Hit the Books | Week 1 Previews, Player Props, Parlays, and Best Bets

2024-08-30

 

 

Welcome to our latest blog post, where we break down the key takeaways from our recent podcast episode titled "Expert Insights and Winning Strategies for College Football Betting." Whether you're a seasoned bettor or just dipping your toes into the world of college football betting, this episode is packed with valuable insights, expert analysis, and strategic advice to help you stay ahead of the game.

 

Episode Overview

 

In this action-packed episode, we uncover insider secrets to winning big in college football betting. We start by dissecting the Minnesota game, delving into key player rumors, and analyzing their impact on the outcome. We then explore the unexpected outcomes of North Dakota State's close call and Rutgers' underwhelming performance. Additionally, we spotlight Colorado's standout players, Shador Sanders and Travis Hunter, and discuss how injury concerns could affect their season.

 

Our skepticism about the ACC's strength is another hot topic, leading us to share expert betting strategies for the Oklahoma State vs. South Dakota State game. We provide critical insights on FCS game lines and examine Wake Forest's defensive adjustments. The Vanderbilt vs. Virginia Tech game also comes under scrutiny, with a focus on tactical shifts and the influence of global syndicates on betting lines. Finally, we dive into betting totals in the Florida vs. Miami showdown.

 

But that's just the beginning. We reveal our standout summer bets, celebrate market victories, and reflect on the challenges of FCS picks. From conservative play-calling to Coastal Carolina's impressive showing, we cover it all. Equip yourself with strategic advice on weather impacts, game tempo, and insider tips on navigating the betting market. Our in-depth analysis and predictions for upcoming matchups ensure you're always ahead of the game.

 

Key Chapter Summaries

 

College Football Recap and Best Bets (0:00:00 - 0:11:50)

The episode kicks off with a brief mention of college football and a new sponsorship by FanDuel. We then recap the previous night's games, including the Minnesota game, North Dakota State's close call, and Rutgers' lackluster performance. The critical roles of Colorado's Shador Sanders and Travis Hunter amidst injury concerns are also highlighted.

 

College Football Analysis and Betting Picks (0:11:50 - 0:17:55)

We delve into the perceived strength of the ACC conference and our skepticism about its overall quality. Expert betting strategies for the Oklahoma State vs. South Dakota State game are shared, along with insights into the volatility of FCS game lines and Wake Forest's defensive performance.

 

Football Betting Market Analysis (0:17:55 - 0:26:25)

This chapter focuses on recent trends in the sports betting marketplace, including the influence of global syndicates on line movements and specific bets like Fowler Nicolosi's passing yards for Colorado State. We also discuss considerations for betting on totals in the Florida vs. Miami game.

 

College Football Betting Analysis (0:26:25 - 0:37:31)

We highlight our favorite bets and plays of the summer, reflect on the challenges of FCS picks, and discuss conservative play-calling in college football. Coastal Carolina's strong performance is also commended, and we celebrate reaching a record number of viewers.

 

College Football Betting Discussion (0:37:31 - 0:40:07)

We analyze recent college football games and provide predictions for upcoming matchups, including insights into team performances, player updates, and game totals. Key player absences and their impact on teams are also discussed.

 

College Football Betting Discussion Continued (0:40:07 - 0:45:09)

This chapter focuses on betting strategies and insights for upcoming games, including the impact of weather on game outcomes and the significance of tempo and efficiency in predicting game results. We also address member questions and provide thoughts on various matchups.

 

College Football Betting Analysis Continued (0:45:09 - 0:56:04)

We explore various betting strategies and insights for upcoming games, discuss the impact of key player absences, and consider middling opportunities in specific matchups. The potential struggles of teams like Purdue within the Big Ten are also analyzed.

 

Week 1 College Football Betting Picks (0:56:04 - 1:02:31)

We discuss the high-stakes excitement of a football game with significant consequences for the losing team. Betting strategies, including the underdog Moneyline Round Robin, are analyzed, and alternate considerations like North Texas and FAU are explored.

 

Weekend Betting Discussion and Preview (1:02:31 - 1:03:32)

We reflect on recent betting strategies, discuss the potential impact on betting line movements, and express excitement for upcoming games. We also remind listeners to tune in for our halftime show during the Miami-Florida game.

 

Conclusion

 

This episode is a treasure trove of insights for anyone interested in college football betting. From in-depth game analysis and strategic betting advice to market trends and player updates, we cover everything you need to know to make informed bets. Don't miss out on our expert predictions and tips to ensure you're always ahead of the game.

 

Stay tuned for more episodes as we continue to provide expert insights and winning strategies for college football betting. Happy betting!

 

 

 

About the Hit the Books Podcast

 

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Episode Transcript

00:00 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
three, two, one, all right. 5 o'clock on a Friday. Let's do this. Let's hit the books. Part of the Hammer Betting Network sponsored by FanDuel. Alongside the man, the myth, the legend himself, joey Knish, producer extraordinaire, zach Phillips, I am merely Brad Powers. 

01:01
Before we get to all your questions concerns comments, before we recap what happened in college football last night on a loaded Thursday card, before we get into all that and have even more best bets, let me remind everybody in case you've been living on a rocker, in case this is your first show that you're tuning in for the upcoming season, because college football does really get going here tomorrow, on Saturday, we do officially have that new sponsor. It is FanDuel, like I mentioned at the top, and you can start your college football season off with a win on FanDuel because right now, new customers can kick off the season with 200 bucks in bonus bets. Just place any $5 bet and you'll get 200 in bonus bets guaranteed. You can use your bets on spreads, live bets, over-unders, so much more. Honestly, the FanDuel is the book, at least this offseason. I put most of my bets in just because they've been first to market and they've had a variety of different bets, whether it's FCS, whether it's player props, whether it's individual awards, season win totals, game of the years, they've had it. All you got to do is just visit fanduelcom slash hit the books to download america's number one sportsbook. That's fanduelcom slash. Hit the books. One word you must be 21 plus and present in select states for kansas in affiliation with the kansas star casino, or 18 plus and present in dc. First online real money wager only five dollar. First deposit required bonus issued at non-withdrawable bonus bets which expires seven days after receipt. Restrictions apply See terms at sportsbookfanduelcom. 

02:29
Gambling problem Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Or visit fanduelcom slash RG. Call 1-888-789-7777. Or visit ccpgorg slash chat in Connecticut. Or visit mdgamblinghelporg in Maryland. Hope is here. Visit gamblinghelplinemaorg or call 800-327-5050 for 247 support in massachusetts. Or call 1-877-8 hope new york. Or text hope new york in new york. Kanish, what's happening, man? Uh, how'd that thursday night go? Because, uh, you know, I, I just think it's funny. Clv doesn't matter, doesn't matter, doesn't matter until it does, when you have freaking negative CLV. 

03:07 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, you know what. It was one of those, I will say. At halftime I thought Minnesota had taken over the game and then they were going to row them through the mud. But not a great second half. I mean, I wasn't really impressed with either team. 

03:26 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I saw. 

03:27 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Max Johnson. I was out for the year. I don't know if that's a bad thing for Carolina, because he was awful. Rosmer wasn't particularly in their passing game, wasn't particularly great, I knew once. So there were some rumors. The reason this got out is that Taylor and Daniel Jackson were early rumors that they both weren't going to play. Jackson ends up playing plays, all right, but it really it kind of looked like that same stale Minnesota offense that couldn't protect the passer, didn't get enough in the run game and yeah, as you pointed out, I mean that's the difference. 

04:01
Right, if we were coming on there, and those are the ones that rub me, the saltiest is, take a bad number and you pay for it, because, if you know, you took the best numbers that were available. You either pushed or you won. Um, yeah and so yeah, no, that's uh, that was obviously an annoying one. And the other, um. The other fact was you know I I was waiting on BP if North Dakota state was going to win outright. Uh, for for a little. Uh, you know I was looking for that Twitter, but um, I was quiet on Twitter last night. 

04:35
Yeah, yeah, you were, you were, and uh, you know we're going to. We might have to get you in a you know a little, uh, extra cup, a cup of coffee here to keep it rolling again. You know your bp's been left out. 

04:48 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
He let it all out in week zero, but, um no, I like the games. Honestly. That's what I was just. 

04:51
I mean, I was constantly flicking around and seeing what was happening, whether it's bg or toledo or buffalo or, uh, a bunch of. I watched a ton rutgers who I didn't like. I think we're right about the quarterback situation there. Good team, bad quarterback play. I'll say this because people ask me, max Johnson to downgrade, maybe a point. I agree with you. I don't think it's that big at all, so I don't think that would be a big deal. But I agree with your statement. I didn't like either team last night from what I saw from the big game. Colorado, I hate to say it. They, uh. Colorado, I hate to say it. They are who we thought they were. Uh, shador is a really good quarterback. Travis hunter, uh, might be the most talented player in the country. The rest of the team, no good. They cannot afford an injury to either one of those guys, and obviously I'm not talking out for the season, but if any one of those two guys misses a game, colorado's gonna lose the game. 

05:40
It's that simple uh, and I'll just this that is the least on paper expected to be their weakest opponent this year. I know North Dakota state's good, but I mean they got to go on the road to Colorado state. I mean almost lost Colorado state at home last year. Colorado state hasn't hosted them in like 30 years. They'll be amped. Nebraska is going to be amped next week. It's every freaking week for Colorado and I I stand by my under wind. Total bet Speaker. 

06:04 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
total bet I was, I'm gonna give that, I'm gonna give it some love on this. I knew, I knew what you were coming in, that I will say I think they have. When it's all that, what one of the best passing attacks in America when it's when it's like when it's right when it looked like it did last night. And I mean Shadur Sanders is gonna be a first round pick. 

06:23
I mean really yeah, yeah like he he was if you watch his quarterback play versus a lot of the quarterback play we've seen through week zero and last night. I mean he makes some throws a lot and I watched that guy year one at Jackson State. From that player to what he is now, I'll give him credit that is a transformation because he looked like a average, above-average FCS quarterback. Give him credit that is a transformation because he looked like a average above average fcs quarterback to a guy that is kind of a lock top five or ten pick now. And, as you said, travis hunter you know who's been texting me today about travis under uh yeah, what do you? 

06:57 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
who cares if he had 500 yards in the game? He loses the game. 

07:00 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
He's been out of the heisman trophy just like that I would say I mean they, they, they are an exception, as we said. Like itan trophy, just like that. I would say I mean they, they are an exception, as we said. Like it's a shame that they weren't able to. I mean, the defense was still bad. North dakota state was running the same play. It's funny if you were really in like intricate into the game. They're running like the same crossing pattern and the same play action over and over and over again and it just kept working um, um. So yeah, the defense was bad. Um, they're going to be a fun team. As long as those guys are healthy, there'll be a fun team to watch. Uh, but yeah, they, there's a lot to be desired on the rest of the roster. 

07:39 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
We got a lot more people watching. I don't know if they're following or fading, but four, 50 right now watching, uh, which is almost double what we had last Friday. So people are pumped about the season, to say the least. Expounded on Colorado, I mean, were they really that different than last year's team? Struggled line of scrimmage. Maybe they got another athlete or two at wide receiver, but I didn't think North Dakota State played that smart of a game in some instances. What were they doing with that second quarterback coming in there? I'll give you an example it was 24 20. Obviously it was a bad luck on Colorado. On the end zone, the interception, north Dakota State's moving the football down 24 20. They're at like midfield on a second and two. They bring in another quarterback and the drive stalls and I can't. 

08:22 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Miller was great. I know that's one of the best games I've ever seen him play. 

08:26 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
It just was silly. Colorado is not well coached either. Let's just be honest. I was hoping I mean Shardour taking that shot, when they could have just taken a knee. That would have been you want to talk about Twitter being something else one of the all-time Twitter knights in the history? That would have been it had North Dakota State came back and won that game. I mean, that would have been the crystal ball situation on steroids. 

08:54 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yep, I agree with you because that really would have lit up the. I mean because you're one of the most polarizing people in sports, deion Sanders. I saw people in the chat, I saw what he said about the draft situation, so he's gone. I mean they're all gone. Like Colorado, football after this season is going to be back to like the pre-Deion era. It's going to be like a complete disaster next year. 

09:23 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
So I don't know, it might be just as bad. Bad, if not worse than what he inherited I agree, I agree, and so enjoy it. 

09:30 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Um, enjoy this season, that's all I'll say, because, yeah, they're bad, they haven't recruited anything and I think everybody is on out, on the way out, after the season let's go to the chat. 

09:41 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Uh, john hudson, uh, new member, so we appreciate that, john, and speaking of that, one, one, one one. 

09:47 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Like I watched a lot I I might have double dipped even a little bit more. You, I can't believe you're not bowling green baby. Oh okay, they're gonna win the mac, they're gonna win the match I didn't want to bring them on the camera. 

10:01 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
They're gonna win the mac. They might run the table in the mac. 

10:01 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
That is the best team in the mac. Uh, I'm glad you're bringing. I didn't want to bring him on the camera. They're going to win the Mac. They might run the table in the Mac. That is the best team in the Mac. 

10:07 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I'm glad you're bringing it. I didn't want to bring it up because people would be like, oh, you're a homer. I'm normally negative. They looked, did they? I don't know who's their strength and conditioning coordinator. They looked good, I mean just physically. Yeah, yeah, that's good, I mean I bet. 

10:23 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
There's still six to one, six, 50 to one out there. 

10:25 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, that is the best future in the market conference Future could play off of him. 

10:31 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
That is the best team in the Mac. You can hear right here they're going to the Mac title game and we'll be there on site doing a show with the 15 other Bowling Green fans that are in powers family. 

10:44 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
All right, I'll commit to that. 

10:46
I will commit to that? Yeah, I will, so I don't disagree. Offense defensive line look good. Hell, even they brought it. Have you seen that backup quarterback come, came in and he can run? Yeah, good looking football team I was. That was a game I watched quite a bit of and I was impressed. John, since he is a new member, he gets to the top of the food chain, which is important. 

11:09
Uh, in the comments uh, week zero and yesterday makes the ACC look terrible. Have opinions or positions changed about Miami, clemson or other ACC games tonight or tomorrow? Yeah, it's not like a bowl game situation where you have a bunch of data, you think teams are good and then they go out and play other conference teams and it's not. It's not reflective. So, uh, I need more data and you know, just because NC state looked terrible, um, and Florida state, that doesn't look good and some of the other teams at the top wake, wake was struggling a little bit there for a little bit. Uh, that doesn't, as of right now, it doesn't have anything to do with Miami or Clemson, in my opinion. 

11:48 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
No, I would agree. Yeah, I'm not going to overreact to short, Sam. To be honest with you, I don't really think the ACC was. I mean, was there this perception the ACC was that good to begin with? I don't, I mean, I like me. 

12:01
I don't think there was a top 10 team. Yeah, I kind of had held that position going in. So it's not one where I'm like, oh the ACC is down, ACC has kind of been down. Maybe some of the elites now are a little less down. But yeah, I'm not too bullish. It really doesn't change my position on the conference at all. 

12:23 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Let's keep it rolling Very stable, degenerate in the chat. Do you think North Dakota State's cover against Colorado will drop the Oklahoma State South Dakota State line to under 10? Do you have a play either way if it moves off of 10? I really don't. I guess lean Oklahoma State Probably prefer under Speaking of under I mean first half. I look like an idiot giving out first half under Colorado, north Dakota State last night and then second half is just a total standstill. No tempo whatsoever. Figures. That's bold BP for you guys. Yeah, as far as the Oklahoma State game, I don't anticipate to be making a bet on it tomorrow, to be honest with you, unless the total gets up over 55. That'd be my only buy price right now. Have you played it you? You like the side, you like South Dakota state. 

13:09 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, I will say uh, just from knowing some people, I wouldn't be surprised You'll see a better number on South Dakota to state tomorrow, I think, if you want to play that side. So, if you like Oklahoma, state a half. Um, if you want some want to wait and take some jacks, uh, I think you'll see a better price tomorrow. So I played a little 10 and a half. It's not going to be a huge position. Uh, if it goes above 10 and a half tomorrow, maybe I'll sprinkle a little bit um, so bring a little bit more. But uh, it's one of those games I, I think it's lying pretty fairly but might go up a little bit. But, um, yeah, not not one of the ones that. Uh, I mean that's another one that's been out there for a long time too, so won't be. 

13:48 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I have a strong position on either way macro thought uh, stay in front of the the screen. Uh, the, the moves on fcs games are wild. I mean two, three points back and forth. I mean I go up two points, down, two points. I mean it's, uh, you'll probably. If you want south dakota state, you will uh get. Uh, you, there's a good chance. I think you can get a ten and a half. So just wait it out. 500 viewers, highest this season how's that? Do uh forward? Progress hasn't started yet. Starts next week. I'll be anxious to see how we compare with that, max viewership is yeah zach we're gonna kill. 

14:27
That is gonna be a big rivalry this season. I'm telling you uh, we're, we're obviously the underdogs, we're college, they're pro, they get, you know, 3x the viewership. 

14:39
So not on this channel correlates to the show viewership? I doubt it. They're coming here to see the man and I don't mean me. Let's keep it rolling. Drunk Driver H3. In the chat Thoughts on Wake Forest defense. Yesterday they were so lucky to almost sniff a cover. Nc A&T was moving the ball pretty easily. You know what? I haven't deep-dived that game yet, so I know it was a little struggle early. I bet North Carolina A&T in the game. But have you gotten to the box score on that one? I haven't yet. 

15:07 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I would say you know what? I know these aren't very liquid, but I played a lot of Wake Forest second half. In that one I think it just was one A&T came out, had a couple of drives. I don't think it's a great Wake Forest defense to begin with. Second half, um, they made a few adjustments and the offense got cooking. So it kind of one of those you saw it and, I think, a lot of scenarios in the in the game, unless it was, you know, the Arkansas Pines, arkansas, where one team's just so overmatched, where there was some slow starts by by FBS teams yesterday or not wanting to show anything, keeping it vanilla, some guy, you know you're getting your suspensions or any of that out of the way if somebody was late, if you're playing a cupcake. So just one of those uh, I wouldn't read too much into it um of one that I thought that you know that, again, that's not a great unit to begin with, so I wouldn't be downgrading wake forest a whole lot based on that performance bad news, barrister. 

16:02 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Uh in the chat, thoughts on vandy vt over or vt team total over, especially if mandy is really going to play fast. 

16:10 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Uh, mandy, I thought it's going to play slow right, yeah, I, I don't think they're going to play. I think the no, I think it's opposite play slow lines. 

16:17 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Catered total. It's catered. I I bet virginia tech about six months ago in the game and I haven't made another bet in the game. 

16:27 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, I actually I bet some under before the move. I don't know, there's some very like. This is one I don't really and I I mean I liked that. I would see that the side. So I liked the side. There's some variants there Cause, as you said, it's a new offense. 

16:41
They're going to try some weird. You know a lot of shifting, a lot of that usually means slower pace. How it's going to work with Pavi and doing that, I don't know. I don't think it's going to be very good. Gun to my head. I'd still take Vatek under 14, but I know with the total coming down, there was a little bit of buy-in on the side. I think Vandy sucks. I mean I just don't believe in one. Like I know they're trying to change it up, like I just I'm not a believer in the coaching staff and I don't think they're. They lost a number like a couple of guys off anybody that was good on last year's roster. So when you're importing the New Mexico State, I like the New Mexico State players in CUSA. I don't like them in the SEC or in this game. 

17:21 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, there you go. Some team total 30 and a half. Yeah, I, nothing screams value there. Uh, for me great, and I did. You know, a lot of steam on the under makes sense. Couple really sharp guys were on the under there. Uh, grace in texas, colorado state, up to 33 and a half. 

17:36
Would you think texas not going to show too much with michigan on deck line keeps going up. A couple macro thoughts on that game specific. I mean the worry would be arch manning comes in. You ain't gonna put arch manning in there and have them, you know, take knees and hand it off. I mean they'll probably throw them, throw the ball a little bit there. Also. I'm seeing in the marketplace let's just call a spade a spade I'm seeing, you know, the the touts, the market influencers who had released stuff all summer and it's been nothing but one way action. We're seeing it on multiple stuff. A little bit of buyback on some of those releases. I don't care if it's Brad Powers right, angle Sports, we're seeing it across the board. A little bit of buyback on some of the lines that have moved four or five points. You concur with that or are you? 

18:21 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
going to push that. I agree with that. I mean, yeah, yeah, there's definitely um, I mean you're seeing a lot of like the, the global syndicates, uh, you know usually I mean you saw the movement today you know when limits really go up. That's when you start seeing the. You know the, the, the influences that are not on twitter, you're you're. You know your major syndicates across the world that are, you know, betting. You know a couple hundred thousand, seven trying to get seven figures position on games. Usually see that, as you've seen, it's coming down on Friday, saturday, so that's why when are we going to be? 

18:50
that, yeah, I was going to say, yeah, as soon as Phillips and Pozzola start funding something. Yeah, getting us up there. But yeah, that's why you didn't see nothing for a few months. And now you're the screen move all over the place. But listen, I think it was when people were looking for a 31-ish on Texas. It got close, it didn't get there. It steams back up. And I tell you, zach, a passing prop in that one this was franchise approved was Fowler-Nicolosi, over 206.5. Thoughts is that they're going to, I think, colorado state. It's just a volume play that he's going to throw this ball 40, 50 times. 

19:32 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I like it that Texas secondary sucks too. 

19:34 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
That's a good yeah, texas. Secondary of the week. 

19:36 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
That one I like there. 

19:38 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
They're there, they're just going to. I mean they're going to throw the ball. I mean it's a no like an offense that they're going to throw the ball. I mean it's like an offense that they're going to drop back and throw this 50 or 60 times. So it might take them that much to get there, depending on how they're throwing in that. So yeah, that's an overpassing yardage. That number is right around I think it played it right around 200. So yeah, that's playable at the 206.5. 

19:59 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Love it. Best bet Fowler Nicolosi, colorado State, over passing yards over 206 and a half. Love it, I concur. 

20:06 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I don't have a side. I didn't answer his question. 

20:10 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I missed the boat on the Colorado State early. I didn't bet it like an idiot. I agree that that'd be what I'd look, what I mean. If I a 35 and a half pop back up, I would bet Colorado State yeah. But unless that does, if that doesn't show, no bet their side. Uh, for me. Uh, grayson also in the chat, kentucky also down 26 and a half. Any injuries to know, they've been a little bit banged up in camp running back, uh, uh, banged up there, I don't know. Just you know, was steamed up from 24 to 28. You're probably getting a little bit of buyback. Uh, I'd say, generally, seeing I'm tired of looking at this board, man, I want week two to be here already. I just I'm tired of looking at the same game, same line, same screen. Uh, that's just where I'm at, I'm just yeah no, I, I hear you we've been. 

20:56 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
It feels like, especially because we've been doing you've been talking about a lot of the same matchups for you know, months now. Um, but yeah, that's what I. I it got to a key number, people hit the key number, it builds down and now it's kind of it's shaped pretty good, so it's one of those 27 no bet for me yeah, well, if you got kentucky, you know when there were some early 24, I think, out there, you know months and that good bet. 

21:16
If you got some southern miss 28, maybe a 28 and a half juice, then good bet. So it probably closes right around where it's been shaped to now that's all. 

21:25 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
It is folks right there. It is numbers, not teams. Uh, david d on the chat. Nebraska utep, spread thoughts. Florida, miami, total thoughts did not bet the spread on nebraska utep. Uh, and again, I'm not afraid to make a bet. I got, I think, 100. Uh the bets in now. Uh counting FCS, florida, miami, total man. I've heard, I've heard cases on both for that one. Uh, typically big matchups like this early. I want to go under. But heat, humidity, I think Miami will play with a little bit of tempo, in my opinion. I would if it was my game plan. Uh, cause Florida, I think, is fat and out of shape on defense. Uh, what have you heard on the total on Miami? 

22:06 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, I agree, I think that I've had some, some thoughts both ways. Um, if this, I'll put it, if I saw 53 and a half, uh, maybe a cheap 54, I think I, I think I'd pull the trigger on over. Um, so we'll, I'll be monitoring that, see where it goes. I did, I, I got, I bet, monitoring that, see where it goes. I did, I, I got, I bet some miami money line. In this one there was a minus 120, it's 127 or something. Um, that was good. There's 130s around. Uh, I don't know what's our friends at fan duel trading right now. 

22:36 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
But uh 37. 

22:37 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
yeah, so I'm, I like miami to win the game. Um, there you go, but I know some, some again there's been, and any time it hits three or go, go ahead. 

22:47 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I'll take florida to win the game. 

22:51 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Oh look at this guy. All right, I thought you were gonna. You know that's what I went. Folks numbers, no numbers matter. I waited him out on last week's show. He wouldn't give me the two and a half, and so now we're going the money line yeah, money line I prefer the three, but I mean, I don't know if we're getting there, uh. 

23:09 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
So yeah, give me four, I'll take florida to win. Yeah, there we go that's good, right, big game. You and I go head to head, I like that I'm excited that'd be our game that we do this week. Or you want to do the georgia clemson game. For those of you that don't know, we are doing a Saturday show halftime game. You want to do that game? Or? 

23:27 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
what? What game are we doing tomorrow? What time is the we? 

23:31 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
haven't decided. It's up to us. You want to do the Florida-Miami halftime? 

23:35 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, let's do the Florida-Miami halftime. That would be fun. We still got to preview the night games. 

23:40 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
We've seen already all the noon games already where the noon games I mean we, you know, yeah, georgia clams and we'll have a big a thought, but they, you know, not many, not many noon games. So I mean, that way we can get quick reactions off the games are already done and the three 30 games that are at halftime and plus still have night games. So, yeah, let's do it right now. We'll call it halftime, you and me, head-to-head, miami Florida. That'll be good. Good promotion. Hey, we're doing the job for the promotion. I mean we could do it all here. I mean, all right, Keep it rolling in the chat. 

24:12
T Lynch thoughts on what we see from Kennesaw State this year. It looks like this is why I love this show. Kennesaw State this year, easy for me to say. It looks like UTSA should roll. They are bigger than your typical G5 O-line D-line. I agree with that thought Dominating the trenches. Grab minus 21 early, but still feel short. I can't disagree with anything you said there. The only hang-up I would have is Kennesaw State Redshirted a lot of guys last year. They're not as bad as the team that went 0-6 against FCS teams a year ago, but 23.5 is a pretty big overlay with where I have in my power ratings just saying yeah, I would still be. 

24:55 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I know some guys that when it got to I think 25 or something, there was a little interesting. 

25:00 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I'm not there. 

25:01 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I don't think you know what I mean. Maybe I'm using one data point too strongly. But Sam Houston did that same thing and tried to redshirt some guys and the next season, you know when they come up and they sucked they still. They were still like trash. 

25:14 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
They were slow out of the game and I don't think Kennesaw State. 

25:17 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, yeah, it took right. It took some time. You know the second half of the season was moderately better, but I don't, I mean, I don't think the Kennesaw State team's any good, even with some of the guys you're coming there. So, um, yeah, I agree with you. I mean that if I'm playing Deadpool's advocate, it'd be. Maybe there's a few questions on UTSA, um, but I don't have any like positive bullish. Kennesaw State takes uh at all, it would be. If they don't cover, I think it'd be more of. You know UTSA can't find a solution at the quarterback position or lost them off last year. But, um, yeah, for me, I like we, we talked, we were on this game early and I'd still be on it at where it's at currently holt in the chat and long time listener and viewer. 

26:00 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
We appreciate you, holt. Any thoughts on fau michigan state total fau down to 13, total still 45. Lean under, uh, yeah, under. I bet under different number. Uh, we have a best bet on FAU plus 14.5, making sure you know that for tonight I'm comfortable. I lean under but I prefer the FAU side. Yeah, whatever we need to get to the window there. 

26:24 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
That was my favorite. I honestly did not think all summer that and I'm glad we were on. You know we did the show when it happened because usually it doesn't line up that magically, but we got a 14.5. That's probably my favorite play of the night is that I was hoping. I didn't think it would get there all summer. It got there for a short period of time and then got whacked back down. So yeah, I really like FAU at 14 and a hook or even 14. So that was kind of the buy and a hook or for even 14. So that that was kind of the buy price I was looking for all summer. We got it played it. I don't have much. So I kind of agree with the under move. I know a Sparty guy bet with his thinks it's gone a little far now, but I don't know. I don't have a lot of optimism in either of these offenses, if I'm being honest. I don't have a lot of optimism in either of these offenses, if I'm being honest. 

27:15 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Aiden Childs I like, I don't like him. 

27:17 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I really like Aiden Childs. 

27:18 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I don't like what he has in front of him or around him, but um no, I like our bet there, in case you know all they're just, you know, talking about old bets. Hey, I mean we posted this. 

27:33
This was what posted this. This was the what latin a week ago, or was nothing. This was a monday show. We gave this out and keep in mind, if you follow, hit the books on bet stamp, you get these bets immediately. So and now I'll recap all the ones that we've given out at the end of the show and we'll probably have some more best bets uh t lynch. I know you don't want to spill the secret fcs offs, but louisville minus 37, with austin p losing a lot link twice If Louisville rolls. Yeah, I mean the market's already. I mean you think, oh, 37, it's already up, it's, it's already up 10 points. 

28:01 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, like it was. Yeah, that it's just. I think that that's one that's took off to like yeah. I couldn't look at me. 

28:09 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I let it go. It moved five points before I got involved. I just was watching. I'm like, nope, I was hoping for like a head fake type thing. Nope, not getting that. People are firing. There's no market manipulation. Game day you see a little bit of it more complicated, but as far as what they have up at FanDuel, people are just betting the right side and away they go on these. I waited at least a half dozen of them and they've all moved. So I'm just like we'll see what happens. Uh, fcs was pretty good. Uh, it's just tough to give out because the line moves so quick. 

28:46 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
But yeah, it really it's. 

28:48 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I mean it's really hard to do it before. 

28:51 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
like everything goes and we're not on the air at that time. Even if we were, it's an insane, yeah, so it's tough to do it from a show standpoint. 

29:03 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Luke in the chat. Why do college coaches still conservatively play for the field at the end of the game? I know we didn't drive this home on the Minnesota-North Carolina game, but my goodness. Also thanks for Coastal. They were the significantly better team. That was a wild game, turnovers and, uh, that was a good win for Coastal. That was one for the for the win total. Remember we got the over on that. 

29:23 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, another one that the heavy game day money was just rolling in on Jacksonville State wrong. 

29:32 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Couldn't have been more wrong. 

29:33 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, and they got buried Like buried. You got to be concerned about Jacksonville State after that. 

29:42 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I mean not to overreact to the game. My quarterback situation was terrible. 

29:44 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, that's bad. One of the conditions you all said Smothers is not healthy, but they're. 

29:52 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I like the off kid from Furman. He was good but, not good last night no, no, they. 

29:58 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, that was kind of I'm pretty shocked, shocking that they took that much money and shocking kind of they got smacked that bad on their home field. 

30:07 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, coastal's one of them teams. They had like 60 new players in the Looks like they did a good job scouting. They had guys flying all over. They look apart. I mean, that team is going to be live in Sunbelt. They play like that. This year. Vasco looked good at quarterback too. They're throwing up down the field. They look like a well-oiled machine out of the gates. We're up to 560 viewers. 

30:33 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
This has to be a record. 

30:34 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
We are uh at record viewers here love it. Thanks, uh, for tuning in. Let's get some freaking wins, though, and then then we'll see what happens. Uh, zach in the chat? Oh, we didn't answer. Why do they conservatively play for field goal at the end of the game? I don't know why they're idiots. 

30:47 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I mean, it's gonna cost PJ Fleck his job, I mean yeah, it's just guys just stuck in their ways that have been doing their thing further and they've made it up the chain doing it the way they've done it and it's very, you know, like it's just human nature. It's kind of almost a thing. You go into that show when you think you have one. I don't know why, but it still happens. It happens less. I mean, there's definitely, like you know, more uh, but college is one where you still got a lot of football guys, if you know what I'm saying. The nfl is almost kind of lapped college football and some of the uh, the innovation and the analytics part of it, um, it didn't used to be that way, but yeah, the, yeah, it was stupid. 

31:26 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Then you get what you deserve with that and you lose it's crazy because I didn't pick pj fleck wasn't mr conservative at western michigan, but he you know he is now. I mean at minnesota, my goodness, uh, jack in the chat bringing the south alabama spread up still think it's worth the fire under a touchdown. Uh, I'm more on the south alabama side. I'll respect the money on north texas. Uh, we did see a little money coming on south alabama today. I'm more on that side of things. 

31:55 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, I, I, that was what I figured. I was kind of surprised it lasted the four. You know four and a half five lasted so long out there. 

32:00 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, so now we're back, right back to where we were. And you know, I bet the game. 

32:06 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
A lot of these movies. After months they kind of get back to where, Right back to where we started. 

32:12 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Sometimes I'm just like what am I doing? I mean I just wake up on oh, it's game week, it's Friday, you know, let's go. Oh my God, we'll see Connor in the chat. Looks like a bit of a battle on the Army Lehigh side. Where do you guys stand? Mountain Hawks plus 32. Probably lean more with on the take there, but nothing big. I don't have a I made. I made it 28 and a half and people were like, well, that means you got to be, you know, yeah, big bet. No, I mean there's obviously big spreads. I need a little bit more in week one. I need a little bit more variance. 

32:49 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
And I'll tell you the favorites fbs rolled fcs yesterday 19-0 straight up, covered 13 of them yeah, yeah, and I was uh, just my guys, both the small positions uh on lehigh and duke, very small like duke, yeah, huh, yeah, interesting. So yeah, small position on duke at like 22 like Duke. Yeah, huh, yeah, interesting. So yeah, small position on Duke at like 22 and a half. 

33:18 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Um, and then a little bit of a battle on that one too. 

33:20 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, yeah, so that's been gone bad, that one's gone back and forth too, but nothing. Both like minor positions, um, and both sides uh, I guys on both sides of the FCS game tonight too, the Colgate-Maine. 

33:33 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Really. Yeah, I took Maine, but it's long gone. I wasn't wild about those FCS games tonight. Market's saying that with some battles. I'll tell you what was interesting last night. A lot of money came in on Sacramento State, a lot of money on Lafayette, a lot of money on Jackson State. 

33:56 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Fading three new coaches and all were wrong. Well, the jackson state guy is uh, was was right here, unfortunately, so oh, you're part of jackson state, yeah that's one where I laid six and a half. 

34:08 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Look like an idiot laying four and a half and I get all scared. Well, somebody must know something. The hell was just you. Like an idiot laying four and a half and I get all scared. Well, somebody must know something, and how? 

34:12 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
it was just you and that honestly, I was. I watched that game first quarter I was like this is this is trouble, like yeah, that ulm was just handing it off and man balling them. I was like, oh no this one. 

34:26 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Then it got pretty competitive. 

34:28 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Uh, it wasn't like a blue, but did you watch that on? I watched that on streaming. They never, they never went to commercial. 

34:31 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
They just showed like a blue. But did you watch that on? I watched that on streaming. They never. They never went to commercial. They just showed like a picture of this, Just the field. I always thought like I'd look up at the screen. I'm like, is that in a lightning delay now, Cause the way they had that picture, I'm like what the hell is going on? Ulm looked competent. Yeah, I got to take a look way more so than I don't. 

34:51 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
The quarterback position is a problem, but defense and the rest of like the offensive line and that running back, that guy was pounded, so yeah, they look well. I mean, the win total was one and a half right. 

35:03 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
That's what I mean. When I say competent, I mean like it's going over. 

35:07
You got over one and a half wins, you're going to win that bet. Yeah, they'll probably win three. I think if you bet over two, I think you're going win that bet. Yeah, just saying they'll probably win three, I think if you bet over two, I think you're gonna win. I think they'll win three games. Yeah, they looked better than I expected, agreed, patrick, in the chat. Hopefully you clip. I clipped that up. As far as me, I was all worried about the bet and it's just. That's good for social media. Uh, patrick, hey guys, hope last night went well for you. I hope tomorrow's even better for us. Happy labor day weekend. You guys know who and what pushed the Clemson line to 11 and a half. One of my sites, uh, best line scene. Uh, I think it was the injury news. I mean, george is uh in a bad spot at running back. Just running back. Just I mean chances they're gonna start maybe walk on it running back. 

35:55 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
So that's some of that. Yeah, you concur, yeah, the Georgia running back room, wide receiver rooms, a little banged up, um, and yeah, this is one that I, you know, during the summer I was like, yeah, george is gonna crush this Clemson squad. Now a different situation. So I I agree with the move. 

36:10 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Now, sadly, BP prop Market got involved. Yeah, it's just me. It's nothing I heard from franchise. I just they're gonna throw the football. I watched, uh, I watched them throw it 48 times in the spring game. I they like their tight ends with the running backs issue now. 

36:28
Yeah, yeah, I think Carson Beck's gonna throw and I looked at last year he topped 260 and 10 or 11 of the 12 game or 10 or 11 of the 13 games. So I don't like clemson secondary either, so I think they throw it around, carson, back over passing yards. That was uh released on the top service. Uh, connor, in the chat you want to be plus three and a half? 

36:48 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
oh, you better be right in business with this one, because all I heard all summer from you was UNLV and Joey K said well, you don't Houston, and now the three and a halves are back folks. 

37:01 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
So are you behind the Houston move? No, oh, okay, I'll best bet UNLV plus three and a half Are you against it, though? 

37:12 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
No, not, especially not. I didn't. I would at under three, I was not there three and a half yeah, I mean. 

37:17 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
The worry is I don't know about you know, I thought they'd have more stability at quarterback, like they'd have an answer and I. We won't have an answer, probably until five minutes before kick on. But I I hate going against willie fritz. I just think you and I'll be. I watched with my own eyes in the spring game. They got a lot of power fight transfers. This is a talented team. I think their defense is going to be better this year. That was all offense last year. As far as their improvements, this is the best UNLV team in 40 years in my opinion. Not saying much, but I think they went all right. So I got to give out plus three and a half. Best bet, un half. Best bet. You want to be plus three and a half? I bet it exactly at this number, plus three and a half. So I mean I gotta put my money where my mouth is. Uh, burt brownies in the chat. You fellows are bound for some positive regression on kent state this season, are you not? 

38:01 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
kent state plus 24 I've got what my guys wanted pit 23. So I've got some 23. I don't love it personally. Um, I I, I guess, gun to my head. That's probably the side I would take but yeah, I agree and state makes me actually want to put a gun to my head. 

38:19
So um yeah, I don't I don't know, burt, uh, if I can, how much I'm, more I can stomach on them, I would. I would was hoping for a little bit richer number, though to to get involved on that side yeah, yeah, I bet the over oh Hammond out for Pittsburgh. 

38:35 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I think a lot of people are making a big deal out of that. He's their leading rusher. He's ineligible for the season, just announced a couple hours ago. I don't think he was going to start. The Reed kid from Western Carolina is a more explosive player, so don't be overreacting to that. On that news on Pitt, maybe at the end of the season, when they needed another body, maybe, but right now for this individual game shouldn't impact the point spread, at least as far as I'm concerned. 

38:57
Shawnee Sports in the chat Coastal looked great last night. We agree, I think, get consistent quarterback play from Vasco. Do you think the Chants have a chance to make a run in the Sun Belt East? Yeah, we said that Absolutely After what I saw last night. Absolutely after what I saw last night. So you don't want to overreact, but that was solid and it's not like they were playing a tomato can or playing someone way out of their depth, as far you know, playing a major power team. That was a tight league game where you get a good idea on both teams. I wish we had 30 or 40 of those types of games in week one. But yeah, that was a great performance there. 

39:31
Thoughts on the under in West Virginia Penn, miami Florida, notre Dame, a&m Boise, georgia Southern we might as well go through the entire card. Johnny Bravo, I didn't play West Virginia Penn State under. I did see a little bit of money on the under there. Miami Florida we already discussed rollback about 10 minutes. A&m Notre Dame I like the under. Do you know who's behind the over? Move on that today, though. No, no, I do not. It's 45 and a half. It got up to 47. I still like under. 

40:05 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Boise, georgia, southern. I've heard some people I respect, like the under there, yeah, and I think it's going to be like the weather. 

40:16 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I think it's a little bit of forecast related, but isn't? I thought heat's good for the over? Seriously? Maybe I chat the chat. Oh, correct me if I'm wrong. No, I think heat's good for overs because they you cram the defense cramps up. Okay, You're thinking that it's hot. They won't play with tempo. I don't want to mention the site. Okay, their initials rhyme with fan. One of their systems has like between 85 and 100 degrees. 

40:50 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Oh, gotcha, gotcha, gotcha, okay, yeah, yeah, it has like between 85 and 100 degrees. 

40:53 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Oh, gotcha, gotcha, gotcha. Okay yeah. So yeah, I think it's. You know, I think it's over, so we'll see. Maybe I can be an idiot. 

41:01 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Me too. 

41:02 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, john, stuff Colgate Maine tonight. Can you bring that up, zach? We'll see what the current line is on that one. Again, I maine, but uh, I know the number's long gone. I know the over took a little bit of money too. Uh, it's a pretty good game to get an idea on an fcs power rating on these two teams. So two and a half nah, I made it three. 

41:25 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I made it three and 56 pass yeah, I got basically guys like I said, I guys on under three want main and then over it was like three and a half? 

41:34 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Did they manipulate it and get Colgate at three and a half four? Because I saw it pop there? 

41:39 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, it popped, but then there was the main buyers right under, so it was just kind of both sides of three. You have opinions on this one. 

41:48 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
That's all it is. They have three in the chat, thoughts on Furman, plus 42 and a half. 

41:53 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
They lost a lot and Lane's the type of guy that's not afraid to run it up, Not the coach you want to. He's a top three run it up coach currently, so no thank you. 

42:05 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
No, what's hoping We'll see. That one where that flashes under 42 might be a pizza bet for me on Ole Miss, actually, because I think he will run it up and they got quarterback depth. The backups will go in there and they'll keep playing offense. Zach says we're up to 585. Might got a chance to break 600. We still got another 15, 20 minutes here. Oh wow, forget week one. Spencer wants to talk week two. 

42:32 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah. 

42:35 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Colorado, nebraska. Under 56 and a half nebraska's line should control pace. Uh, imagine their secondary can limit a huge place, can they? Though I'm worried. I mean, I I agree, colorado's passing offense is legit. Cheers, guys, we finally made it. 

42:50 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I gotta be honest with you, sp. If I had to play it I would look the other way. There was nothing in that Colorado team that made me want to play Now. Maybe Nebraska is going to go absolute slow tempo man ball with a freshman QB. 

43:03 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
North Dakota State played slow tempo. 

43:04 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
It was so efficient. Yeah, I would need a bad, no. 

43:10 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
To be honest with you, I kind of lean over there I agree, that'll be a fun one to talk about next week. That'll be a fun game to watch too. Nbc's licking their chops. I can tell you that that's a Saturday night NBC game next week. Alex in the chat, thoughts on Oklahoma first half spread. Yeah, we barely talked a couple games tonight. I can't bet the first half. I met Oklahoma full game a couple months ago. Yeah, we were. I'll give you some inside info. I'm hearing that. 

43:38 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
A few months ago and Stanford on the show a few months and there were some tens up there. Unfortunately we weren't on the air, but it got there for a minute. 

43:51 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, a little bit longer, but maybe 15 minutes. Seriously, uh, we said there'd be some buyback at 10, that's all it is. You're just seeing different orders being put at different prices right around key numbers. I could say this every week. I mean, it's just uh, want to make sure we get a couple of the channel member questions before closing. Okay, I'm sorry, we will get that again. Mickey Hill is a new member. I just want to get that in and if they are to be fan 23, long time, guys, they're a new member They'll get priority. So whenever you become a member, guys, you get priority as far as the questions. So I will try to get those read quickly here. Uh, if I see him, I'm a little slow, zach with technology, so I apologize. Um, going back to the chat, connor, yep, we did UNLV plus three and a half. We talked about that best bet. Uh, idaho state plus 28 and a half of an FCS game, oregon State going to be significantly down from recent years. Yeah, I mean. 

44:58
That was another one that's already moved to Bucs. Yeah, it's been buried, folks, and don't blame me. I mean it already moved four or five points. I'm like you know what. It's just going to move down. Might as well. Get in now, brent, in the chat. Iowa game under 40.5. How many times a season will we see an Iowa total in the 40s? Good call, I haven't bet that one yet, have you? 

45:17 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
No, I mean I thought 40 was thin, but I know the new look Iowa offense, we'll see. I know that Caleb Brown's out, so he was kind of early, I bet the dog in the game, me too. 

45:33 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
So there you go, Jeff in the game. Me too. So there you go, Jeff in the chat. Played Nevada 15 and a half. Is it worth middling Troy at my assay? I'm glad this game got brought up. Have you played back Troy? 

45:42 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I want to. You haven't All right, I haven't yet. I mean, there's some places that are close, there's some seven and a halves popping. 

45:51 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Are you waiting for seven? 

45:52 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
yeah, if again, then if it doesn't get there, it doesn't get there. But that's what I'm looking for. I tell you what. I tell you what I did play today was a, a Penn State seven at minus 115. You know, there was a huh, so you're a better man than me. 

46:08 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I did not see that hit there's a man we have. 

46:14 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Uh, I'll dm you after uh. It's a show, that's all right. 

46:18 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
No, that's all right, hey man. Uh, I wasn't paying attention. Yeah, seven is definitely the buy price there. We might see it. There's a lot of hype, yeah, and boy, your buddy mcafee's building into that. They're having a good old time down there in Morgantown until about uh three o'clock in the afternoon tomorrow. Uh, I, I, james Franklin from I bet West Virginia, obviously three four months ago, but at seven that's a go for me. So good bet by you, kevin, better in the chat. Do you guys know that tailgate tent? 

47:03 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
The weird that he never mentioned Comment of the day. Yeah, yeah, kevin. Well, that's the first time hearing that. Yeah, you might want to mute him on Twitter for Travis Hunter having Travis Hunter highlights all week. So, yeah, he's going to be living off that one until he's by. You know 58. 

47:15 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Let me get to some of these member questions. Mickey Hill expect regression from Oklahoma State. No, I don't. I know you are down on them, but no, I was way down on them last year and they shoved it in my ass. 

47:27 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
So yeah, I'm hoping this year is not as good. 

47:31 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
RW fan in the chat. Let's go Hit the books, baby. Looking forward to 10% CLV and a minus 1.2. 

47:36 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
ROI. 

47:39 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I hear you. I mean there's no comment. That's speaking facts there. Andy White. Thoughts on Wyoming-Arizona State Interesting game. I've seen both sides battle in the market there on around a key number Went out was it Raz or somebody like that gave out. Arizona State Went out seven and a half. Seven and a half got bought back. We've seen back and forth on the total. I like the over because I do think Wyoming throws it a little bit more. I'm not saying that they're going to go five wide and air rate it, but with their running back, a little bit issues there and a new coach, I think they'll throw it and they like their quarterback. With their running back, a little bit issues there and a new coach, I think they'll throw it and they and they like their quarterback and I think Arizona state's offense is better. So I like the over. Did you do anything in that game? 

48:18 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Um no, I think I I got joined. I just joined you on, uh, your your plays in this one. So I, to be honest with you, I think it's pretty high variance game, I lot a lot of different outcomes in this one. 

48:39 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
That wouldn't surprise me. Um, a lot of different changes on stuff. I'm for both teams, arizona state, so yeah, I'd be at over seven. I would lean wyoming there. Yeah, I wouldn't be surprised. Wyoming won the game or arizona state won by three touchdowns. That's for a low total game. I agree that there is some variance there. With a new coach at wyoming for the first time in a decade and arizona state could be, they could be really bad or they could be much improved this year. I mean, I don't think we got a good data point on them last year. They were so banged up. Rwfan23 also in the chat, georgia State plus 21. Is it still available? A lot of that got bought up. That was a pretty sharp move. I thought throughout the week there's 22, 22 and a half got bought up, got bought up, got bought up. 

49:19 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
And I think it even at some point crossed through 21, did it not? Uh, yeah, most places are sitting 20 and a half now. Uh, I know our friends in uh vegas have a 21 um, but the uh most. But yeah, I'm seeing mostly 20 and a half fan duel 20 and a half. So yeah, I mean I agree with the move, went to a 21 and a half or better. So that was out there for most of the week, um, to have a little imp. I didn't go crazy, but a little in pocket, my. 

49:34 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
So I think it's the right side yeah, I bet georgia state dave in the chat, purdue loved them all I. I don't have purdue love. Do you have? You bet the game? They're playing an fcs team and yeah no, I indiana. 

49:46 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
No, I actually uh. No, I don't think. I don't think this. To be honest with you, I think just purdue team's the worst team in the big ten. 

49:51 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
So and they're banged up yeah and they got. They got a buy on deck and then notre dame. So I I don't know how much they put into this game. I think everything's put into notre dame in a couple weeks. Ah, 591, we're getting there. 591 live viewership joe boat in the chat. How heavy do we get on UCLA minus 13 and a half? Is there a 13 and a half spec available? Oh, I thought it was Wiley 14. 

50:20 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, it's pretty much all 14. 

50:23 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, 13 and a half. I'd be comfortable to say best bet, but I don't think we got it. Kevin in the chat, yeah, 14 and a half of you in that fan duel. Yeah, I like ucla, tent likes ucla. We talked about this on monday. That was the one where I we woke up and we're like what the heck you text him. I'm like dude, I'm about ready to give that out because I just can't believe that line didn't move. Uh, kevin in the chat, should I throw out the cali ecmanus heisman ticket? Yeah, that was bad last night. 

50:51 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
uh, my young guy looked good, the o-line, d-line looked good, but that that passing game greg, uh punched that last one in there to uh, for some, for me, for some, yeah, for some uh, for some people on the show and for some boosters and people. I went to the game. So, uh, yeah, yeah, that was the closing line. 

51:11 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
But if you got in early you felt good. Yeah, 44-7 felt a lot better than 37-7. I can tell you that, Sam, in the chat aren't books undervaluing teams to reach playoffs Alabama, Notre Dame no better odds in the summer. 

51:30 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
But when it all comes down to it, aren't some TV teams no brainer Because it is a TV show at the end of it, but I'd rather our opinions been on this all summer. 

51:38 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Let's bet teams throughout. They leave the market up during the season. Let's buy low off of losses. Yeah, yeah, yeah. Yeah, I did come around and bet Alabama at plus money to make the playoff Cause. I think there's a scenario that make it even at nine and three. Awesome, the chat. Do you guys still like Boise tomorrow? No, not that number. Uh, number, uh, ryan in the chat. Silly new mexico money coming in arizona minus 30 and a half looking nice. Yeah, I didn't see who. Uh, I did see that. I saw the movement, but I didn't see who was responsible. Did do you know on that one? 

52:08 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
no, I didn't see on that one um, and it's kind of trade. I mean, some places are back to 30, 30 and a half too. So, um, it didn't really kind of got bought back pretty quickly. So I don't have a strong opinion on this game I don't either. 

52:27 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I would lean arizona mike in the chat. Jake roberts, anytime touchdown, lock it in baby. Do you have any other? Oh, you know what? I didn't do a good job of teasing this. We have our first parlay sponsored by fanduel your money underdog money line underdog with a copy. 

52:37 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
This is not being around this. 

52:38 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Get right to that I and Mike's comment brought up. Do you have any other player? 

52:42 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
props, hold on. I got one from the, a touchdown prop from the man the myth, I think our friend Bud Elliott. That just came across my phone while we were doing the show he likes. Honestly, honestly, I gotta look this, I gotta look this guy up because and that's cj campbell, uh, anytime td who I think transferred from florida atlantic, uh, over the phone. So cj Florida Atlantic, so CJ Campbell was his anytime touchdown that he sent across there. So if you want to tell a Bud play that I'm seeing from CJ Campbell, td's for FAU, yeah, he transferred from Florida State to FAU, so anytime, is that anytime? 340, zach, that is anytime, wow. 

53:39 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Better jump on. Yeah, gonna yeah, yeah, if you're watching right now. 

53:44 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Wait 30 seconds to bet that wink wink so, uh, yeah, he liked uh, anytime, uh, and I haven't priced that up, but yeah, anytime. Cj campbell, he's uh, the snow's transfer that's now starting for fau john in the chat. 

53:59 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Do you guys buy back florida state? I think I saw my 16 and a half at one point in fact. Florida, uh, florida state. Uh, there's a 14 that flashed at one book for about 10 minutes earlier this week. I didn't buy it back. Really, a 14? Yeah, I totally missed that? 

54:17 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
no, I didn't. I didn't see that at all. Uh, no, I'm not looking, I didn't either somebody told me about. 

54:21 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I didn't see that at all. No, I'm not looking to pay, I didn't either. Somebody told me about it. I didn't see it either. 

54:25 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
That's why I got to stay in front of the screen more I got to get fatter. Instead of 14 hours, 16 hours, 18 hours. I don't really plan to buy, Unless I see that number. I didn't plan to buy back. 

54:31 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, I think they'll be ended up. No, but we'll talk at length on that game on Monday show because it is a Monday night game. Dan, in the chat cross-stream bet better, record Our best bets Hitman or Uncle K. 

54:46 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Can we include last year's record in? 

54:48 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
the Hitman. 

54:49 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I got about a 30-game head start. Let's start at 2023. So, yeah, well, danny, I know you attract him, so I'll get in some negotiation with the forward progress people. 

55:03 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
This is a good one to close it out before we get the recap of best bets plus your money line Foley in the chat. Can't believe we've gone this far without discussing the Massachusetts game. 

55:13 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
This is the sharp, tough head-to-head battle of the century. 

55:19 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, we got tunesons on one side. I'll hype it up like Michael Buffer's side. On one side we have the right angle sports, the biggest, most premier top service in the country. They gave out Eastern Michigan not only to their paid customers, I'm talking to everybody for free Eastern Michigan plus three. But prior to that move, the reason why it got the plus three was a guy by the name of tailgate 10, a guy, a couple of guys behind the scenes, a guy by the name of Mr Muscles, aka Joey tunes. They gave out Massachusetts and they gave it out Massachusetts at pick at minus one and a half and minus two and minus two and a half. So, depending on what number you got, you could be part of team writing with sports or you can be a part of tailgate 10 and Mr Muscles of tailgate tent and mr muscles, I do okay. 

56:03 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Loser. Loser of this game has no subscribers left. If you, you better hope you're not giving refunds if you lose this one because, uh, that it's, this is the. I can't wait to see that. I don't even have a strong opinion, I just can't wait I don't even have a. 

56:13 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I can't believe, I don't even have a strong opinion on the game. I was told it was going to go out to three so I put a little bit on massachusetts to pick, but I, I mean I made massachusetts one. So I mean, I'm just, I don't know, I just be. I will say the most. Besides, who's going to cash and have bragging rights? Very tough for either team to go over their win total without a win in this game. 

56:37 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, so it is we haven't discussed this yet and we haven't talked, but I I I dm'd you this earlier. Michigan starting quarterback tomorrow appears to be, uh, davis warren uh who a lot. Who who when I, when I talk, a few people I talked to they didn't know who that was. 

57:01 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Um so, I uh, he's looked okay in spring games last two years. 

57:08 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
He's. He's honestly been the great practice player and he gets in his game and so I think you'll see both play. Um, there were some orgy props out there that uh took a nosedive after this started getting around. But I think both will play. But it looks like QB1 is actually going to be Mr Warren, so that is that ticket that I mean. 

57:32 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
You came, you flew across the country, we got to see you live in flesh for the first time and you put down that nice heisman ticket on your buddy. So now you're saying it's toilet paper. 

57:42 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I well, I was gonna say you might be getting a christmas gift this year with, uh, yeah, a certain guy eyes been tickets in. So, uh, yeah, that, uh, we'll see. Oh, they say oh, look, are one of our loyal listeners of the show tailgate scent. Uh must have been sure, but who? 

58:12
oh, there's only 50 listeners of this show, mind you, there's 600, but uh, yeah one of our loyal, one of the loyal, 600, uh doing a little chirping um wouldn't have they lost the game, it wouldn't have mattered it would have been listen, maybe maybe there was some 50 to 1 out there after the first td and uh, you know I I maybe, well, we'll see, I I I have no comment on my Heisman Futures portfolio at the moment. 

58:43 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Nebraska will take care of that next week. I agree, rw fans, let's see what happens next week. And Colorado State and Baylor and all those other teams Every week is going to be like that, so it's not going to last long. Everyone's been waiting for it. They've been asking about it for weeks. They want to know Every Friday, like we've done for the last couple of years. We want to know your first parlay of the season. 

59:08 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
We're doing underdog. I'll be honest with you the show in the past. I know people have asked for this and I couldn't. Our friend, the sports cheetah, was the OG of this, but he's off in England now. We didn't do a great job of him this season on the show. We're going to have one every week and we're going. Zach, you got the graphic baby for this, or do I got to run through it? 

59:28 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Oh baby, he's got it. Look at that. 

59:30 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Underdog Moneyline, round Robin, now Miami, not technically an underdog. There wasn't another short dog I loved, so we're throwing him in there, but we're going the four pack give me and the first one we'll know after this game we're setting up, uh, a Yukon plus 860. 

59:49
Give me a little. Usc was done we've talked about all summer. I love BP on the UNLV as far as a short dog. I agree with that one now with the price. And sprinkle a little Miami in there. I know we're going head-to-head, but sprinkle a little the Joey K four-leg underdog money line round robin and I have bet that. Listen, this is not promotional people, I bet this with my own money. So favorite. If you're looking for a favorite leg, it would be the USC leg. If you like building your own in there, it would be the USC leg. 

01:00:19 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
If you if you like, building your own in there. The we lost you bud Got so excited. Unplug my mic there that that you know what. 

01:00:28 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
It's right. I'm so hyped for the first underdog money line, Ron Robin, the mic went out the window. So, yeah, no, I'm with you that this I like the four pack. I like the underdogs. 

01:00:39 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
You know Moneyline Round Robin. 

01:00:40 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Action Week one, I think is the best for these Week, with our first couple of weeks, highest variance Couple. I'll give you even a couple that that we'll call it miss the cut or slight. Cut or slight book the cut. North Texas would be another one. I think it's a high variance game. If you believe in nevada week one, a little bit of uncertainty. There would be another. It's one that I wouldn't bet on the side, but um was in consideration for the underdog money line, robin and um, but we had one more. Uh, big fau tonight was another one that I had consideration was only going to include fau or yukon one of the two. 

01:01:19
Um, iteration was only going to include FAU or Yukon one of the two, but hey, yeah, nevermind. I know, did it go back to the old shitty mic, cause I know the chat. 

01:01:25 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I don't know what you did, man, you just blew everybody. 

01:01:31 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
If somebody was listening with their headphones, you just killed them. You know it's so hey, but hey, that's our first one of the season, Hopefully more to come. 

01:01:42 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Let's recap best bets. So that is. I just want to make it clear that is Knish's Moneyline round robin underdog with the Miami in there I'm back. 

01:01:54 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I got the good mic back. 

01:01:55 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, you're back, you can uncover your ears, I'm back. 

01:01:58
Yeah, let's recap best bets. 

01:02:01
So tonight, florida atlantic plus 14 and a half. Gave that on a monday on today's show. Brayden, fowler, nicolosi over 206 and a half passing yards. Colorado state quarterback against texas syracuse we gave this out on the mac preview show minus 15 and a half. Got some good clv there, northwestern. That was a move that hit today. Big move that I like to see. We laid two and a half. Got some good CLV there, northwestern. That was a move that hit today. Big move that I like to see. We laid two and a half. It's now three and a half. 

01:02:23
Key number low total. Let's try to get to the window there. Another key number UNLV. Let's fade the move. Today we took plus three and a half on the Rebels. That was on today's show. And then you mentioned that we had USC plus six and a half from a couple weeks ago. We got way ahead of that move. Maybe we originated it, I don't know, but that's it, man. I don't think we got. As you can see there you can also always follow these along at the BetStamp we got a bunch of game of the years that are probably still somewhat there. So yeah, hopefully let's have a winning Saturday man, and let's get a win tonight to get the vibes going. 

01:03:00 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I was going to say, yeah, get a win, need a dub. I really got it. I really like that one tonight, and I got a big position on it myself. So, listen, I'll be a little salty if you don't, but yeah, no, I love the play tonight, like where we're at heading into the weekend. Heard that many times before, though, so let's, uh, let's have a weekend and I hate the card. 

01:03:22 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I hate the portfolio, hate the portfolio but, uh excited for and we'll see everyone tomorrow, baby, a little miami flood, my battle of florida tomorrow, where we can uh talk to everybody so that's right, we won't have a full, uh, one hour show, but during the halftime and maybe a little bit longer, we will be talking Miami Florida second half, all the upcoming games as far as Saturday night, so make sure you're checking that out. Hit the books for the man, the myth, the legend himself, joey Kanish, producer extraordinaire, zach Phillips. Thanks to all the questions, comments you just watched. Hit the books, part of the Hammer Betting Network sponsored by FanDuel. 

 

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