UFC Fight Night Predictions: Lemos vs Jandiroba Betting Picks, Odds & Fight Breakdowns for July 20, 2024


The UFC returns to the Apex in Las Vegas on Saturday, July 20th for a Fight Night card headlined by #3 Strawweight Amanda Lemos vs Virna Jandiroba. While not the most high-profile of cards, expect fireworks from fighters looking to prove their worth with 12 fights set to take place.


The main card is set to begin at the regular start time of 8pm ET/5pm PT on ESPN/ESPN+. With the preliminary card getting underway at 5pm ET/2pm PT on ESPN2/ESPN+.


Come back here every UFC Fight Night for great off-market picks that we identify, and bet all of them over the long run to grow your bankroll!


How We Make Our Picks

Our proprietary Betstamp player prop comparison tool generates our player prop picks. It identifies bets where the odds offered are significantly higher than the true probability, known as Positive Expected Value (+EV) betting (Click HERE to learn more about what +EV Betting is!!). Our data and math-driven approach has won users MILLIONS over the past 3 years, and we aim to uncover valuable, mis-priced bets across various sports to provide disciplined, sustainable profit to users!



Usman vs Petersen - Heavyweight, 3 Rounds

Mohammed Usman has a professional record of 11-3-0. Standing at 6'2" and weighing 239 lbs, Usman is an orthodox fighter with a reach of 79 inches. He has shown resilience and versatility in his career, with notable wins against Junior Tafa and Jake Collier in 2023, although he recently lost to Mick Parkin in 2024. Usman lands an average of 3.18 significant strikes per minute with a striking accuracy of 37%.


Thomas Petersen enters the bout with a record of 8-2-0. He is a powerful southpaw standing at 6'1", and weighing 264 lbs. Petersen boasts a striking accuracy of 68%, landing 3.79 significant strikes per minute, and has a strong takedown defence rate of 85%. Known for his knockout power, Petersen has secured seven of his wins by KO, with six of those finishes occurring in the first round.


Our Pick: Usman By Decision +185 @ FanDuel (Click HERE To Sign Up!)

Edge: 4.8% Expected Value


Review: Click HERE to see our FanDuel review, promotions and more!



Choi vs Garcia - Featherweight, 3 Rounds

Seung Woo Choi, a South Korean featherweight, enters this bout with a professional record of 11-6-0. Standing at 6'0" with a 74.5" reach, he utilizes his length effectively in striking exchanges. Choi's recent performances have been mixed, with alternating wins and losses in his last few fights.


Steve Garcia, brings a 15-5-0 record to the octagon. The American fighter has shown versatility in his performances. Garcia has been on a winning streak recently, securing stoppage victories in his last three fights. At 6'0" with a 73" reach, he matches Choi in height but gives up a slight reach advantage.


Our Pick: Any Fighter To Win In Round 1 +105 @ BetRivers

Edge: 4.13% Expected Value


Review: Click HERE to see our BetRivers review, promotions and more!



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One of the key things to keep in mind when betting Positive Expected Value picks is to make sure to properly manage your bankroll & only bet the correct percentage based on the edge identified. Click HERE to learn more about BANKROLL MANAGEMENT!


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