Hit the Books | Week 10 CFB Best Bets & Previews & Week 9 Recap

2024-10-29

 

 

Welcome to another exciting episode of "Hit the Books," where sports betting meets college football action. This week, we are thrilled to have Joey Knish, a legendary figure in sports betting, join us alongside our behind-the-scenes genius, producer Zach Phillips. Together, we delve into the thrilling world of college football betting, exploring strategies, recapping past games, and providing insightful previews for the upcoming weeks.

 

Episode Highlights

 

A Look Back at College Football Action:

We kick off the episode by reflecting on a dynamic week of college football and the profitable best bets that emerged. Joey and Zach share their thoughts on the impressive cover streak of the Detroit Lions under the leadership of Dan Campbell, highlighting how this trend continues to impact betting outcomes. However, not all was positive, as the discussion touches on Michigan's underwhelming performance and the woes of Michigan State, with a particular focus on unexpected twists in games involving SMU and Texas A&M.

 

Strategic Insights for Future Betting:

As we shift our focus to future betting opportunities, Joey Knish shares his wisdom on navigating the unpredictable landscape of college football matchups. The episode features an in-depth analysis of college football odds, beginning with skepticism surrounding Ohio State's offense in their clash with Penn State. We also examine the mental states of Memphis and UTSA ahead of their face-off and discuss Jacksonville State's prospects, considering strategies for Tulane and Charlotte.

 

Week 10 and 11 Previews:

With an eye on the future, the episode offers a comprehensive analysis of potential underdog victories, such as Jacksonville State against Liberty. We provide smart betting tips for games featuring Michigan State, Iowa, and Wisconsin, with a particular spotlight on the highly anticipated Ohio State-Penn State showdown. The episode maintains a lively and engaging tone, featuring humorous tangents, including fast-food reminiscing, and shoutouts to supporters.

 

Key Matchups and Betting Opportunities:

Joey and Zach delve into key matchups for Week 10 and 11, highlighting strategic betting insights. From Bowling Green's performance to skepticism about Western Michigan's schedule, the discussion offers a wealth of knowledge for bettors. We also explore potential bets on Nevada, New Mexico, and Houston, emphasizing the importance of monitoring line movements and waiting for advantageous odds.

 

A Lighthearted Wrap-Up:

As the episode draws to a close, we engage in a candid and humorous conversation, touching on personal anecdotes and giving shoutouts to supporters. We reflect on Ed's work and the current sentiment towards Albers, with playful mentions of cohabiting with a plant-loving "psychopath." The episode wraps up with gratitude to listeners and a promise of more insightful discussions in the future.

 

 

This episode of "Hit the Books" is a must-listen for college football enthusiasts and betting aficionados alike. With a perfect blend of analysis, strategy, and laughter, Joey Knish and Zach Phillips offer a lively and informative experience, guiding listeners through the tricky terrain of college football betting. Whether you're a seasoned bettor or new to the game, this episode promises valuable insights to help you make your next move.

 

 

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Episode Transcript

00:03 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
3, 2, 1, here we go. 3, 2, 1, here we go. We'll be right back All right, Fashionably late on a Monday 5.08. Let's hit the books. Part of the Hammer Betting Network sponsored by FanDuel. Alongside the man, the myth, the legend himself, Joey Knish, producer extraordinaire, Zack Phillips, in the house, I'm merely Brad Powers. Before we recap, Best Bets, another winning week for the Best Bets, believe it or not, for us there. We can't complain on that. 

01:21
Before we get to all your questions, comments, concerns and get into some Week 10 best bets already, let me remind everybody that we are indeed brought to you by FanDuel and you can make every moment more this college football season with a win on FanDuel, America's number one sportsbook. Love FanDuel First to market sides, totals, win totals, derivative markets, whether it's FBS, FCS, you name it and right now all customers can get a profit boost every single college football game day. That means you can pump up your gridiron winnings multiple times a week. The PBT offer this week hasn't been officially announced, but obviously we got a lot of games to choose from, especially in Big Ten country, led by that big one at noon on Saturday between the Ohio State Buckeyes against the Penn State Nittany Lions, and I'm sure there'll be some more there. So we'll talk more about that on Friday's show. But as far as the PBT offers, you can use your bets on spreads, live bets, totals, so much more. 

02:19
And you can visit Fanduelcom slash hit the books. That's Fanduelcom slash. Hit the books. That's FanDuelcom slash. Hit the books to download America's number one sportsbook. Again, that's FanDuelcom slash. Hit the books. Disclaimer you must be 21 plus and present in select states, or 18 plus and present in DC. Opt-in required Bonus issued is non-mortarable profit boost tokens. Restricted supply, including any token expiration See terms at Sportsbookfanduelcom. Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit rg-helpcom. Kanish, how was your weekend bud? Another? 

02:49 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Detroit Lions cover Dan Campbell. All he does is cover baby, yeah, a Lion. 

02:54 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Why do we even have a show, just bet them. I mean literally 70% the last three and a half years is betting the Lions every week. 

03:02 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
That's the formula. So, yeah, no, a, a, another lion's cover, another lion's winner. Um, hopefully, uh, early line says jordan love's not gonna play this week, so we'll see on that. But, um, and hey, we'll take a, uh, a winning week on unhit the books, baby. Uh, even though those michigan wolverines uh cost us some money, us some money, with a team that you know a little frisky here down the stretch. 

03:31 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Well, I don't know about that I mean. So we did go 8-5, 8-6 if you count the parlay. But I will say, if you've been betting just all those money lines individually you'd be up on those parlays for the year, but 8-5, I can't complain on that. We split out the Mill Road props. Michigan State was one of the few losers. Smu minus six in turnovers and still won. The game didn't cover. But geez, minus six in turnovers. Said they should have gotten crushed. But A&M had a nice second half. That was the big headliner game of the week. Good by you on that one. Brian Kelly, in a big game, fade material. We just got over there on Northern Illinois. Akron was an outright winner there. Wake Forest half-point win. See, there we go. We got a couple of half-point wins there. That's what it's all about. Every half-point matters. Split out the mill row. Like I mentioned, temple was up outright and just got smashed in the second half. Caden Hauser for East Carolina had a big day throwing the football. 

04:25 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Same with Texas. 

04:26 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Tech yeah, a couple I knew we were in trouble in Michigan State Opening drive was an eight-minute drive. Jonathan Kim or whatever, isn't that his name? 

04:35 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Or Kim, was it the kicker's name or whatever? 

04:37 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, he missed a field goal. This MF-er made six the week before, including like 250-plus yarders. This MF made six the week before, including like 250-plus yarders. He misses the field goal and then right before the half I mean we're talking 15 seconds left in the half Michigan State turns it over and gives Michigan a free three. So I mean that's six points. That should have been automatic. But it was a good game, a fishing game for Davis Warren, big win for Michigan. They needed it to get the bowl game. 

05:03 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
If you look at the upcoming schedule, uh, yeah I mean I I thought it was a slog game, you know, kind of two underwhelming teams. Uh, not the most entertaining. I'm not gonna lie, I was switching back watching some lsu a and m in a couple of games, um, and and yeah I you know what we kind of you kind of said once that johnson smith play script runs out their offense is man. They're paying a lot of money for Aiden Giles and he's Boy, he's not getting any better man. 

05:32 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I know Turnover machine. He's got a. You're right, though. Game script was there because the very next drive after the missed field goal, they went right down and scored. So I mean that first couple drives, I don't. I mean what's the takeaway Bet? Michigan State first goalie went right down and scored. So I mean that first couple drives, I don't. I mean what's the takeaway bet? Michigan state first quarter, first half, right, um, yeah, I mean I think this week let's wait until curtis rourke gets announced in. I think I'm gonna be on sparty again this week with that being yeah, I would think uh, uh. 

05:57 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, I agree, if we can get some more steam up there on a rourke announcement. Um yeah, I agree with you that uh is a well-coached football team. They're lacking some players at certain positions. 

06:08 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I like that Nick Marsh kid, he's got first-round NFL potential. 

06:14 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, he's good, we'll see We'll talk, go ahead. 

06:21
I tell you what, if Akron would have blown that cover, if Eastern Michigan would have got that cover, if eastern michigan would have got me again, uh, being down, you know, multiple scores, I that that would have thrown me off the ledge for a bit there. Um, and I will. We'll take that over the. The two ball state misses a 30 yarder. Northern comes down. It's a field ball state comes down and it's a field. You know, like a 50 yarder to win. So yeah, and you know gate 48 over 47 and a half soyarder to win. So yeah, and you know, 48 with over 47.5. So yeah, nice to be on the right side of a couple of those. 

06:48 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, it does. Wake Forest got a nice just playing numbers. So, yeah, I'll take 8-5 every week until I die. Jacob, seeing the chat, what's the buy? Let's just get to it. What's the buy point? On Florida and Kentucky as dogs this week, I'm not there on florida, in fact, I am more on the georgia side. I think we see good georgia, not bad georgia. So, uh, kentucky, I'm I can't bet kentucky. I need 17. I probably need 17 and a half on both. Uh, right now I, out of those two games, I I lean georgia. I bet georgia this week um, so I'm actually now. 

07:25
I know it's going to be Florida money. 

07:27 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, well, early, early. Oh, you know, there was some 18, 18 around half, I think. We so on some some Florida, but at different prices, at at 16. I agree, I can only be when you like it. 

07:40 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
You like them with Lagway. 

07:43 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
You know the franchise has been more bullish on Florida than me in terms of thinking. Their offense has found a little something here with Lagway, with just changing a little bit. And again I will say Napier's giving it a go here down the stretch. But I don't know, I don't have too strong of a position for it. I mean, at the current he would be a lean Georgia or nothing. What about? 

08:11 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I can't trust Tennessee to cover a number like that. I mean their offenses suck for four games, and then Kentucky. 

08:17 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I know, but I mean Kentucky has. I mean they're having the Michigan issue where you got multiple quarterbacks. I mean they're trying Winsett with some stuff. He sucks, van de Graaff, obviously isn't it. Their offense has got nothing. 

08:32 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
UCLA. For those watching right now, ucla is going to take a ton of money. They're watching live, just letting you know. So if you like the Bruins, you better go now. You ain't going to see that number again. That's a key number too. 

08:45 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
That's why I'm bringing it up. 

08:47 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I was going to say do we want to lock it in? What do we got at FanDuel right now, ucla Nebraska yes, lock that in. Seven and a half. Boom, best bet, best bet. There we go, bruins off a buy. I think they're live. You know, nebraska. I'm going to tell you they played very well. 

09:07 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
They were frisky in that Ohio State. Where's that leave you on Ohio State after that? 

09:15 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
We'll talk about the Penn State game, okay. We already have. 

09:18
Penn State. I'm back to where I was all summer. Man, I'm not buying this Buckeye team. I bought in the Oregon game and I'm so to where I was all summer. Man, I'm not buying this Buckeye team, I just bought in the Oregon game and I'm so pissed at myself because I could have been Mr Negative Ohio State all year. I can't be that after I bet them against Oregon. But I'm back to where I was after I watched them this spring. I don't see it, man. I don't see them on the offensive line. Their offensive line got whipped on multiple occasions. Now they're down. A couple guys on that offensive line. I don't think Will Howard's that great. I don't like some of the body language on some of the DBs. It's been no, I talked about a couple weeks ago. It looked like Denzel Burke was throwing the game. It looked like it was throwing last week's game the way he played. I just are you buying it? 

10:02 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I'm hearing rumors that the coaching staff is not getting along. 

10:06
They could not afford injury. Like the one position group that they really couldn't afford injuries was O-line and so to lose Simmons for the year and a couple other guys banged up. That was kind of their big question mark position, along with Howard. So it was like the one spot now where, if you can rush the passer with them, it kind of takes their offense out of it a little bit. So, yeah, that's going to be a. I kind of like maybe we're getting a. I mean, where are you at on the total for that one? 

10:40 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Penn State, Ohio State? Yeah Under, yeah me too. What do we got Ohio State, Penn State? Let Under, yeah me too. What do we got Ohio State, Penn State? Let's look at that fan to align. Let's do it Under 47 and a half. 

10:52 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I'm in on it, I think that I agree, I think it's going to be an absolute slog and Penn State still Hold on. 

10:59 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Did you put that in already, zach? What if? No, I did not already zach? What what if? Uh? No, I did okay. So I'm just thinking out loud what if it becomes official that uh allers in? What's the line? Do I don't? Do you think it's in theory? The total should go? I'm just trying to get everyone the best price yeah, no, I hear you um. 

11:22 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I don't think it gets much better. 

11:26 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I'm fine with it. Now I'm just saying I just want to get you know me. I like always getting the best number. No, I hear you. Are we doing it or not? Remember, we already have. Penn. 

11:36 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
State. 

11:36 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
All right, all right Under 47.5. Go, go, go. Orders in Under. I like that. I'm not buying this Ohio state offense. I just I don't know. That feels like last year's game. What was last year's game? Like 23 to 13 ish? That's what it feels like. I don't know if those is this going to be the year I hope it's the year Penn state finally gets them or at least loses by three or less, if you catch my drift there. All right, there we go. We're rocking and rolling with some best bets already. I like it. Chris in the chat fading Memphis this week. Or has the market bottomed out on them? Boy, they didn't look very good against Charlotte. 

12:15
No I agree with you. I agree with you that one that's not getting talked enough. Did you see what UTSA did last week? 

12:27 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
We're up 35 to seven at halftime and blew the game. 

12:30 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, I mean total collapse. I mean statistically it's a team that probably should have a couple more wins. But uh, memphis utsa, where are we sitting at that one? Uh, right now, zach, I'm sorry I'm asking a lot of you, but zach's coming off a very, very heated. I heard circles off where things got really contentious there. I don't know, I'm just making shit up. Have you done? I don't know? 

12:56 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, I was going to say when's this? 

12:58 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
This was as high as 10 and a half. Someone in the chat or someone out there was betting this because this opened 10 and a half at a book I won't mention in the chat or someone out there was betting this cause this opened 10 and a half at a book I won't mention. I hit bet, Didn't allow me to bet, Went to 10. I hit bet again, Didn't allow me to bet. Then it came down to nine. I just was pissed and just passed. I mean, it was not fan dual. I can tell you that, uh, that that was yesterday. Ah, let's. Are you wild about UTSA? I don't know. Here's the thing. I want to fade Memphis, but where's the mental mindset of UTSA? They've been one of the most disappointing teams in the country and when you blow a four touchdown lead I don't know if I can trust you. So we're getting to that point in the season where it's metal more than physical. 

13:37 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, and you know what I got to tell you. I has been a little underwhelming in certain spots. 

13:49 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Um, if this dipped, you know six around there I, I think I'd be on the memphis side of things. Six and a half austin the chat. Are we on kenesaw again, plus 24 and a half any totals out there. We like, uh, you, I mean, I'll give you, you were the yeah, I was well, that was ant. 

14:01
That wasn't pro kenesaw yeah, yeah, that was, that was anti-Liberty and I'm very anti-Liberty again, but I don't know if Tyler Huff's going to be totally healthy this week. I don't like the 20. I like this Western Kentucky team quite a bit, so, no, I'm not. I don't like playing them off the big offset. You got your win. It was the biggest win in program history. Nah, I didn't bet that this week, so, no, not there. We won't be doing a show. I'm I definitely like jacksonville state, but again, keep an eye on the tyler house situation. Their quarterback yeah, yeah, they got a capable backup in logan smothers, but he's not as good. Uh, I think they they win the game. I'm just being honest I did you bet that yet? 

14:46 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I've heard banged up, but gonna give it a go uh agree but the number keeps fading out a little bit. 

14:52 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
So yeah, I want to get the best number. So I don't do remember. There was a ton of money last week on liberty game day. Couldn't believe it. They were fading the, the old BP tout service. That line moved against me more than any line I can remember. So let's wait on that one. So if you're out there, if it gets to three, you bet Jacksonville State. We've got a super chat out there. We appreciate Benjamin out there. 999. Just cashed out the last of my Taylor coin to say Biff on Halloween plus 17. 

15:28 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yesterday yesterday, line's gone how we doing. I'll let you know if you want any taylor coin I'm surprised you had 9.99 left of the, the taylor coin there after, uh, the last week of transgressions. But we appreciate it. Um yeah, I mean charlotte, off there their. But this is big boy now. This is going to be a tough, quite a tough test coming up. 

15:55 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Even I will, I mean, I kind of like the over. Did you see Arizona State just took money. 

16:01 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
They did. Sam Levitt was probable. 

16:04 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
All right, that one makes sense. I understand that one. Eileen, in the Tulane-Charlotte game I'm more over than anything. But you know he took 17. I don't blame him there. Short week lane points Tulane's defense has left a little bit to be desired, you know last week they allowed a bunch. 

16:28 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
But I would say North texas offense a little bit better than charlotte's. Do you do anything with that game yet? No, I haven't gotten involved on that one yet. Um, I don't hate grabbing the 17 there. 

16:36 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Uh, I don't army and navy get all the love but two lanes. The best team in that conference? 

16:39 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
yeah for sure I agree with you. So I and man, like even with they, tried some purdy. I think Max Brown got a series or something in there too. Like they're just, it can be painful on the Charlotte offensive side of things, really painful. 

16:58 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Uneven. They have been playing better though. Smooth 86. Happy sports. Equinox fellas. Any NHL or NFL today? Do we need to get in front of Blue Horseshoe Steelers' money line? I didn't know. Blue Horseshoe was active today. 

17:16 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Joey Pucks is on. Hold on, let me give you the Canucks at around 120. Let's see, I got to switch screens to see what's oh, I get what he's saying. 

17:31 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Steelers blue horseshoe I don't think it's on steelers money line. I the sharp guys I thought were on the giants tonight where you got canucks and abs and you can get. 

17:41 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Uh, yeah, you can get a pretty good price on the abs right now, around what I what I played it at. So I think, play that. My low minus 180s in there and that's still around. Canucks has gone down a little bit but those were the two jo Joey pucks from tonight. Um, I don't. Uh, I know our friend hit man took the over and Browns chargers there, which I make sense from. Uh, now that the Browns have a functional passing game. 

18:04
Um, yeah that's a good play, and he took one. I think he was on the Colts too. 

18:14 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
He's been on the colts every week. Why wouldn't you that? All they do is everyone tells me how shitty they are, but all they do is cover. Yeah, I would. Yeah, I'm not gonna give out his whole card, but I I the chargers browns one. It's pretty sharp, he was on browns, I give him credit. No, I think it was. The doctor was on the browns. Uh, hitman was on the raiders. A couple dogs that did well last week. It's good, a good NFL week, at least for them. Of course, I picked the Bengals. Terrible, awful. Just bet Dan Campbell. Let's bet Dan Campbell and call it a week. Brendan Ayers in the chat. Do we like South Carolina Moneyline? No, that's off three. I do think they beat A&M. 

18:53 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I tell you I mean so, I mean so, I mean I, I, I, joey K, you'll admit when. 

18:58 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Mr. 

18:59 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
A&M say well, I was going to say we got quite fortunate with the QB change there. Uh, cause we got the bad Weidman. Uh. And then LSU defense couldn't stop a nosebleed on the on on the ground. Even when Weedman was in they were basically still running all over him and then the read gave him the juice there to get it home. I couldn't play it now under three. I agree with the three, three and a half out there At under three. I'm just not there. I think they win. 

19:29 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Brandon, I think they win. You're calling the? 

19:32 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
shot here. Listen, I think South Carolina's D-line can A&M's offensive line is hurting. But, at the same time. South Carolina offense leaves a lot to be. 

19:44 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, you've got a quarterback there. That isn't the most trustworthy commodity. No, I'll put it that way. So, yeah, that's the worry. But other than that, I like their D line against A&M and I you know A&M. I think it's a little overrated. They've been out gained in three of their last four games. So very fortunate that Brian Kelly doesn't coach special teams never has, and they couldn't make. Oh, marcel Reed such a shock that he came in. Marcel Reed's played more snaps than Connor Wigman this year. What the hell I mean just shitty coaching. But kudos for you. 

20:15
We've got 440 viewers right now. Only 110 likes. I can do the second-grade math. That's 25% of you have only hit like. Make sure you're smashing that like button. It helps out the show. Appreciate you. Whoa, speaking of that, somebody got pissed on that. He didn't like that at all. Uh, fabulous one. Thoughts on three for week 10 michigan state, iowa, tcu. Uh, michigan state, let's wait, I think we. There's a possibility we get a better number there. I don't like iowa. I agree with the move on wisconsin there. Really, yeah, you're. 

20:49 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
You don't like that three no, no yeah, you give me a one to two and one. I had to make up a little ground and you don't like that. Want to add a three? No, no, yeah, you give me a one to two and one. 

21:01 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
You make up a little ground and now you're getting cheap. On me, no, it's. I didn't like the. I'm not one to talk because I do give out stuff early. I mean I was taking a ton of money the last couple weeks. I thought if you wanted to bet Wisconsin you'd be best served to wait a little bit. That's the thought process I had in my head. But someone else went on Wisconsin already, so that worries me a little bit. But we've seen a little bit of buyback on Iowa. There's some groups that really like Iowa because remember Iowa Remember we liked Northwestern last week A lot of Iowa money on game day. Remember the Michigan State game? We like Michigan State A lot of money on Iowa on game day. I think if you like Wisconsin, wait. I think you might get something there. 

21:45
You like Iowa. 

21:46 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I like the Brendan Sullivan upgrade I think it's a couple point upgrade from Cade McNamara, the second half of Northwestern. He looked phenomenal. I think it gives them. Yeah, listen, I was with you Action Sports. I had the team looking for two and a half there. Never came, got the buyback there so I haven't gotten in yet. But if I see a two and a half I'll take it. I'll end up on three if that has to be. But yeah, I know I need the coach primes here. Uh, you know that these new michigan uh, michigan days are getting a little shorter on me here where you know sun's down here coming down at 5 30 yeah I hear you, I know how that goes yeah, listen, I'm in, I'll. 

22:26
I will be in on iowa at some point, uh, preferably at two and a half all. 

22:31 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Well, I don't think you're going to see it. I don't think so. No, got another huge super chat here. Our buddy, our best guy, tony Higgs, baby Tony Higgs 110. 110 for the votes in the poll. Voting and the like button is free. We appreciate you, sean, and he is our best supporter. Zach certainly appreciates you. I think he's got another apple-picking day coming up and we might not have a show on. 

23:00 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, I was going to say, johnny, you just pay Zach. You know, saturday night Zach will really be thanking you after a little apple-picking with the lady or another concert. 

23:10 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I mean, he went to Justin Timberlake, so what's? Next. Backstreet Boys are in Toronto this weekend. 

23:16 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, I know that's how Zach rolls. He'll be having himself a great weekend with that one. So cheers to you, bob. Yeah, appreciate you, sean and Zach really Zach. There might be a little Zach running around after this weekend. Okay, relax. 

23:36 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Wow, that's funny. We'll just call it. I mean, I think the Ohio State-Penn State game is on at noon, isn't it? Obviously we're doing that game. 

23:43 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Oh yeah, I was going to say, yeah, I was going to have like, do we want to do the poll early for the weekend game. But yeah, big noon it's Ohio State Penn. 

23:50 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
State. So that's the big game of the week, one of the bigger games of the year. It's at noon, so that's the game Halftime this Saturday. Ohio State, penn State. We again thank you very, very, very much, sean, you're our best guy. Let's get back to the chat. Arthur. In the chat Gamecocks both J-Ville and South Carolina I agree with you more. Both dogs went outright. 

24:15 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I'll call my shot. Oh, it'd be point at the bleachers. 

24:19 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, I like both of them. Outright Action Sports Central. Two, I really like Jacksonville State over Liberty. Yep, I love Jacksonville State. Tyler Hoff is the only reason the tout service hasn't given it out yet. Illinois over Minnesota. A lot of love for minnesota early in the markets um wanted that three did you beat me on that three, that open three? 

24:41 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
oh no I mean, I know, I know, you know why, because the guy who uh takes care of that's in illinois, uh, for and uh, I don't know how much I can say here on the show, but Illinois games aren't posted in Illinois. Of course I got some Minnesota with a plus sign on it. Listen, the. 

25:05 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Gophers are playing real football. 

25:06 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I got you. The Gophers are playing real football here down the stretch. I think this Illinois team is as fraudulent as it gets. I down the stretch and I think this Illinois team is as fraudulent as it gets. So yeah, no, I like the move. I agree with the move. I wouldn't be jumping on minus three, but Two and a half at Fandle Money line. 

25:32 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
What's the money line look at? Oh, I don't like that. It's getting steep. Let's see where that one's at at the end of the week. All right, nice man, you guys got me on that one. I hit that. That was the old. Hit the button. Uh-oh Moved and it moved again. That's a regret. Happiness Jones, I like that name. If the man, the myth, the legend, joey K, goes 0-4 on round robin again. I thought you won one. Yeah, we won for four happy, yeah, dollar menu item. 

26:04 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Well, it's value menu. Now, as we discussed on this show, there is no more dollar, even a, you know, taco. 

26:10 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Taco Bell. They still have a dollar. I don't know. I haven't eaten Taco Bell. I mean all the, all the things you think about Taco Bell. That's what happened to me. 

26:19 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, I was going to say that Taco Bell is not great, unless you're trying to, you know, have like a cleanse or something. 

26:26 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
What we got here. This has gotten popular and now we talk about this we talk about this cravings value, but I mean they do have some a cheesy roll-up. 

26:39 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
That's all you can get for a dollar 19. That seems expensive. A cheesy roll-up man, this american, american I can't any of that, do they? 

26:44 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
they never brought back the. You know what I used to eat there, when I mean, this is back when I was a teenager in college and mexican pizza. They get rid of that I don't know. 

26:53 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I'm telling you, I haven't been in a long. For the same reason, if I'm going to get Mexicans, the same thing and this is maybe I'm going to sound elitist If I'm going to eat that kind of stuff, then I like, if I'm going to eat Mexican food, I'm going to go get some like real deal stuff a five dollar. 

27:15 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I'm gonna go get a real. You know, I like a fire call there. It is still there there. Yeah, it is. They brought it back. 

27:20 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Zach says in the chat. All right, yeah, a lot of people are all over this. Uh, they brought it yeah, they like it back by popular demand the choco taco. 

27:27 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
That's back in the day. That's a. That's a good old memory there, uh all right, but I mean here I know happiness was getting on you. I I'm not even exaggerating. I think you are above 50 in the money line par if you just bet individually you haven't, you haven't, we'll go through it. You have a winning records like just, yeah, I'll audit that. 

27:50 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I'll go back and audit that for the season. 

27:51 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, I honestly think you do have a winning record calling the money lines. So there were so many. We had like three weeks where you went three out of the four. 

28:02 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I know, ron Robin, we've been doing good. We've just been son of a. 

28:06 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
they've been it's funny how that works, isn't it it? 

28:09 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
is it's? 

28:09 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
funny how that works, garrett in the chat. Pretty good game tomorrow. It's Texas State still getting respect from the preseason projections, or are the Cajuns just not that great? Well, texas State lost some games that they should have won, but I bet Louisiana. I think Texas State's overrated Anything above three. 

28:28 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I lean Louisiana, I know, and this was a Texas State truth or spot, but I agree here, I think, over three. You want to go? Three and a half, best bet. 

28:37 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, let's do it. 

28:38 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, I agree. 

28:40 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I know there was some money on Texas State. Today I don't. 

28:44 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, it got bought back real quick. 

28:46 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
They've lost three times outright as a favorite already. I mean, it's just they're not putting it together. 

28:52
No, Especially against teams with a pulse, any team they play with a pulse. They pretty much lost to Sam Houston, arizona State and Old Dominion and I think Louisiana. You know, besides Arizona State, louisiana is better than certainly they're better than Sam Houston and ODU. So there we go, louisiana, best bet If you need some midweek action, you got it right there. Spark college football thoughts on North Carolina. Florida State I mean I lean North Carolina. I was really impressed after the bye. I know Mac in his career has really struggled against Florida State but I like what I saw from the Tar Heels. That was a really nice win for them against Virginia last week. Florida State I mean no bowl game, you're off your rival. What's there to play for? They're losing commits to programs in disarray. 

29:41 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Horrific spot for Florida State after. I thought I mean I thought they really put a lot into that In terms of effort, in terms of game planning. They were able to hang around with Miami until the bottom fell out very late there and now you got to kind of come home. Same trash quarterback situation and North Carolina team. That I mean talent wise they're probably better than I mean. That's my bet Regret. Maybe bet Regret of the season is not betting them last week. But yeah, I'm on. I'm on a little North Carolina here, nothing huge, but I'd still lean that way under three. 

30:19 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I agree, eat, that Thoughts on a lot of tech. Sam Houston stayed under. I think the Sam Houston quarterback's back, hunter Watson, I think he's back, so I didn't bet it. A lot of under. Blue Horseshoe likes the under tomorrow in the FIU game. What's the FIU game. What's the? 

30:36 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
quarterback sitch. 

30:39 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
We, we're on Louisiana Lafayette, We'll just that's what we got tomorrow. I'm happy with that at three and a half. And if you need something on Wednesday, I've made it very clear that I like Jacksonville State, the Tulane Charlotte game. Not big on that one. If you get a 17 Charlotte, I'd lean over there. So that's got you covered. Folks for the midweek. Yeah, I can't go. 43 and a half, I mean jeez. The quarterback situation was fine. We'd be sitting a touchdown higher than that I think Right right. 

31:11
There you go. Look at Zach Boom back and forth. Love it, derek in the chat. I know there's a lot of parody this year in college football, but I think Georgia has this in the bag. Ohio State and Texas can't win the big games and I have my doubts about Oregon. Yeah, I mean, if you just told me you know everybody's A game, who would win it all? Georgia it's interesting? 

31:33 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
No, no, I'll give you, I don't think they're. I think they have the best staff of the elite teams, like the coaching staff that I would back and trust the most in big games. Do I think talent-wise, this Georgia team is better than Ohio State? Better than Texas? I don't know player to player, I don't know if I would say that, but I mean I think they've got the coaching staff that in those one-on-one game situations that I would want over any of these other staff. So but I mean it's pretty. I don't know man, like this is. I mean they got you know what, as much as we complain, I'm pretty excited for that 12 team playoff. I'm not gonna lie like I'm gonna be watching. I I got I like for this is and it's funny because this, the way it shapes up this year, is like it's not just you know two or three teams where there's actually like six, eight teams like you know that can win the natty. So have you made any bet? I don't have a single dollar on the national title. 

32:40 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Some long shots early, but I don't make money on that market. I'm not very good at that market, I'm just not. I'm terrible Insert jokes. I'll say this on Georgia I'm anxious to see what that defensive line looks like. Is that the defensive line we're getting the rest of the season what I saw against texas? Or jaylen walker and my healthy michael williams, if that's, if that's the pass rush we see? I mean they they're definitely the favorite. Well, I gotta see him multiple weeks in a row. Another concerning thing to me carson back just week after week. Too many turnovers, I know. I mean I can't fully trust you if you're going to be turning over, especially in big-time games. Dump the IG girlfriend, get rid of the Lamborghini, let's win the national championship and all that stuff will come right back to you. And then some Jesus man DT plus the pointsy league need it feed my addiction. That's already up. They already posted the ivy league I haven't gotten to that yet. 

33:40
It's monday, man, I don't get that stuff till thursday or friday yeah, I haven't seen it we'll uh is the game. 

33:46 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
The game's not till friday, right yeah we'll get to it on Friday show. 

33:52 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, I don't see anything up. Some other book have it up. No, all right, I know DT is one of our better. Yeah, I, I am not. I can tell you this. I might get into that stuff first. Ooh, somebody's crushing me on that, although it was okay last week. Richard in the chat, love the show. Right back at you. We appreciate you. Thanks for what you guys do. Anything for the week, weekday games we just I gave you the rundown, replay it. I went down every game very uh, precise and concise. I should say for brownies. Good day gents. Uh, we back in gundy this week. No, no, if it gets to three maybe, but uh, but no, I agree, I knew that that was the doctor just moved that one. I knew that was typical doctor play there, so off the bye. Statistically they're far superior. 

34:45 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, I mean I got as much Arizona State early as I could on some of those numbers there and I agree with the movie as long as we're not seeing Jeff Sims, which it looks like Sammy Lovett's back. Yeah, oklahoma State's a disaster right now. So, honestly, even at two and anything under three, I'd still be. 

35:07 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Not even making a bowl game. And you got me on that bet win total. What a shit bet that was by me, I don't know. I mean, my biggest takeaway from this season is I don't know how involved I'm gonna be on win totals moving forward where you gonna, let's say, because if people are asking, I think we can get where you. 

35:22 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Where you're at heisman thoughts at the moment looks like a four player race yeah, it's definitely a four guy race. 

35:30 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I thought genti not, but he was unfairly docked for running for over 100 yards and scoring the game-winning touchdown. I mean, but drops, I know Hunter played really well. Colorado looks like they have the opportunity to win out. He'll be there. I still think. If they win out and play relatively well, it's still a quarterback award. So it's Gabriel or obviously Ward for me. Yeah, I would still a quarterback award. So it's Gabriel or obviously Ward for me. 

35:55 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, I would say a win out by Gabriel or a win out by Ward. That player wins yes, If not, it's Gabriel and they're very likely both to win out. Yeah. If not, then I don't know. 

36:08 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Colorado wins out and Hunter has like some big time games like he had last week. I mean, if hunter has three, you know two, three more games like he had last week, and they went out go 10 and two. Ain't admitting it, but boy, we'll never hear the end of it. I'll just put it that way. Oh, my god. See, the thing is it's been five years since joe burrow, so then it'll have another five years yeah, I know right, we got another five yeah where, oh my god, that's gonna be. 

36:39
That won't be fun. Burt brownies oh no, I already did that. One fabulous one. Does toledo rebound at eastern michigan, or is this another jason cannell special? I think their rebound in Eastern Michigan sucks. 

36:53 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I mean Eastern Michigan should be winless on the season. This has been happening for years. I bitch about it on the show every week. I don't know why I fade them every week. It would be Toledo or not. I can't believe we didn't talk about the game of the weekend Toledo beat James. 

37:14 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
That was a big win over me. I can't believe the scoring in that game. I gave out the. Under Holy hell. If you follow those two teams for the previous three, four weeks, heading into that game, I mean you could have played 12 quarters and I wouldn't have said they would score 67 points. I mean geez. 

37:29 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Man, I like that Toledo defense. I just thought Bowling Green played. Man, I like that Toledo defense. I just thought Bowling Green played. 

37:35 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
That's the Bowling Green team that Right off the bat you knew they crushed them on the first couple of snaps, their defensive line. You're like, yeah, bg came to play. That's the BG team that we fell in love with at the start of the season. 

37:46 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah yeah, they're still alive. 

37:48 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
They only got one loss. 

37:49 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, they win the table. 

37:54 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
They're in the mat. I mean yeah they only got miami ohio at home. Miami ohio's playing well. 

37:56 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Ohio's playing well western michigan and miami of ohio at home and then a couple peasants. So if they win out I'm not buying western yet they played a week max schedule so far. 

38:04 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
So that's the one team I think. I'm selling the team, that's four and oh, in the mac I. The only one we don't have money on, I think, think, is Ohio. 

38:14 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, that's the one I will say, though I think Toledo gets it. Just the talent differential between them and Eastern Michigan is Gleason. He was good enough last week. I like it under 10. As a best bet. 

38:30 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
It was as low as 5. 

38:32 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I'm seeing some. I mean, there's some flat eight out there. Uh, yeah, that god, that opened low. Oh, my god, I didn't, I missed that one too, I must have been. I didn't even see that sleeping. 

38:43 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
That was uh, yeah, it was sunday five. What am I doing? I I don't know. I don't know what I'm doing. I don't know how I missed that Missed opportunity. Shane in the chat. Nevada, new Mexico and Washington. Thanks guys. I bet New Mexico, nevada. I need clarification on the quarterback Washington. I was just waiting for the right. I bet Washington in the summer, but at three I would certainly lean with them. Washington, usc. Pull that one up. I just man. They're not buttoned up man. Statistically they look great but they don't make little things. They always have a stupid turnover or two or they're stupid kickers missing field goals. Yeah, I don't want two and a half. I think if you get a three, that's good. 

39:28 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I think Nevada quarterback will be back. 

39:33 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Okay, do you like them? Against Colorado State? Then at home. 

39:36 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
What. 

39:38 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Or do you need a three? What is it? One and a half, two, yeah, I'll tell you another one. We're going to lose Freaking Colorado State under. That looked great at the start of the season. I was just looking at that. 

39:52 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I was just looking and that was the one. After the first few weeks I was like, oh, this is a dead mess Layup. It's not a layup now. No, it's not a layup. 

40:03 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
These win totals are just again. I bet over 100. I guess it will be half next year. It's that bad. There's so much variance with these teams right now Austin, the Chad Odomini, minus two against App State. They found some with Colton Joseph. I was just looking at some tape on that. Yeah. 

40:27 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I agree with that, but I don't know if I want to lay points at half. I agree with the take. I'm similar where the number I mean app state I thought was fortunate against georgia state there. Um, that was kind of a back and forth and I got another one that opened three app state three oh wow, I didn't yet no, so what was I doing yesterday morning? What an idiot oh, I didn't see that one. It lasted about 10 seconds there. 

40:56 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
That's probably why. But still, oof, not good Spencer in the chat, buying Houston against Kansas State. I'm there, I'm waiting to see if I get a better price. I don't know how you can lay that kind of points against this Houston defense. I mean, I don't like their offense, but that defense is legit. They get an outright upset win over Utah. I'm not buying Kansas state. Where are you at here? A lot of early money has been on Kansas state actually. 

41:21 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, it has. So let's, let's let that marry it. I tell you, at 14, I'd be in and it's, there's some juice 13. So I don't know if it'll get there. 

41:28 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Do or no? It opened as low as I see nine and a half 10. Did you lay that or no? 

41:34 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
No, not on that one, but to be honest with you, I wasn't really looking to be on the Kansas State side. 

41:38 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I'm not either. I wasn't, so let's, let's see where that one's at on Friday. I think Houston, there's the right side, andy in the chat. Arkansas Moneyline all day. I'm not. I'm not there. They're playing Ole Miss. Did you bet that game? 

41:53 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I actually bet. 

41:54 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Ole Miss. 

41:55 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
No, it took a little Arkansas seven and a hook. Then it was way down and now it got steamed back up today. What do you think of the seven and a half? I don't know damn. 

42:09 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I'm just looking into the tout service. Missed an opportunity to lay six and a half. What a bum oh, you're, you're, you're a hottie toddy this week yeah, I'm hottie toddy this week, but not at seven and a half. I mean, that's all this is. I mean I don't you like seven and a half. You want arkansas. 

42:25 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I'm not gonna, I'm not gonna say you're wrong um, I don't know if I'm putting in the best bet category, uh, but about a little bit of it, of it, and I, I just man like yeah, I hear you on that old miss unders. 

42:37 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
We had one member live on the saturday show yeah, yeah, and that was yeah, that was. 

42:42 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
That was an easy one. Um, I agree it's. It's funny because it's such a non-laning type of team now, like like they're playing defense and uh, you know the offense I mean without when Trey Harris is not in there. It's like they really just that offense kind of goes to. It's like he's almost such a. I can't think of too many receivers that are like such a massive part of what that offense wants to do. Um, usually with that lane system it's almost kind of like obviously you want great receivers but it's kind of, uh, not receiver dependent, but man without trey harris that are there, they get, they get bogged down. They can't run the ball as well as they usually would either. So I don't know, I I just I'm not not big on laying over a touchdown there with Ole Miss on the road. 

43:33 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I can tell you this Getting overlooked is that Arkansas performance last week against Mississippi State. They killed them, I mean they went up and down the field, every possession on Mississippi. State. I mean that was not fluky and I know a lot of people liked Mississippi State in that game. Nope, Texas Tech by Shane. No, I think Morton's hurt, isn't he Aaron? Morton hurt again, I know shocker there, but I think he got. Didn't he get hurt again? They had the backup at the end. 

44:00 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
It's not. I got a good Texas Tech. It's a non-throwing shoulder, okay, and man that Texas Tech, he's a gamer type guy, so I don't know, I know if Do you like him 14 and a half. No, okay, I don't, because they're not. 

44:18 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I'm getting ready to say, oh, it's not that bad, it's his non-throwing shoulder, he'll play. I'm getting ready for you to say best bet. 

44:26 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
And you're like no, no, I'm doesn't go, I don't know if. And again, I don't love laying the big numbers with Matt Gamble, but they that offense Rocco back to and that's gotten gotten kind of rolling lately. 

44:40 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
They're off a buy Texas tech. The game flow on the TCU game was ridiculous. They're down 14 to three thing. They're going to get blown out and then they're blowing out TCU and then they blow the game at the end. I just had man the Big 12's a mess. Guy asks in the chat or no, happiness Jones? Yeah, we talked about Georgia. It's all about that defensive line. If they play like they did against Texas in the first half, that's the best team in the country. Guy asks hey guys, nebraska minus seven in the over. Nope, we like UCLA Total. I'm going to look at the win forecast, but UCLA's offense is playing better. 

45:14 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, ucla in general is just, I mean, and it's funny because with the staff you would have not expected that, but they have, they're playing much better football these last you know three, four weeks or so Number one strength of schedule. 

45:26 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
So they're actually, you know, keep in mind, they've already played. You know Oregon, penn State, already played. You know oregon, uh, penn state, at lsu. I mean nebraska sounds tough, but they've already played in these places yeah, and I mean getting some nice breezer here off a buy. 

45:40 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Nebraska's been in the real muck of it here, um, with with a little bit of an offensive bump, and their defense has been pretty competitive all year. I like that a lot. I'm glad we got that in. I'm glad we got that into. 

45:49 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I'm glad we got that in too at 7.5. I'm very, very happy with that that we got that number. Crestman thoughts on Army Air Force under Wisconsin plus 3.5, nevada money line. I'm not on the service academy unders, not this year, not with Army and Navy's quarterbacks in play. It's a different. 

46:06 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
It's fine, you know For so many decades what a bet that was, but it is a different era. 

46:14 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I'm looking to bet overs on that stuff because I think there's too much of that baked in. 

46:20 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Did you take any 24 with the Air Force? 

46:25 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I'm not having a good week. I hit 24 and a half. Sunday night Went to review this is again not FanDuel. Another book, a different book than I was mentioning. Night Went to review this is again not FanDuel. Another book, a different book than I was mentioning earlier Went to review. They didn't take it and they changed it on me. I think Air Force is the right side this week. 

46:44 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
You know what I hesitated on 24, and then it's come down and now I just didn't. So I'm probably not at all, but I think that was I agree with you, that and now I just didn't, so I'm probably not involved, but I think that was I agree with you. 

46:56 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
That was the side God WH. We'll call the book More like WTF. That really. That had me going last night. I can tell you that. Where are we at? San Diego State seems to be better on offense. You like them to stay within that number against Boise. I lean over a little bit under money today, but I lean over there. That's where I'm at. Did you bet San Diego State Because that was 24 and a half at one point yesterday? 

47:26 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I did not, but I would agree with that. That one I wasn't as keen to get in on, um, but I would lean that way. There's been marginal improvement. I agree, and see you on that offense of sean lewis. That seems to have gotten again not it could have been washington state. 

47:39 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
They had them, they're late, yeah. 

47:41 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
So I mean, yeah, and that's. That was a game I thought they were going to get. You know, a little beat, beat on too. So I would lean that way. I mean I haven't gotten in yet, but one I might take a little bit more of a serious look at. 

47:55 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
That'll be Friday show. That's a Friday game. We'll talk, we'll deep dive that one more on Friday. Speaking of Friday, we'll be talking more about the fade the Fez on Friday, the triple Fs he likes the game on Friday. I just screw with him on the game, so we'll talk more about that on Friday. That's what we call old-fashioned tease, and if you've been following along the old-fashioned train on Fridays. He should take Fridays off. Let's just put it that way, yeah. 

48:22 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
The weekday Monday line. 

48:22 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
During his last five Fridays. So we'll talk more about that. 

48:25 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
We like Michigan. I got in a heated argument in one of the group chats Michigan-Oregon line. What do you make it? 

48:39 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I want to bet Oregon, but I don't like the price. 

48:43 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I agree. I think the price, I'm totally. I said price is too high, it's too high. 

48:49 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I was hoping to get like a 13, 13.5. My numbers are right around 14. So my numbers, oh, you should be bad, michigan, I just no, I don't like it. I can they keep? Can they keep pace? I don't think they can. Can they even with your buddy davis warren? 

49:03 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
well, I mean, it looked the passing game. Look and again, this was not a you know 300 yard performance or anything, but it at least had some functionality to it and they're able to move the ball a little bit. I bet some 15 and a half On Michigan. 

49:21 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah. 

49:22 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Oh, wow. 

49:22 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Not a lot, I mean. 

49:23 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I'm not one of my best bets, but I mean. 

49:26 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I agree. 

49:26 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I thought the price was too high. 

49:28 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, I'm surprised by it. I just can't get there because I mean Will Johnson ain't coming back, is he? He's done. My guess he's taking his talents to the NFL. 

49:41 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I think he's. Yeah, I would be surprised. I hope I'm wrong. I think we've seen the last of Will Johnson in Michigan Unified. 

49:48 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Man, what was that number in the preseason? Three, three and a half Oregon by 21 plus. It's possible. I can tell you that, especially that he met it. We're back. We'll talk more about that. One on the weekend Is that a? That's a three 30 game. So we'll be really talking about that. One on Friday on game day, tom toma 888 morehead money line was the way to go. Did they pull an upset? 

50:18 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I didn't even look I honestly, is that just a? Joke in the chat because of the name well, yeah, I was gonna say, did they uh? Do they have a morehead state? Will they do? They did beat dayton on uh Saturday and I think they were significant dogs in that game. So maybe not significant, I didn't bet that. 

50:37 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I didn't bet that, I just had spreads. 

50:39 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
No, didn't have that one either. I tell you that league it's like the. I don't know if I can say this on a sponsored show, but it's kind of like the West Coast swag where, just like weird things happen every week in the Pioneer that just make no sense. 

50:58 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
There's some conferences in the FCS that I need significant overlay in my power ratings to even entertain it, because there's so much Just random stuff happens on a week. 

51:09 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Every week it's like that. 

51:11 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Pioneer can be like that. I can say, one of my biggest regrets all season involved the Morehead state game. There was a total in their game. I don't know why they they played the game. It was in the remnants of what was that Hurricane Matthew. 

51:23 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah yeah. 

51:25 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
What was Helene? Helene, it was like 17 to five. It was just terrible weather. I bet it. I just should have bet it more. Guy asked Tulane, charlotte over. Yep, we agree with that. I figured I'd bet that game. That's where I would bet there, charles. How about them? Buffalo's outside shot to win the big 12. Yeah, we can pull that up. What do you think about the Buffaloes now? Another week. 

51:53 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
So I actually, so I actually I went because I got a few tickets now on this uh, they. 

51:54 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
And then I see it's done. It went down to five. 

51:56 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I thought I saw as high as eight today they got obviously they got a win out. Iowa state plays kansas state in the finale and I think they would need iowa state to beat kansas state to bump them out of it, and then by BYU. They don't play BYU and so I don't know exactly the tiebreaker on a three-way tie there, but they know they need BYU to lose at least once, maybe twice. So it's a little tricky. 

52:29 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
It's doable, because I don't think anybody's dominant. So they're in the mix. That's all you're gonna ask for but they can't look they. They have no margin for error, uh they're gonna be favorite in all their four games. Now this is they're very fortunate they play four teams that have all underachieved texas, tech, uh, utah, oklahoma state and kansas. 

52:49 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
So they're fortunate, although keep an eye on kansas I was just gonna say say that road game at Kansas is a little tricky. 

52:56 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, and if they lose, they're pretty much done with two losses, right? Yeah, they're going to need. Yeah, I don't know if Iowa State is losing twice. I don't know if BYU is losing twice. I think they're losing once, but not twice. 

53:12 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
The tied teams will be compared based on win percentage against all conference opponents. Okay, so if you don't have a head-to-head, that's the next one and then it goes to win percentage against the next highest-placed common opponent in the standings. Proceeded through. So we'll have to get in the lab there if they finish with one loss and BYU has one loss and Iowa State has one loss. 

53:36 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Connor in the chat. Is Navy good at anything under two touchdowns Running up versus the weaker competition, or will they be beat up from facing the Irish? There's probably too many moving power ratings. Lean Rice, but Rice's quarterback situation. You were right, ej Warner didn't play. Good call by you, even though they backdoored it. 

53:55 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
They deserved to lose more, had no business backdooring it, but actually got to the window on the 7.5. 

54:01 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I watched the Notre Dame-Navy game. You know very closely Horvat thumb you see that. 

54:09 - Zack Phillips (Announcement)
He was taped at the start of the game he took it off. 

54:11 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
It's bothering him. You wonder why he's fumbling and stuff can't grip the football. That's something that usually doesn't get healed in one week no, yeah, that's a good, that's a good um I I broke a thumb, it was. It was, and I think it's still messed up to this day. 

54:24 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
It's not like a hundred so I think warner will be back this week. I think, okay, uh, based off. Yeah, that's one. 

54:32 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Are you going to play it? Are you going to play them double? 

54:34 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
digits? No, that's not. 

54:36 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
No, now the coach is fired. 

54:38 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Right, I will say, though, where are you at on your boys versus Georgia State? 

54:48 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Oh, I already told you, the horseshoe likes Connecticut, so you know who I like. Okay, because me too too, I'm with you. 

55:00 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I'm georgia state, you like them yeah, all right, let's give, let's pull it up. All right, let's pull it up. Yeah, I'm not like I'm in. Yeah, I don't what I mean. The yukon. 

55:08 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
They played a nobody quarterback. Last week, georg Georgia State's played a much more difficult schedule. I also Connecticut's played like six straight home games. I think that's sometimes being negative. Sometimes you need to break up the monotony. I think Georgia State's got better athletes. 

55:26 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I know me too. 

55:28 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
We in best bet. 

55:29 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, what's the Q Is Evers the guy. Now, what happened to uh? 

55:36 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
they wanted to. They've always wanted to go with him. Okay, I don't know if there was some contractual stuff there. 

55:42 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
No, but I honestly I got it. I don't know who can throw the other. Fagnano can throw. Evers is a better runner, but Fagnnano can throw, I know. I agree, I like Fagano better than Evers, but they seem to be. He was terrible against Rice. So yeah, I like this over a touchdown. 

56:02 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Boom, we are head-to-head with the old horseshoe. There's no position. I'd rather be in on a Friday night than anti horseshoe. 

56:14 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I'm surprised that got. 

56:17 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
He gave it out this morning late seven. 

56:19 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Okay, I was wondering why that took a little. 

56:22 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, he made seven. Love it, and you know what that also means. It means Georgia State's alive. I think the yeah, is this? 

56:30 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
is what what in that game's uh sub little hint, hint of game that might be in the round dropping? 

56:38 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
yeah, love it man. That makes me man, that boosted my spirits up, that coming down the home stretch of the show today. Yes, I'm glad that we're in on that. I, connor and chad. Washington plus three at home yeah, I agree with that number, that's just. Is that widely available? No, I don't chat. Washington plus three at home yeah, I agree with that number, that's just. Is that widely available? 

56:52 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
No I don't really think that, if you get it, I agree, you said it earlier. If you get a three, yes. 

56:57 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yep Holt, which hit the books feature, has a better chance Texas State or Sam Houston? I either neither. Maybe Sam Houston, yeah, I would lean Sam Houston. 

57:10 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Do they play? Hold on? I'm looking at the schedule here. They don't. 

57:18 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah. 

57:24 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
They, yeah, last two weeks. So I mean, listen, they got to win the last two games, jacksonville State and Liberty. They got to win them both. So tough. And again, even though we're anti-Liberty here, it's not like anybody in this conference is any good. 

57:36 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, they can win one, I don't know if they'll win both. Illinois a home dog to the Gophers. Now we're on Minnesota there. Yeah, I know Just current form Illinois is Minnesota's, like Brosnan's, got it rolling. 

57:53 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Now they got healthy too, like I think they might put them in the. Put them in the burial there. 

58:01 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
They did Maryland last week. Q's plus thoughts. Well, tootin's out for Virginia Tech. I like that Syracuse is off, got extra time to prep. I like that they're off a game where they're minus five turnovers to even pick sixes. So yeah, I lean with Cuse. I haven't bet it yet, have you. 

58:20 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Me too I haven't bet it yet would lean that way Again. I try not to overreact. It's like that was kind of an outlier game for McCord. He's been really good for most of the season. I don't think Syracuse got significantly. I mean, you're never going to win or cover a game where you give up three pick, six touchdowns. So yeah, and now they're at home. 

58:44 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Look at the box score. Virginia Tech, Georgia Tech, Georgia Tech dominated the box score. Yeah, I like. What is there? Three and a half what's the number I thought it was getting out to, like I was kind of waiting. I thought it was getting out to four-ish. Yeah, there's a lot of fours out there. 

59:00
Yeah, let's not take that price. Let's see where we're at on that one later in the week. I think there's this narrative that, oh, virginia Tech because I'm hearing it oh, they got Clemson next week and all this, are they going to get to the Clemson game? We'll see. I don't think they're well-coached Virginia Tech. It's a close game. I don't trust him. Trevor in the chat, is Miami's defense good enough for them to cover a minus 20? I know it's Duke, but that defense has got awful, depending on last week they covered it got awful. Well, they did. Okay, they. You know, depending on last week they covered it and I don't think there's much difference between florida state and duke? 

59:35 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I don't. I don't think there's. 

59:36
I mean duke's got a little bit more pulse recently offensively, but um duke lost the game last week where they're plus six and turnovers yeah, and I was gonna just gonna say that like smu of the play and I know we got fortunate on the northern illinois total and like you can go back and forth SMU should have covered. Like there was times where they were up 14. It should have been 21, 28. Like they got stuffed on the goal line. If you'd done like that, SMU should have buried them last week. If anything, I'd be in Miami here. 

01:00:05 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Agree so hard to lay in the, the MAAC. This is Action Sports Central, unless against Kent State Ball or Akron, I agree, but we kind of lean Toledo, I think that's a good problem, yeah. 

01:00:17
Here's the thing. Look at Eastern Michigan. Statistically it is much closer to Akron, kent and Ball State. Look at them. Statistically, their profile stinks. Happiness Jones, georgia in the bag, most stable D-line. Did I already read that I might have my bad Chuck C? Any lean on Pitt? Is Holstein going to go? I like SMU? Yeah, I don't. It didn't seem optimistic. Yeah, it didn't seem bad. You said it was precautionary. They're already up three, four touchdowns. 

01:00:46 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I like SMU. Yeah, I lean that way too. 

01:00:53 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I think, yeah, I think that way too, I think that, yeah, what kind of a totally fluky result last week. 

01:00:55
Uh, I don't, I don't like seven and a half, though I will say no, I agree. Six and a half and seven is the the buy price for smu. I just this is old school handicapping 101 one team minus six in turnovers last week, smu against a team that was plus five in turnovers, pit last week. So at this point in the season, that's what you're looking for, stuff like that. Uh, robert vandy, auburn, I didn't bet it. Van auburn's been getting the money this week. Boy vandy, impressive again and in cover yeah, man, they had to eat. 

01:01:21 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, that was even in a game where, you know, pavi was taking shots and they were down a few scores early. Like they're still battling back to to make it a game late. Um, but it's funny market, does it? Sometimes it's like just gets I, auburn is playing better football. Uh, here of late, I don't. I don't want to lay them, though, like I don't want to no, I'm not I need seven and a half ish to take. 

01:01:47
Yeah, that's what I'm looking for in the game. I've seen a few Pete, clemson and Louisville. You got anything on there. I think Louisville's the right side. 

01:01:55 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
But I think they're playing a seven straight week and go look at like every game is like tooth and nail and Clemson's off a high. So I pull behind the curtain. The tout service thought about it and I just I think it's one of the worst situational spots of the week Because I mean seven straight weeks and at the end you're going to Clemson. A little bit of money on Louisville I saw today. Where are you at? 

01:02:22 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Did you bet it? No, I would be on the only side. I'd honestly be looking at Same thing. I think Clemson. I don't know if it'll be nine and a half, but a cheap 10 or nine and a half I'd probably be looking that way. 

01:02:35 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, I just, what does Louisville have left? I mean every. I mean, look at it. It's SMU, it's Notre Dame, it's, you know Virginia game, that's close. It's last week having a rally against Boston College. It's just, I mean Miami game, back and forth. I mean how many you know Clemson's not the team off a bye. I want to play when I'm at the end of a stretch like that. Chuck C, you guys, part of the early Stanford money, I'm not. What's going on here? 

01:03:02 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
No. 

01:03:04 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I'm not at all. I don't agree with it. Like that's another team at the end of a stretch that NC State's off a bye, Stanford's, you know, played a bunch of. I don't agree with it. Do you know who's behind this? What's going on? 

01:03:18 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I didn't see any of who was on that move today and I know our Stanford win total after that. And again, I know we laid it with Wake but is in trouble. 

01:03:27 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Another win total cooked. That looks so great it's cooked? 

01:03:31 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, it is, I think. 

01:03:31 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I might have a losing year of betting win totals, which is it is because I mean Like I'd fire me. I mean, if I was an employee I'd fire myself. That's how pathetic. I like NC State. You want to go or no? 

01:03:49 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I would lean that way too. I don't know. 

01:03:53 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I will lean that way too. I don't know We'll lean that way, but I like NC State and nine and a half they're off. A bye, we'll see there One more. Oh, happiness Jones, oh, no, a couple more. Nice to see Bowling Green's favorite again, the Mac, I think. When they play their A game I think they're the best team. I agree my fault. There was a win in the round robin. Yes, all right. 

01:04:15 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
One out of four doesn't get us any money, though Happy. 

01:04:17 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, that's true. Action Sports Central. Shouldn't we take the seven on Manny? Do you really think we see a seven and a half? That's true. I mean it is Jerry Kill against Hugh Freeze. We know how that's gone the last couple of years. If you're not aware of it, it's been to the biggest ATS covers in college football history. We're talking 40, 50 point covers. Yeah, I need seven or more. No, I'm not going to be six and a half. Any final thoughts? For recap Best bets. 

01:04:50 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
No, I think a good, good week to start off on a Monday. Got a couple of plays liked and let's keep it. 

01:04:56 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
One more the World Series tonight. Any game, three lane, probably the Yankees right. What's the price? 

01:05:01 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I have not. This is not boy, this is not an MLB podcast. I tell you no, I don't want. 

01:05:07 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
You know I've made maybe five bets in Major League Baseball in my entire life. Brutal weekend for the classic Yanks Cowboys, duke fans, but the Notre Dame fans came through. 

01:05:19 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Oh yeah, the two diehards on this show came through big time. 

01:05:24 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah the diehards. Oh yeah the diehards. Turnovers We'll see. I like them Irish. They're on a buy. I'm thankful might be going to the playoffs this year. I'll be happy with that yeah uh, let's recap. 

01:05:41
Best bets sorry, closing the show on a little bit of a downer, talking about notre dame, who wants to hear that, and the yankees and the cowboys and Duke. What is this? First, take ULL plus 3.5. Like it. Georgia State plus 7.5. We already got some CLV there. Love it Under Ohio State. Penn State Love it Penn State we gave out in the summer plus 3.5. Look at all these key numbers. Ucla plus 7.5. Man, I got to say I like that portfolio. Look at them. Dogs with the hooks around key numbers and an under in a big game I mean folks, that is the 1998, like handicapping 101. 

01:06:18 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
That's what you get. But I mean, listen, I agree Like for a nice call on that. Ucla getting in front of that was one I was looking at. I'm glad we got in front of that because I like that one a lot. 

01:06:29 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Well, we can thank the doctor for that. I saw I said hey, the screen's gonna light up on this because I kind of lean that way. And then, uh, we had a really good price from our friends at fan duel. Yep, uh, what was that one? I didn't see that. What was that zach? What was that comment throwing? Uh, toronto. 

01:06:42 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Oh, okay, minus five oh, our good cfl there. Uh, I don't think we have a cfl guy at the station. Even even pozola doesn't uh so money. So at the station, even Pozzola doesn't so money. 

01:06:54 - Zack Phillips (Announcement)
So money he's on Edgework but he doesn't do CFL stuff. But he's a CFL guy. He doesn't do it for content, but yeah. 

01:07:01 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
What's he on? Is he on or what? He's on Edgework. Yeah, I think he sends it out. 

01:07:08 - Zack Phillips (Announcement)
I don't know, I don't know what he does with it. 

01:07:13 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I, I don't know. I don't know what he does with it. I thought you know so many. No, I mean, I know who he is, but we don't work together or anything. So yeah, well, crest would rather eat a shoe than watch the. Well, I'd rather see you eat a shoe than have to. There you go Pizza man with us man. 

01:07:28 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
He's been with us. The heavy hitters are with us. We must be either doing something right or something wrong. They're following us, they're watching us. Now it's one or the other. That's what I've noticed. Maybe we've been slipping up with some of our verbiage, which is possible with us too. I got nothing else, man. I do like the portfolio. I like what we got in the bag already. I tend to think the Penn State game whispers. 

01:07:57 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Oh boy. 

01:08:01 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
But I actually like Perbula because he can run around. 

01:08:04 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, I know Me too. Yeah, we didn't get it. I bet you mentioned Ed work and I didn't slander Albers' name, unfortunately. So, yeah, yeah, no, Keep that boy. I tell you, yeah, no, keep that boy. I tell you, all birds on my shit list at the moment. So, yeah, I'll be. Yeah, I know I'm going to have to. I got to move this. I get to either put the coach primes on next week or or or change this position or maybe close the like you do. You got the blinds closed there. 

01:08:30 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I got the lines. It's simple. I mean, come on, you know I look at natural light. 

01:08:34 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
you know it's authentic. I got I get 800 plants in here from the psychopath I live with so well folks. 

01:08:42 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
That's the man the myth. Questions concerns Another shout out to Sean Higgs for that big super chat. That'll do it. You just watched. Hit the Books, part of the Hammer Betting Network sponsored by FanDuel. See you Friday. 

 

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