UFC Fight Night Predictions Emmett vs Murphy Odds, Picks, & Best Bets Today (04/5/25)

2025-04-04

The UFC heads back to the Apex on Saturday, Arpil 5th for a Fight Night card headlined by Hard-hitting contender Josh Emmett taking on #10 ranked Featherweight Lerone Murphy.

 

The main card is set to begin at 9 pm ET/5 pm PT on ESPN+. The preliminary card will be underway at 6 pm ET/2 pm PT on ESPN+.

 

Come back here every UFC Fight Night for great off-market picks that we identify, and bet all of them over the long run to grow your bankroll!

 

 

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Our proprietary Betstamp player prop comparison tool generates our player prop picks. It identifies bets where the odds offered are significantly higher than the true probability, known as Positive Expected Value (+EV) betting (Click HERE to learn more about what +EV Betting is!!). Our data and math-driven approach has won users MILLIONS over the past 3 years, and we aim to uncover valuable, mis-priced bets across various sports to provide disciplined, sustainable profit to users!

 

 

McKee vs Frunza - Welterweight, 3 Rounds

 

Our Pick: Daniel Frunza TKO/KO Win OVER 0.5 +220 @BetRivers (Click HERE To Sign Up!)

Edge: 11.43% Expected Value

 

This pick of Daniel Frunza TKO/KO Win OVER 0.5 at +220 with BetRivers offers a compelling value because the true line in the market is at +187, yielding bettors an appealing 11.43% Expected Value. Analyzing recent performances, Frunza's opponent, Rhys McKee, notably absorbs a high volume of strikes at 7.85 per minute with a striking defense of only 42%, indicating a vulnerability that Frunza, who lands 4.94 significant strikes per minute, could exploit effectively. This statistical discrepancy suggests a strong potential for Frunza to secure a TKO/KO, aligning well with the pick’s value proposition.

 

Review: Click HERE to see our BetRivers review, promotions and more!

 

 

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One of the key things to keep in mind when betting Positive Expected Value picks is to make sure to properly manage your bankroll & only bet the correct percentage based on the edge identified. Click HERE to learn more about BANKROLL MANAGEMENT!

 

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