The UFC heads north to Montreal, Canada, on Saturday, May 10th, for a PPV card headlined by Welterweight champion Belal Muhammad taking on contender Jack Della Maddalena. While not the most high-profile of PPV cards, expect fireworks from fighters looking to prove they can contend for a UFC title.
The main card is set to begin at the regular start time of 10pm ET/7pm PT on ESPN/ESPN+. With the preliminary card getting underway at 8pm ET/5pm PT on ESPN2/ESPN+.
Come back here every UFC Fight Night for great off-market picks that we identify, and bet all of them over the long run to grow your bankroll!
How We Make Our Picks
Our proprietary Betstamp player prop comparison tool generates our player prop picks. It identifies bets where the odds offered are significantly higher than the true probability, known as Positive Expected Value (+EV) betting (Click HERE to learn more about what +EV Betting is!!). Our data and math-driven approach has won users MILLIONS over the past 3 years, and we aim to uncover valuable, mis-priced bets across various sports to provide disciplined, sustainable profit to users!
Malott vs Radtke - Welterweight, 3 Rounds
Our Pick: Mike Malott Moneyline -160 @bet365 (Click HERE To Sign Up To bet365!)
Edge: 2.79% Expected Value
This pick on Mike Malott for the Moneyline OVER 0.5 at -160 on bet365 is a strong value choice given the true line in the market is at -189, offering bettors a 6.29% Expected Value. Analysing recent performances, Malott’s grappling advantage, with an average of 2.27 takedowns per 15 minutes and a notable takedown accuracy of 56%, shows his capacity to control the fight's pace and direction, enhancing the likelihood of clearing the threshold against an opponent like Radtke. Currently, Pinnacle and BetOnline, two of the sharpest combat sports sportsbooks, have Malot as a -200 favourite.
Review: Click HERE to see our bet365 review, promotions and more!
Maximize Your Sports Betting Winnings
One of the key things to keep in mind when betting Positive Expected Value picks is to make sure to properly manage your bankroll & only bet the correct percentage based on the edge identified. Click HERE to learn more about BANKROLL MANAGEMENT!
Want More Picks?
Finding profitable player prop bets doesn't have to be a challenge. If you're interested in seeing more bets like these, JOIN US in our FREE discord to get the best boosted & + EV bets of the day, links to the hottest promotions, and in-depth knowledge on how to beat the books: https://discord.gg/QSz6Yqwfq5
How to Bet on UFC Fights
Betting on UFC fights can be both thrilling and rewarding when done with the right knowledge. Here's a step-by-step guide to help you get started and increase your chances of making successful bets.
Understand the Basics
1. Moneyline Bets: This is the most straightforward way to bet on a fight. You're simply picking who you think will win. Each fighter has odds, and you win according to those odds if your picked fighter comes out on top.
2. Prop Bets: These bets are more specific. You can wager on things like the method of victory (knockout, submission, or decision) or which round the fight will end.
3. Over/Under Rounds: Here, you bet on how long the fight will last. For instance, if the line is set at 2.5 rounds, you decide whether the fight will go over or under that length.
Research and Analyze
- Fighter Profiles: Look into fighters' backgrounds, recent performances, fighting styles, and any injuries. This information can provide insights into their potential outcomes.
- Statistics: Evaluate past fight data and statistics. This includes win/loss records, knockout rates, and average fight lengths.
Find the Best Value
- Compare Odds: Different sportsbooks offer various odds, so shop around. Websites like DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM provide competitive odds on UFC events.
- Expert Picks and Analysis: Follow expert analysis for insights and strategies. They often provide detailed breakdowns of upcoming fights.
Bet Responsibly
- Set a Budget: Determine how much money you're willing to wager and stick to it to avoid significant losses.
- Avoid Emotional Betting: It's easy to let personal preferences influence your bets. Stay objective and stick to your research.
By understanding these fundamentals and utilizing expert advice, you'll be better prepared to bet on UFC fights with confidence. Always stay informed and bet responsibly!
How to Find the Latest News and Bonuses for UFC Betting
If you're eager to stay updated with the latest UFC news and maximize your betting experience with great bonuses, you're in the right place. Let's guide you through finding reliable sources and uncovering top offers.
Stay Up-to-Date with UFC News
- Social Media Handles: Follow official UFC pages and insiders on platforms such as Twitter and Instagram for real-time updates and exclusive content.
- Dedicated Mobile Apps: Download apps from trusted sports networks to receive notifications about breaking news and fight schedules directly on your device.
Discovering Top Bonuses
- Comparison Sites: Use comparison websites such as Betstamp to review and compare the latest bonus offers from reputable sportsbooks. Our platform highlights sign-up bonuses, free bets, and enhanced odds to give you an edge.
- Promotional Emails: Subscribe to newsletters from major sportsbooks to receive timely information about ongoing promotions and limited-time offers.
- Online Forums and Communities: Engage with online betting communities on Reddit or other forums where members often share insider tips and exclusive bonus codes.
By leveraging these resources, you'll always be in the loop with the latest UFC developments and have access to the best betting opportunities.
How Do UFC Picks and Predictions Differ from General MMA Picks?
Understanding the nuances between UFC picks and predictions and those for general MMA can significantly enhance your betting strategy. Here’s how they differ:
1. Focus and Market Scope:
- UFC Picks: With UFC being the most prominent organization in mixed martial arts, the picks tend to concentrate on its high-profile events. The betting markets here, like the Moneyline, often see more activity and offer a wider range of betting options, making them suitable for both casual bettors and seasoned experts.
- General MMA Picks: These encompass events from various organizations worldwide, such as Bellator, ONE Championship, and smaller regional promotions. They might not receive as much betting volume as UFC events, but they can provide unique opportunities, especially when bookmakers have limited insights into lesser-known fighters.
2. Bet Types and Odds:
- UFC Predictions: Beyond simple Moneyline bets, UFC predictions often delve into specialized markets. These include Method of Victory (i.e., win by knockout, submission, or decision) and round betting, which can lead to potentially higher odds and greater returns.
- General MMA: While similar bet types exist, the odds can sometimes be more lucrative due to less public attention and fewer market corrections, giving sharp bettors a chance to capitalize on under-the-radar fighters and matchups.
3. Fighter Analysis and Breakdown:
- UFC Analysis: UFC picks often involve detailed breakdowns of fighter statistics, fighting styles, and recent performances. Given the high stakes and public scrutiny, analysts typically have more data and in-depth analysis for UFC events.
- MMA Analysis: Assessments for general MMA might also consider the broader array of fighting disciplines and local trends, offering insight into how fighters from different cultural backgrounds might influence their approach in the cage.
4. Availability of Resources:
- UFC Resources: Information on UFC events is more readily available with comprehensive data from various sources such as official UFC sites, prominent sports analysts, and dedicated MMA media outlets.
- General MMA Resources: While resources are available, there might be less coverage and analysis for events outside the UFC, challenging bettors to dig deeper and utilize niche sources to make informed decisions.
In essence, both UFC and general MMA picks provide their own unique betting landscapes. Understanding their differences can equip you with the knowledge to navigate these markets strategically.
The Importance of Weigh-Ins and Fight Week in UFC Picks
When it comes to making accurate UFC picks, the events of fight week, especially the weigh-ins, play a crucial role. These moments offer valuable insights that can influence predictions and betting strategies significantly.
Detailed Observations
1. Physical Condition: During the weigh-ins, fighters step onto the scale, offering the first glimpse of their physical state. Observers can assess whether they look fit and ready or depleted from a harsh weight cut. Subtle physical signs can indicate how well a fighter has managed their preparation in the weeks leading up to the bout.
2. Mental and Emotional Cues: Beyond the physical, weigh-ins provide a platform for fighters to showcase their mental and emotional readiness. Their demeanor, confidence, and energy levels are on display, which can hint at their psychological state heading into the fight.
3. Media Interactions: Throughout fight week, media events present additional opportunities to gather clues. Fighters engage with journalists, answering questions that sometimes reveal more than intended. While they won’t disclose entire strategies, hints about their training camps or lingering injuries might surface.
Comprehensive Analysis
All these elements accumulated over fight week are crucial to developing informed UFC picks. Each aspect, from a fighter’s weight cut success to their mental focus, contributes to a comprehensive understanding of their potential performance.
As a result, waiting until after these events to finalize picks ensures that all available data and subtle indicators have been considered, thus maximizing the accuracy of predictions.
When Are UFC Picks Typically Posted?
UFC picks are generally shared shortly after the weigh-ins, which are conducted the day before the fight. This timing is strategic, allowing analysts to gather the fullest extent of insights available from Fight Week events.
Why Wait Until After the Weigh-Ins?
- Fight Week Access: The UFC provides extensive media access throughout Fight Week, which includes interviews and weigh-ins, offering valuable clues about each fighter's condition and mindset.
- Insightful Clues: Observers pay close attention to both the physical shape of the fighters and their demeanor during interviews. These can reveal hints about their training camps, weight cuts, and overall preparation.
- Informed Analysis: By evaluating how well fighters seem to have handled their camps and weigh-ins, experts can make more accurate predictions.
The goal is to offer the most informed UFC picks by considering all available data, right up until the moment of posting.
How UFC Picks Enhance Your Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Strategy
Unlocking success in UFC Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) requires more than just luck—it demands informed decisions. Utilizing UFC picks strategically can significantly boost your DFS outcomes. Here’s how:
1. Predict the Winners:
-
- UFC picks often provide expert analysis and predictions on potential fight winners. By leveraging this insight, you can make educated choices on which fighters to include in your lineup.
2. Deep Dive into Fighter Stats:
-
- Picks offer key statistics and analyses that highlight a fighter's strengths and weaknesses. These cover crucial aspects such as strikes, takedowns, and finishes. Understanding these can help you select fighters who are more likely to accumulate points in a DFS contest.
3. Strategic Game Planning:
-
- Effective UFC picks come with strategic breakdowns of why a fighter might excel in a given matchup. Whether it’s their ground game, striking ability, or endurance, these strategies can guide you in maximizing your points.
4. Performance Insights:
-
- Reviewing previous fight stats provided in UFC picks allows you to gauge a fighter’s past performance in specific categories. This historical data is invaluable for forecasting how they might fare in upcoming bouts.
5. Customizing Lineups:
-
- Tapping into these insights allows you to tailor your DFS lineup to capitalize on projected performances, ensuring that your roster is not only balanced but also optimized for the highest potential score.
Enhance your DFS gameplay by integrating UFC picks into your strategy today, ensuring you're not just participating, but competing to win.
What is a UFC Pick Em and How Does It Differ from Other Types of Picks?
A UFC Pick Em is a unique betting scenario that can take two forms. Firstly, it might indicate that oddsmakers have set the bout with even odds, meaning neither fighter is favored—a notion similar to the NFL's point spread of zero. In such cases, bettors simply choose which fighter they believe will win the match without considering a point spread.
Alternatively, a UFC Pick Em can refer to a competition or contest where participants predict the winners of a series of fights, often referred to as picking the Moneyline winner. Here, there is no need to navigate point spreads or handicaps; the focus is solely on determining the outright winner of each fight.
Key Differences from Other Types of Picks
1. Even Odds: Pick Em odds suggest no betting favorite, whereas other types may present clearer favorites and underdogs with varying payout structures.
2. Simplicity: Unlike spread bets, which require choosing a margin of victory, Pick Em bets simplify the decision to picking a straight winner.
3. Betting Strategy: Traditional fight betting often considers variables like over/under rounds or method of victory, which are not part of a Pick Em approach.
4. Competition Format: Some Pick Em setups involve broader prediction contests, distinguishing them from typical single-event wagers.
By providing straightforward options, a UFC Pick Em caters to both novice and experienced bettors who prefer focusing on the action inside the octagon rather than navigating complex betting formulas. Whether you’re betting evenly matched odds or participating in a prediction contest, understanding these nuances will enhance your betting strategy.
Scale Your Winnings With Betstamp PRO
Betstamp Pro saves you time and resources by identifying edges across 100+ sportsbooks in real-time. Leverage the most efficient true line in the industry and discover why Betstamp Pro is essential for top-down bettors.
Limited number of spots available! Apply for your free 1-on-1 product demo by clicking the banner below.
