attached it. How many, how often does the, the second round, really go that well at most? I just I'm not a fan of that.
35:35 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
It does, it never does.
35:37 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
No.
35:39 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
How about this Belichick stuff? I was just going to say we're out great minds. Have you read the details? I was just reading right before we came on.
35:47 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, His son has to be. He's going to like bring the band back together together.
35:52
Matt, Patricia, I would. If I'm a UNC fan, I'd be outside. It'd be like January 6th outside the AD office right now. No way am I letting that happen. That's like the last thing on earth. You're like oh, it's Bill Belichick, no, no, you just. You just fired. You just fired a 74 year old guy. You're going to hire a 72-year-old guy who is going to bring his band of lunatics with it. That was why the Patriots had to fire him, Because he wouldn't get rid of Patricia and all these idiots.
36:23 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
No.
36:24 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Agree, that's why he can't get rid of them.
36:26 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Get that up though, zach, that's good stuff, what?
36:27 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
is wrong with him. Just be like Bill. Go hire some young talent, some real coordinators I'm okay with this.
36:34 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
That's a decent job. Go get yourself a nice young coach. There's one that beat you in Chapel Hill this year.
36:40 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Is this the same AD that hired Mack Brown? Again, that's hired. What does this guy have? Like we got to go and hire Jerry Attricks to coach in college football in 2024?.
36:54 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I don't get it. I don't like that at all. The stuff I was reading. I couldn't believe it. Uh, I honestly thought it was a spoof when he kept running.
37:02 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Here's his demands I literally yeah, I was looking at the account like this gotta be, it's gotta be a failure bob yeah, and it wasn't.
37:09 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
That's how I was like you gotta be kidding me. Happy Friday, fellas. Thoughts on Penn State team total under tackle issues against the now healthy front and Oregon doesn't turn it over or allow much havoc. Yeah, I haven't figured out exactly how I'm going to attack the Big Ten game tomorrow. I could see that I could see Oregon team total over because I think Penn State's defense is overrated. I was just hoping that my answer would be easy and that I could just lay three, but I don't think I'm going to see it. Or a cheap money line I don't think I'm going to see that either.
37:43 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
No, when are you at?
37:44 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Oregon. You like Penn State, oh, you like Penn State.
37:46 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I'm not. I got to be on. Maybe I'm a little softer on it than I was Monday, but I'm still on Penn State here.
37:53 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
We're going head-to-head. We got to break this tie.
37:55 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I know when are we going.
37:59 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Three and a half, no, yeah, I think you balked on it Monday too, I did, but I mean, we got tomorrow. Give me one more day. What's going to change? A lot can change. Uh, hainer 35. Oh, you and the under in the Mac championship? No, we like Miami Ohio. In fact, that's one of our best bets. You did a good job on the best bet, so bring them up, zach, our best bets. We've got the two props, cause we only got about 10 more minutes here. Uh, man can issue is like carrying the show this week. Well, how I know your buddy, mr Peanut bar, would say how's that different than any other way? Both side and total. There are money line we're his and the total. We've got some CLV there. So good job there. Can I screw with both of those? And then the two props. I like our. I like our portfolio. So far, is there anything?
38:51 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
else looking at.
38:53 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I would need a three on Clemson and then I would be okay with that. Yeah.
38:57 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I agree. I agree with that. I don't think now We'll see if we get it.
39:01 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
It looked like man. The faraway places you know that are usually have those leans. Yeah, they were wanting to go this morning, weren't they? Yeah, I got. I got nothing right now. I I'll promise I'll have one, probably tomorrow. The iowa state defense if I knew exactly how the you know the game plan, like I knew they were committed to putting extra guys in the box then I'd say iowa state yeah, and you know what, I that was one.
39:32 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I guess we should have made it, but it was never real, I mean.
39:36 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
What's the difference? Two and a half, one and a half. You just want to go now. Hey, you said they'd win the game. You want to win the best money line.
39:43 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, I mean they'll probably win by two, now that we said that, or lose by two, but yeah.
39:48 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
No, let is your money line. Let's do it. Iowa State money line. What do you got Plus 105. Are you okay with that, or you want to?
39:56 - Zack Phillips (Announcement)
take the one and a half.
39:58 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
No, I'm with you.
39:59 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I'm calling the shot Iowa State wins. There you go Plus 102.
40:05 - Zack Phillips (Announcement)
Plus 102.
40:06 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
That's the best.
40:07 - Zack Phillips (Announcement)
Yeah, since the beginning of the show it has moved. Since you guys are talking about it, it's down to minus 102 on FanDuel right now, iowa State money line minus 102. There's no 105 out there.
40:19 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Interesting. All right, what the hell? All right, 102. We'll take it Damn.
40:30 - Zack Phillips (Announcement)
I got something for you guys too, by the way, if you want to relive a conference future.
40:34 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Uh-oh, uh-oh, what did he cook up here?
40:40 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Oh, no, also in the chat, any conference futures. We've been eyeing Mr Sun Devil 75-1. Indiana 30-1 to make the playoffs.
40:50 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Oh, my God Brianna knows. I don't think they're terrible I the arizona state one I can get behind. I don't think they win. But um, I mean, I don't mind it, especially at that price. The indiana to make the playoff, uh, is a no for me, like I'm just really have you seen the schedule dog in one game?
41:12 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I will say that the negative is they will not get the benefit of the doubt. If they're 10 and 2, I think they gotta go.
41:18 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
No, they won't and I mean this is a team that's played fiu, one of the the five worst teams in fbs westwood, illinois, maybe the worst team in fcs, and a ucla team that's an absolute corpse and now and now they get out. You know another cupcake in charlotte, um. So I agree, the schedule is pretty light, but I think there's gonna be an opportunity. Yes, and a UCLA team that's an absolute corpse, and now and now they get out. You know another cupcake in Charlotte, um.
41:35 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
so I agree, the schedule is pretty light but I think there's going to be an opportunity to play against them coming up, yeah Well, also in the chat. Any conference futures. We've been Jesus. Well hopefully it doesn't have the Travis Hunter one queued up up. Yeah, yeah, not today, but that'll come up.
42:00 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, that'll be next saturday, uh, my goodness, dad, we did not do a good job on the offseason portfolio. Chuck charles, you know. So I've got boot him out of the chat now after those two. Those are two bangers, uh, give nobody can listen to us.
42:08 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Charles, hopefully you have 75 to 1, and what was? Was that 30 to one on Indiana.
42:12 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, third man, third man, I did. I did not see that, I did not see either.
42:17 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Man, I didn't see. I didn't see any of this. Obviously I would have bet it. Usually, college football is not normally a long shot when it comes to that stuff. But new days Got to, got to, got to reconsider, reconsider, recalibrate, especially transfer portal heavy teams. Uh. A couple more thoughts on idaho fcs powerhouse over 50 and a half.
42:42 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I I'm not on that game at all, to be honest with you lehigh um, it's a bad spot for lehigh, but they're a good running team it is, and you see some of these teams after they. You know Lehigh, they kind of finished the season on a big run. They're not a traditional power or any of that. Sometimes the juice runs out.
42:59 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I need it under 14 to bet Idaho.
43:01 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, that's yep, that's what I was going to price there.
43:04 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
but we'll see. We'll see where we're at on that one. Tomorrow Could have a best bet there. Memphis in the chat I won't say that Heisman has lost so much luster.
43:16 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, I agree with that Well this year.
43:18 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I mean, it's been over for a month. What's up, guys? You guys are like David, montgomery and Gibbs. Enjoy your weekend, moses. Thank you, moses, anything else, man.
43:31 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I'll take Gibbs, you take Montgomery.
43:34 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Okay, fair enough.
43:36 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Gibbs a little bit more you know. The flash gear a little bit more you know.
43:38 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, I got you.
43:40 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
You're in the trenches grinding out, you know, four or five yards a carry.
43:43 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
All right, I got nothing else. No, I think it's going to be a little shorter. I mean nine games compared to 55, it'd be a little shorter, we like.
43:56 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I mean nine games compared to 55, which should be a little shorter. Half time of iowa state arizona state tomorrow.
44:00 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yes, yeah, maybe we'll have a preference then, after we see it a little bit, to have a best bet second half of that game, right, and you know what we'll come uh with? We'll have some, I'll do the napkin as far as smu stuff, yeah, and we'll have the FCS. We'll have the FCS. Yeah, one or two. Hopefully we'll see more threes.
44:17 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
We'll wait until half time tomorrow.
44:21 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, I get angry messages not to talk. I get quite a few of them these days, hey, but you know what we're all about our customer, so our viewers, and thank you guys again for a great season. We'll try to bring it home. Tomorrow Again halftime, Iowa State, Arizona State. Big 12 championship game for the man, the myth, the legend himself, Joey Knish. Producer extraordinaire, Zach Phillips. We thank you guys for all the questions, comments, concerns. You just watched Hit the Books, part of the Hammer Betting Network sponsored by none other than FanDuel. See you tomorrow.