UFC Fight Night Predictions: Dern vs Ribas 2 Odds, Picks, & Best Bets Today (01/11/25)

2025-01-10

The UFC heads back to the Apex in Las Vegas on Saturday, January 11th for a Fight Night card headlined by #6 Strawweight Mackenzie Dern vs #8 Amanda Ribas. 

 

The main card is set to begin at the regular start time of 7 pm ET/4 pm PT on ESPN+. With the preliminary card getting underway at 4 pm ET/1 pm PT on ESPN+.

 

Come back here every UFC Fight Night for great off-market picks that we identify, and bet all of them over the long run to grow your bankroll!

 

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Our proprietary Betstamp player prop comparison tool generates our player prop picks. It identifies bets where the odds offered are significantly higher than the true probability, known as Positive Expected Value (+EV) betting (Click HERE to learn more about what +EV Betting is!!). Our data and math-driven approach has won users MILLIONS over the past 3 years, and we aim to uncover valuable, mis-priced bets across various sports to provide disciplined, sustainable profit to users!

 

 

Gadzhiyasulov vs Lopes - Light Heavyweight, 3 Rounds

 

Our Pick: Round 2 Start - NO +260 @ BallyBet

Edge: 15.68% Expected Value

 

This pick is a good value selection because the true market line is at +211, while BallyBet offers the NO at +260, providing bettors with a 15.68% Expected Value. This discrepancy indicates a potential undervaluation and an opportunity to capitalize on the offered odds. Upon examining Magomed Gadzhiyasulov's recent performances, his ability to absorb minimal strikes (1.37 SA/min) coupled with a high takedown accuracy (0.91) suggests a strategic advantage that could lead to a quick resolution of the fight. These statistics point towards a likelihood that the fight could end before the start of the second round.

 

 

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One of the key things to keep in mind when betting Positive Expected Value picks is to make sure to properly manage your bankroll & only bet the correct percentage based on the edge identified. Click HERE to learn more about BANKROLL MANAGEMENT!

 

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