The highly anticipated Game 3 of the 2024 NBA Finals between the Boston Celtics and the Dallas Mavericks is set to take place on Wednesday, June 12, at the American Airlines Center in Dallas. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET on ABC.
As the series shifts to Dallas, the Celtics hold a commanding 2-0 lead over the Mavericks. Boston's well-rounded offence has been on full display, with five players contributing double-digit points in Game 2. Jayson Tatum's versatility has been a key factor, as he showcased his playmaking skills with 12 assists, 9 rebounds, and 18 points in the previous game. On the other side, Luka Doncic recorded his 10th career playoff triple-double for the Mavericks, but Kyrie Irving, who has a 12-game losing streak against the Celtics, managed only 16 points.
The Mavericks will be looking to capitalize on their home-court advantage, as they have lost a home game in all three of their series this postseason. The Celtics, however, have been unbeaten on the road this postseason, making them formidable opponents even away from home. With the series and history favouring the Celtics, the Mavericks will need to dig deep and rely on the offensive prowess of Doncic and Irving to turn the tide in Game 3.
Our player prop tool has analyzed the market and identified best bets for Game 3, all providing you with a substantial edge against the sportsbooks.
How We Make Our Picks
Our sports betting picks are generated using the betstamp player prop comparison tool that identifies odds significantly higher than the true probability, known as positive expected value (+EV) betting. This data-driven approach aims to uncover value bets across various sports to provide disciplined, profitable picks
Our Pick: Payton Pritchard OVER 3.5 Points -120 @ Fanatics/PointsBet
Edge: 1.53% Expected Value
Review: Click HERE to see our PointsBet, review, promotions and more!
Pritchard, averaging 6.8 playoff points, has been a reliable bench contributor for the Celtics. His clutch shooting was evident in Game 2 with a buzzer-beating 38-footer. As the Celtics aim for a 3-0 series lead, Pritchard's confidence and potential increased minutes could lead to more scoring opportunities. With other bookmakers setting the line at 4.5 points, our model sees value in this play.
Our Pick: Derrick Jones Jr. OVER 1.5 3’s +210 @ FanDuel (Click HERE to Sign Up!)
Edge: 3.89% Expected Value
Review: Click HERE to see our FanDuel, review, promotions and more!
Derrick Jones Jr. has been shooting well recently. In Game 2, he attempted three 3-pointers, demonstrating his willingness to shoot from deep. As a key offensive weapon for the Mavericks, Jones Jr. should get open looks with the Celtics focusing on Luka Doncic. Given his increased playing time and Dallas needing a boost to overcome the 2-0 deficit, Jones Jr. has a strong chance to make over 1.5 threes in this crucial game. With a 4% expected value on this play, the Betstamp player prop comparison tool recommends backing Jones Jr. at these odds.
Our Pick: Luka Doncic UNDER 33.5 Points -105 @ Fanatics/PointsBet
Edge: 7.56% Expected Value
Review: Click HERE to see our PointsBet, review, promotions and more!
Luka Doncic, averaging 32.0 points per game in the NBA Finals, may struggle to maintain that pace in Game 3 against the Boston Celtics. The Celtics' suffocating defense has forced Doncic to work hard for his points, and the physical toll is starting to show, as he deals with a thoracic contusion requiring pain-killing injections before games. With the Celtics throwing fresh defenders at him and making him work on both ends, Doncic's efficiency could dip. Considering the bookmaker's edge, setting his points total at 33.5 compared to 32.5 elsewhere, betting on his under could be a profitable move.
Our Pick: SUPER BOOST - Jayson Tatum & Luka Doncic Both To Record Double Double's +185 @ FanDuel (Click HERE To Sign Up!)
Review: Click HERE to see our FanDuel, review, promotions and more!
Jayson Tatum and Luka Doncic are both elite players capable of stuffing the stat sheet. Tatum has been filling up the box score despite his shooting struggles, nearly posting a triple-double in Game 2. Meanwhile, Doncic already has two double-doubles this series and eight total this postseason.
FanDuel's boost from +120 to +185 for Tatum and Doncic each getting a double-double is worth taking. Both players have high floors due to their ability to contribute in multiple categories, making this an appealing bet at enhanced odds.
Conclusion
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