The UFC heads to the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on Saturday, March 8th for a PPV card headlined by Light Heavyweight Champion Alex Pereira taking on #1 contender Magomed Ankalaev. The co-main event features all-action Lightweight Justin Gaethje vs Rafael Fiziev in a rematch.
The main card is set to begin at the regular start time of 10 pm ET/7 pm PT on ESPN+ PPV. With the preliminary card getting underway at 8 pm ET/5 pm PT.
Come back here every UFC Fight Night for great off-market picks that we identify, and bet all of them over the long run to grow your bankroll!
How We Make Our Picks
Our proprietary Betstamp PRO player prop comparison tool generates our player prop picks. It identifies bets where the odds offered are significantly higher than the true probability, known as Positive Expected Value (+EV) betting (Click HERE to learn more about what +EV Betting is!!). Our data and math-driven approach has won users MILLIONS over the past 3 years, and we aim to uncover valuable, mis-priced bets across various sports to provide disciplined, sustainable profit to users!
Green vs Ruffy - Lightweight, 3 Rounds
Our Pick: Mauricio Ruffy By TKO/KO +105 @bet365 (Click HERE To Sign Up To bet365!)
Edge: 4.65% Expected Value
This pick for Mauricio Ruffy to win by TKO/KO at +105 with bet365 is a good value bet because the true line in the market is at -104, providing bettors with a 4.65% Expected Value. This indicates a notable discrepancy between the sportsbook's odds and market evaluation, suggesting potential profitability in backing Ruffy. In analyzing the statistics, Ruffy's significant strikes landed per minute (SLpM) of 4.7 and a striking accuracy of 59% illustrate his effective striking capability. Furthermore, his impressive takedown defense of 100% ensures the fight remains standing, playing to his striking strengths against King Green, who absorbs more strikes per minute than Ruffy throws, thus heightening the chances for a TKO/KO finish.
Review: Click HERE to see our bet365 review, promotions and more!
Santos vs Marshall - Featherweight, 3 Rounds
Our Pick: Mairon Santos By TKO/KO +240 @BetRivers (Click HERE To Sign Up To BetRivers!)
Edge: 9.62% Expected Value
This pick offers significant value due to the fact that the true line in the market is at +210, while BetRivers offers +240, translating into a promising 9.62% Expected Value for bettors. Mairon Santos' impressive striking stats, where he averages 4.77 strikes landed per minute with a striking accuracy of 46%, demonstrate a strong offensive capability; this is further emphasized by his ability to absorb only 1.85 strikes per minute and a defense rate of 57%. Given these metrics, Santos is well-positioned to capitalize on his striking advantage and secure a TKO/KO victory early in the fight.
Review: Click HERE to see our BetRivers review, promotions and more!
Pereira vs Ankalaev - Light Heavyweight, 5 Rounds
Our Pick: Ankalaev Moneyline +110 @bet365 (Click HERE To Sign Up To bet365!)
Edge: 4.14% Expected Value
This pick offers tremendous value, as the true line in the market is at +102, while bet365 provides ML at +110, delivering bettors a 4.14% Expected Value. Magomed Ankalaev's impressive stats indicate a defensive edge; with a takedown defense at 86% and a strikes absorbed per minute rate of only 2.37, his ability to withstand attacks is critical. On the other hand, despite Alex Pereira's powerful striking capability, his striking absorption rate of 3.44 per minute suggests potential vulnerabilities when facing a tactician and seasoned wrestler like Ankalaev.
Review: Click HERE to see our bet365 review, promotions and more!
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