00:01 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Outro Music All right. Four o'clock on a Monday, that's right. Four o'clock on a Monday, that's right. 4 o'clock on a Monday, you know what time it is. It's time to hit the books. 

00:51
Part of the Hammer Betting Network, alongside the man, the myth, the legend himself, joey Knish, producer extraordinaire Zach Phillips, back with us, I am merely Brad Powers. Before we get to all your questions, comments, concerns and a best bet at the end of today's show, let me remind everybody, first and foremost, that Hit the Books is brought to you by BetStamp. The easiest way to improve as a sports bettor is to use multiple sports books and always get the best odds. We recommend using an odds comparison tool like BetStamp. Betstamp compares odds across every sports book for games, futures and player props. You can save time and money by checking BetStamp before you bet. Download the app today. If you are looking to sign up for a new sportsbook account, please check out the offers available at BetStampapp. Slash hit the books or you can hit the link in the description. If you sign up through this page, it does help support the show. 

01:36
Kanish busy weekend for the Michigan Wolverines. You tweeted it, let it. Let's just get right into it. Uh, recruiting was off to a slow start. There was some concerns, if you follow that, but uh good, uh, official, uh visit recruiting weekend for michigan. Uh, the commitments are pouring in and michigan's class is going from ranked I think just about a week ago was like 51st and now I'm maybe looking to jump in the top 10 here in the next week yeah, it was. 

02:02 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
It was definitely a slow. I think some of the staff transition played a big role in that. You know a couple of the, you know the guys from the last staff Ben Herbert, steve Klink, scott, big time, big time recruiters on staff obviously going to move with the chargers. They had to get a few more guys in. I'm a little surprised at how many you know kind of one of those range of pours. They had the big victors weekend at the big house, um, but as you're saying, I mean this was a class that was obviously going to move up. You know it was ran, was ranked around, fit. But you, you know you were kind of thinking would this be a after a national title, a transition class, a 20 to 25 class now, with some of the guys that got in the hopper, some more crystal balls coming in, probably going to be what looks to be like a top 10 class and I think that's if Michigan, that's your sweet spot You're not going to be a, you know, a top three class year in, year out, like the Ohio state to the Georgia's. So yeah, a much needed recruiting bump, a much needed recruiting bump. 

03:09
They got the color, the no joke, the color guy for Michigan state radio. His name is Jason Strayhorn. His son committed to Michigan over the week. I don't even think he was like Michigan state was in the fold. He was considering like Alabama, ohio state commits to Michigan. Um, so yeah, then that that coincides with some of the. I think, john, we I mean on this show we've taken some michigan state unders. But the word on the street is that, uh, the the money right now is not going to flow in until there's some forward momentum in that program. 

03:38 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
So, um, well that forward momentum is not happening. Wins and losses this year. 

03:42 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, I was gonna say he's got john smith, he's got a tall job ahead of him there. 

03:46 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I don't know what the chicken or the egg, man, I I'd start spending some money now. I mean, uh, and try to get some players in there, cause they're a little short to say. 

03:57 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I agree, but and they might not be on the field this year, but boy does this Michigan team got a 10 and two field to it if I've ever seen a baby. So we'll see if we can get to the mark here. And then, you know, the UN feds will be. You know, having dinner at the cheap, the lunch at the. You know the discount steakhouse at the pepper mill. 

04:23 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, I mean you and I are going to add a little bit on Twitter today. All joking aside, I do think recruiting is kind of like pun intended crystal ball into the future a little bit. As far as your program, it's a pulse of your program. So does it really have to do with anything Michigan football this year? No, but I would say if I was going to give it, I would start going to get critical. If it was another a month or so, six weeks from now and they were still sitting on eight or nine or ten recruits and not in the top 20, top 25 coming off a national championship, I would have been worried. Uh, but obviously, you know you, you got to give it some time and somebody correctly, you know got after me. 

05:02 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I was critical of notre dame, I mean's on the over. I think he's on the over with me. I will say, and just to put a bow on it, the difference in the Sharon Moore approach and the Jim Harbaugh approach to recruiting seems to be significant. Whereas Harbaugh was a lot more, I can kind of not not that he didn't vote, but like I can bring in guys and mold them and win my way. Sharon Moore has expanded the recruiting staff to the biggest it's ever been. They're spending more money on players in some of those realms than than they have before. So it's a different approach. For sure now can can he translate that to wins on the field? We'll see. But he's definitely taking a more aggressive recruiting approach than Harbaugh did. 

05:49 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
That is the Michigan expert himself, joey Knish. Let's get to the chat. 

05:55 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Very active chat already, I see, and obviously you can tell we're getting close to the season. Baby People are filing in RW. 

06:03 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Fan 23 in the chat Happy Hit the Books Monday to both of you, gentlemenw. Fan 23 in the chat happy hit the books monday to both of you, gentlemen. Rw is always in in the chat. Uh, what do you guys thoughts on alabama? Under nine and a half, minus 135. I originally bet alabama under nine and a half I want to say minus 120 ish when, uh, divorce yeah, they had win totals up at that time already. Uh, when the divorce stuff was breaking uh, and it looked like they were gonna get really hammered in the portal. I think nine and a half is a good number. So it's a no bet for me, even though I already have it in pocket. I just was trying to get out in front of anticipated that Alabama is going to take a big step back. Now. I just think it's a since everything settled down, nine and a half, I think, is the right number. Where are you there? 

06:45 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, I'm kind of worried. I thought for I mean for a minute there there was this mass exodus. You're like, is Alabama going to be like a six and six team next year? Are they going to have any players left? They definitely stemmed the tide. They brought in some portal replacements. I don't again not like for like to what they lost, uh, in mike, but we're talking about a guy in kaylin, deborah, who's been the best ats coach of the last, you know, five years of college football all-time ats coach, a guy who I don't think with the pieces on offense will have a lot of problem getting it going with. 

07:20
That said, am I I think nine and three is more likely than ten and two? I'll say that, um, yeah, so I'm not jumping to the window there to play some plus money. I would need a decent price on a flat nine. You know to want to go over there, so I I think the market's just got that one pretty much nailed is where it should be and it hasn't moved too much ever since that. 

07:43 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
It just hasn't moved. Talking Alabama spam me Sosa in the chat. What do you guys think of Alabama 9-1 to win the SEC? I will say I got involved finally in the conference futures market the past week. Got the portfolio going. I hit all 10 last year. I got all 10 right. Alabama is a bet that I made. Uh, in that nine plus 950 range I thought, yeah, I, I think that's a little, that's a little juicy for Alabama. So I, uh I didn't make an Alabama to win the SEC at plus 950. That's in pocket interesting. 

08:20 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
All right, I mean I was gonna say a little, but uh, yeah, yeah, plus 950. 

08:23 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I, I, I was going to say a little yeah right there, yeah plus 950. 

08:28 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I guess I'm going to say Georgia's at home, yeah, the. Georgia game is at home. 

08:35 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I do think I mean I'm a little more optimistic. I'm reading more on Alabama and man. I do a weekly show in Tuscaloosa and I gave them a hot take. I actually think Alabama in some aspects will be better coached this year than what they've been coached in the last couple of years. 

08:51 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
That's you know what I don't. That's you know it's a sneaky take there from BP. That that I like because if you look at the court when Saban was doing the coordinator shuffle in and out and reviving careers, you know is Kiffin Sark, the last couple years he kind of I don't want to say crapped out, but it definitely went from a level of coordinator who was power five head coach material that he was reviving to the Cleveland. 

09:21 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Browns tight end coach. 

09:23 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah. So I agree with you that there's there's some upside there. I don't, I don't hate that. I mean, do I think they're gonna beat georgia? No, um, but I was getting that type of price where, if, if they win that game I'm not saying they're guaranteeing themselves an sec title, but it would they would be in pole position, uh, to get there, and then you'd be sitting at, you know, so you'd be sitting real pretty there's no, there's no east and west anymore, right, right. 

09:53 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
So yeah, I mean, yeah, we'll see in that one. Uh, georgia kirby did not have good luck against his former mentor, uh saving outside the one title game. So I don't know if that's gone as far as that little hex that Alabama's had on Georgia, but I got to see it first there. But yeah, I thought, hey, when's the last time in the last 15 years we get Alabama at that price to win the SEC? It hasn't happened and I think they got a really good coach. So yeah, it wasn't my favorite bet that I made in the futures market, in the conference futures market, but it is a bet that I made. Uh rw fan in the chat. 

10:25
What's your thoughts on cincinnati? Over five minus 150. Uh, I see tent got involved on cincinnati. I originally was pessimistic on cincinnati. Uh, I respect tent. I just I'm not a satterfield guy, so I know they're going to be a much improved team. Got all five starters back on the offensive line. Uh, they were better than their record indicated last year as far as the. The stats said that. But I don't. I just I look at cincinnati getting much worse under satterfield in year one. Louisville getting much better without satterfield in year one under brahm I that I. I'm not there yet. Where are you? Did you take part in that tense? 

11:00 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
uh, overplay on cincinnati yeah, you know I took a little piece there. Um, I would say my the biggest sell is kind of what we talked about in regards to the big 12 in general of just without, you know, a real elite crop at the top. Yeah, and again, I'm not a I will align with you that I'm not the uh, you know, a satterfield truther either. But there's just going to not going to be a lot of the games where you would say, oh, they don't have a chance to compete in this game. And you know, like the first three weeks they've got an easy dub on Towson, we're a little down on Pitt with both of us, miami of Ohio, mac, I mean a good Mac team, but still a Mac team there. 

11:50
And then you go into conference and you know there'll be dogs in a lot of games. But I don't see, you know, uh, a spread where I mean they've got Houston at home, arizona state, colorado, I even, you know, west Virginia, iowa to me I don't know how many of those games you would say is not winnable. I mean at Kansas State, at UCF, at Texas Tech, obviously very tough. The rest of the schedule there, you know you'd be asking can they win three games in conference it's possible. So again I don't. I'm not going to. You know I don't love it as much as he did, but I think it has some legs there. 

12:26 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Everyone's giving me these positions on over in the Big 12. Somebody's going to be losing at some point. I've got people that are high on UCF, people that are higher on Baylor than I am. People love Utah to be the clear-cut winner in the conference. There's some people that, like Kansas this year, like Iowa State, I mean somebody's got to lose some of these games. So who is it? Is it Coach Prime in Colorado? I kind of hope so, because you and I have had that. 

12:56
So there we go there, charles. Oh, I want to say, guys, we're a little bit abbreviated show today. We're going to cut it off at right around 45. So 445, 450-ish at the absolute latest Person here has got to get his back hooked at. So we'll let you know who that is Charlie Kelly we'll let you guys ponder Trying to stay together. 

13:18
Yeah, we're getting old man. I have like blood work done today, so I'm getting to be that age where I got to go to the doctor or get it over with before football starts, cause it's tough to break away during football. Charlie Kelly in the chat long time watch. A first time commenter Love it. Thoughts on USC plus seven, week one LSU. Where are you at there? I, uh I originally laid six with LSU. Uh, I was. And this is like again February Lines are up. I'm thinking, oh, lsu's going to be better. People are thinking, oh, they lose the Heisman Trophy winner in Jane Daniels. I don't think they're taking that big of a step back. I was thinking their defense was going to be much improved and then they never got defensive tackles in the portal like I expected. 

14:01 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I'm kind of neutral on that game pun intended at a neutral site me and friend of the show franchise are actually head to head in this game. He likes it. He's on LSU, I'm on USC. We agreed to us I think six and a half was our number. We went head to head on again, do I think it's like a play of the? You know the year type at no, but I agree with some of the things you said. Where a little bit of, I think, the money that Brian Kelly was expecting some of that talent influx to get in, they didn't totally get it and I'm probably higher on USC than most going into this year. 

14:43
I like Miller Moss, I like Lincoln Riley. This is going to be hopefully they need to let me on forward progress for this take because of the Bears. I don't think Caleb Williams had that fan Last year. There were games that I think he kind of put them out of and it was all the Caleb. He wanted to go off script. I think if you put a guy with talent like Miller Moss in this offense with these receivers, he's going to be able to execute. And they got a real DC that kicked Alex Grinch to the fricking curb. And they got a guy who knows how to coach tackling and not like, oh, we're going to just try curb. And they got a guy who knows how to coach tackling and not like, oh, we're going to just try and strip the ball here. So real DC quarterback that I think can operate the Riley system within the mark. Give me USC in this one. I think maybe sprinkle a little bit. I think they're live there. 

15:38 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Is that best bat? 

15:38 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
material. For you it would be at seven, at six and a half, not so much. 

15:45 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
All right, there you go. Shop around folks. Grant in the chat, ohio State looking like the most complete team in college football this year Coaching, talent, depth, wise Howard, good enough to get a title. Four to one might be worth a bet. I'm not there. So I still have Georgia number one in my power ranks, because I do think quarterback matters, and Georgia's got a much better quarterback than Ohio state. So I would not make that bet. What say you? 

16:11 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I, I totally agree with you that one, I think Georgia's the better team. And two, I especially in the kind of this new playoff format, in that the 4-1, I would be more apt to it. In the old just four teams got in system. You add in some potential additional game teams that are coming up. I just think there's a little bit more variable there. And again, do they have maybe the most talented roster? Would I even say, yeah, you could sell me on that. But again, as you said, with the quarterback position, maybe the most talented roster, would I even say, yeah, you could, you could sell me on that. But again, as you said, with the quarterback position, and I just I don't. I don't love the way they're structuring the off, that this continues to be like we're going to man ball power. We brought in Chip Kelly. He likes to run it all up. I just don't love that in terms of winning a national championship. So four to one wouldn't be for me. I tell you, what, if they? What are they? 

17:09 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
heck, when is that that oregon games. I think on october 12th I have oregon right now. A short favor in that one. I would rather wait until after that game, win or lose. Yeah, involved in the buckeyes they go to oregon and they smash them. I'm like, okay, I mean this team legit and if I get a fair, price at that point. 

17:26 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Well, it's loss and we can get a better price, or yeah. 

17:29 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
So what I think? And again, I have oregon favored right now. They lose the game. I get better than four to one, so uh, because then I would kind of like ohio state in the rematch, in the big ten title game, so uh, and then they would you the rematch and the big 10 title game. So, and then they went to. You know, if they won the big 10 title game they'd get a, you know, top four seats. So yeah, just not enough yet. Let's wait until that October 12th showdown against Oregon to get involved there. 

17:51
Grant, also in the talking playoffs Notre Dame minus one 65. To make the college football playoff slightly juicy. They have a clear-cut route to go undefeated. Sneak in with one loss thoughts. I'll say it again I want to see them in A&M. That's a 50-50 game right off the bat. They lose it. I can get a plus sign next to the playoff and they can run the table. Or they win it. They look good, that's probably their toughest game in the schedule. I'll automatically think, hey, this team is going to be a clear-cut the rest of the way and they can lose one. I need the A&M game. I mean, that's the toughest game on their schedule. So I'd rather be involved in that market after that game. 

18:31 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, I tend to agree like that number and I know I don't love just like. Yeah, the schedule's a bit, you know, like it's pretty, you know sets up pretty well after that. But to me, like I need to see something more from like the team itself. I think Notre Dame is a good team. Do I think they're a team that can, like, has the pieces all together to run the table. It's not really there for me where I would want to lay minus 165. If you gave me even 2-1, three to one with that schedule, cause I agree and 11 and one, notre Dame is getting in the college football playoff regardless of which game they would drop there, even if they drop the Texas name, they run the table, they're in, even you know it's against cupcakes. But I don't want to lay that price Cause I don't think they're, you know, a truly elite team where they couldn't drop some of those games even that they would be favored in. So to me there's other ways I'd like to play Notre Dame than laying that to get in. 

19:32 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, I mean I can't trust Freeman completely yet to win every single game that he's supposed to. He hasn't so far, the first couple of years. He's still a young coach Again. If Notre Dame truly is going to take that next step, they need to win the A&M game. I'd like to see it first. Notre Dame program does not win these games, has not won a big time road game in a long time. Again, I think there's a good possibility. You can get a better price after week one, charlie Kelly, better price after week one, charl uh, charlie kelly again in the chat uh any big 10 and uh and or acc long shots you like. 

20:08
Iowa 61 smu 25 to 1 iowa. 

20:09 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
No way uh for me uh iowa six put another zero on that chuck before I'd want to get that price. Iowa six, you know what? Do you think? You're gonna beat ohio state, oregon, michigan, be the 10? Come on now, you're better than that, I think. 

20:24 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
three bats in the Big Ten. Iowa was not one of them. I can tell you that. 

20:27 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
You know who I bat in the Big Ten. 

20:30 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I'm Mr Chalk when it comes to conferences. Smu, yeah, 25-1 is okay. I just think that's a lot better. Yeah, yeah, yeah. Of the two, definitely SMU for me, my only hang. Look, I like the team on paper quite a bit. I bet SMU's win total over. I just worry about an upgraded strength of schedule. How does that impact them? Moving up from G5 to P5 and you know, p4, I should say and now expecting them to win the conference in year one? Yeah, I don't know. Nc state was kind of the long shot. I see, tent was big on virginia tech, I'm big on virginia tech this year. So there's there's three, four teams in that acc that can make a run at it. Smu be one of them yeah, that that would be. 

21:14 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
You know what I? I like the team better a little bit than than the way it sets up for them with the price of just. I tend to agree with you that first year coming up and it's like I think they can have a nice season. I don't know if they have the depth, especially on the trenches, to to put together a run in the acc where it's like a one loss acc schedule. I mean just the just the way it's going to go, like you're going to have to. You don't have much margin for error there. So I think you know like would it surprise me if SMU went nine and three or that type of thing? I know I had a really nice year. No, to win the conference, though I think it's probably a step too much for them. But of the two there, that one to me like the price better. Think it actually has the potential to be live that Iowa one if they got a cash out button hit the cash out button. 

22:08
my friend, Right, you know, take your money back and go. 

22:10 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
You know, have a nice dinner or something with the wife Onion man in the chat. What are your thoughts on Memphis? Under 9.5 minus 170? Actually kind of like Memphis this year. But nine and a half feels high, even with the juice. Yeah, I agree with that. Uh, I I don't. I'm still not sold yet as far as their defense. Uh, I made it nine, so minus one, 70 is starting to get to that. You know, if you, you know figure the factor in the juice, that's getting close to nine. But if you told me what to bet there, I would bet under nine and a half. The market's all over the board on Memphis. I see eight and a half, I see nines, nine and a half, nine would be my number. 

22:48 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, I would tend to agree Again, not a, not a price that I'm screaming, you know. I want to lay minus one, 70 at that. It's a Memphis and it's just. It's an improving American conference, I think, where I think, with some of the additions and the teams they have to face, I just think it could be a little bit trickier than it has been in years past. And I know another team that really tends to, you know, to drop a game they shouldn't per se over the years. And again, the style they play almost like we just said with an SMU, where they're not going se over the years. Um, and again the style they play almost like we just said with an smu, where they're not going to dominate the trenches. They might have some games where their defense you don't get, you know, absolutely falls off the reservation and that. So yeah, I'll tell you one thing I don't like. 

23:34 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Uh, in conference south florida, utsa two lane, three of the better teams in conference memphis got to play all of them on the road, plus that florida state non-conference. So yeah, I I mean, if you told me I had, but I had a little bit like it was minus 140 instead of minus 170. 

23:49 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Uh, I'm just telling you that would be in pocket yeah, no, because and I mean troy not an easy game for coming over from the belt and that they don't have an easy non-con at all. So, um, and then, as you said, improving acc. They've struggled. 

24:01 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
You know the floor. They'll be all in. On the florida state game they got at navy. Right after that they've struggled with navy on a year-in-year-out basis. 

24:09
Memphis I feel like I watch that game on like a thursday night every year and it's a close game. Uh, yeah, I, yeah on. Definitely nine would be my number there. So I'd shop around for that under. Let's see if you can get a little bit better than even minus 170. Uh, joshua in the chat, love your work. Guys circa. I did see this released. 

24:28
Uh, week zero one games, not too much variance as far as totals. They released here and today a couple hours ago have a few total circled. One big one on the radar, sam houston rice, 47 and a half seems low. I did not bet that one yet. Uh, I sent you five or six about what? Two weeks ago. Yeah, uh, I bet one today. Uh, I'll just say it, I'm not gonna hide, I bet jacksonville state, coast of carolina, under 61 and a half. I bet that one. Uh, I just think it's a little high. Jacksonville state, I know, runs a lot of tempo. They're one or two in the country in tempo but they don't score. I think I run a bunch of plays. They don't score coastal obviously. You know grayson mccall's not walking through that door anymore folks, he's not back for a seventh year. So I I just think in a very competitive week. One game uh 61 and a half is a little high, so that was the one that I bet uh the releases today. 

25:20 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, you know what I know? Our guy, ej Warner, moved over to Rice to be quarterback, who I like, sam Houston towards the end of last. I mean for a season and a half there they had about the worst offense like in the history of college. 

25:37
So if you're waiting, the last two years of Sam Houston offense, you might make this. You know total Houston offense you might. You might make this. You know total, like you know that 30, but they did show some life at the end of the season and start getting it together and putting up some numbers. 

25:49 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I would lean. I'm looking at my numbers right now. I'd lean over. 

25:55 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, I would be smaller, sam Houston. 

25:57 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I think it's a little bit of an upgrade. He can run around. I actually thought he did okay with Central Michigan last year. He's in the mix there at quarterback. I, like Warner, I haven't bet it yet though. 

26:08 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, I was going to say the number doesn't. I would lean that way as well. You know, if we're talking it's 45 or something, then I'd be kind of there. I think there's probably one that still closes kind of in the high 40s. But yeah, I would lean that way. I don't hate the thoughts there. 

26:27 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I'll be honest when it comes to overs. Unless I know they're making a schematic change, they're going to run a bunch of tempo. I kind of like the weight weather. I'm just not a big, you know just from the past. I got a bunch of over tickets. I'm just not a big. You know just from the past. I got a bunch of over tickets and then you know, oh, we got a front coming through, we got 20 mile an hour wind in a bunch of these games. I got to get a little closer towards the game week and I don't originate totals like I used to. I mean, there's a lot full disclosure. There's a lot sharper totals guys than me as far as making a line, knowing exactly where shit's going to silence oh yeah, I mean, I mean I, I agree with you strong, I'm more of I was a science guy. 

27:15 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Uh, you know been more of a science guy myself either. I know, usually the total stuff are people that send me totals. I bet the total. So, uh, yeah, but no, I mean I, I just you. 

27:25 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
You were flowing, baby, I was enjoying it no, I just, I mean, I know when there's a mistake in a total. I mean I know enough when, hey, that's off like five points, six points. But right now I didn't there wasn't a bunch that I thought were considerably off. Even the ones I sent you, I didn't think there was like slam dunk. Oh my God, this total is significantly off. I thought that whoever was doing them fan duel and then even today at circa, that they did a pretty good job. There wasn't anything stupid. Yeah, anthony in the chat, big fan of the show. Does Joey have anything to say about those Boston fraud boys now after their parade? 

28:00 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
It's a college football show, Anthony we're not talking. Nba here, nba off season. We'll see you. We'll see you in six months or hopefully, hopefully, with the Celtics team and never again. 

28:13 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
You are Zach Cause. It is a big game tonight. Game seven you got any thoughts? Game seven NHL tonight. 

28:20 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I actually took a little. There was one of the. I got some exchange access and some plus money popped on the Panthers like plus one, oh three, one oh four. So I took a little bit of that. I know everybody loves the Oilers. I know your girl Kate, a big Kate fan the Oiler girl. I know you're an Oilers man yourself. But yeah, I took a little Panthers plus money. I didn't see which members of Edgework were on, so hopefully Moreto and Alba aren't on the Panthers, but uh, yeah. So a little bit of, you know, a little bit of Panthers tonight for me hasn't the price moved significantly? 

28:59 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
yeah, no, there was. 

29:00 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
There was some Oilers. You can still get it. There's some like a few places. If you've got like Penny or exchange, have like plus 102, plus 104 on the Panthers. Oh, that seems what, what? 

29:12 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I know what it is. In the nba it's, like you know, home teams win like 75 80 percent of the time. What's in the nhl? A little less, I'm guessing yeah, it's definitely less. 

29:19 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
um, but I think my guy hold on here. I saw my guy uh one, I don't even remember his twitter name here, but basically the price has changed from game five in Florida. It's like a top-down approach. I remember I was going to call him by his actual name Top-down approach. Game five closed. Florida minus 144. And game seven in Florida. Now you can get plus 100, plus 103. 

29:50 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Has it ever happened in the Stanley cup finals? A three oh blown? Has anyone ever done it? No, I know three. 

29:56 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I don't think the Stanley cup. I know three O's have been done in the NHL, but I don't think the cup final, unless it's some you know like I'm sure Johnny and Rob will talk about like 1932. Hey, hey, hey the. 

30:09 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Leafs 1943,. I believe was the last time it was done in the cup finals. It wasn't really the Leafs. 

30:17 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, yeah, sorry, I had to jump in to say it Come on, give some respect. Well see, it was actually the American teams were fighting in a world war during this time. Whoever they're playing, they're playing like the third liners from Boston or something, because Boston's first line was good. 

30:36 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, they had to ship on over. There is a thing called D-Day and stuff. 

30:41 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, sorry, our guys were busy taking over France. 

30:48 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Very well done, guys. That's your hockey report for hit the books for this week. Michael, in the chat, more LSU overs this year lost their best players on their dreadful D. Oh should still be good this year. I'm not there. No, in fact, I'm kind of opposite. I think their staff and their defensive staff is better. I would tend to want to go unders Cause I I don't have the Heisman Trophy quarterback running around. I do think Nussmeier will be fine, but he's not going to be Jayden Daniels running around and opening up the offense. They don't have two first round wide receivers either. 

31:18 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Right? No for sure I think they'll slow it down a little bit too. Just overall, I said, as you said, with Nussmeier, I don't think the pace will be as frenetic with Daniels. Defense won't be as bad. So I tend to agree with you there and maybe, maybe you know a little hint there. On the week one total, all I'll say, man what are you doing? 

31:42 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
You know people are listening. I've been trying to keep that one on the wraps. That's a sneaky one. I'll just say that Damn. 

31:51
Damn you, damn you to hell. I got to look at right after that. I should be looking now because everything moves when we're talking, people are listening. I'm going to have to bet that as soon as after the show Spam me in the chat Thoughts on UTSA to win the AAC. I've said this multiple times on the show. I did get involved in the conference future markets. I like UTSA. This year I am actually much higher on UTSA than the market Bet over their win total. I bet them to win the AAC. I know everyone's talking Memphis in that league. I think UTSA is right there. I love Jeff Traylor. I know they lose their all-everything quarterback. Frank Harris was there. It felt like a decade but I like what he's done recruiting wise there. I like the coaching staff continuity. I like there. They got two guys up front on that defensive line. There are 300 plus pounders that are legit. Uh, they play better defense in memphis. 

32:43 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, I, I did bet utsa to win the conference well, price you bet, just because I five to one doesn't make me want to jump off the screen. I think it was a little bit better than that. 

32:51 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, I was assuming so, but I agree, and I know not too much, but I think six to one six to one is when I got it, or 650. 

33:00 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I remember and you talking about it's pinging my head when you said that just about trailers, recruiting at UTSA being some of the best recruiting classes like they've ever seen. And I agree with you and you saw it in some games last year, especially the bowl game, where it's like this team's got some guys that look like power five players in the trenches for a difference. So I don't hate that at five to one. Who's starting the name's escaping? Who's starting now? The Frank Harris is gone. Who's the McCown? Probably Quarterback to one. Who's starting the names escaping? Who's starting now for, uh, the frank harris has gone. Who's the? 

33:31 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
crown mccown probably uh quarterback played. 

33:34 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, he got a little bit. He looked okay. Yeah, he played when harris was hurt last year. Yeah, yeah, he got some snaps in again. 

33:40 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
They, they were down no panic in the bowl game. I think got down a couple touchdowns early, dominated marshall. After that point, uh, I, they got three. I mean to really go in the weeds here. They got three good running backs that are out there deep there again. This is a pretty deep team and you know they upgraded schedule last year, moved to the american, didn't miss a beat. I mean it came down to the what the tulane game, uh, in the regular season finale. As far as going to the american championship game, I, this is a legit program. I'm I'm surprised jeff traylor's still there. I just he's a really good coach. 39 and 14, he just wins. 

34:16
Yeah, I agree with you, I'm surprised the job opens up or something at the end of this year, that would be the guy I call I don't hate I. 

34:24 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I'm a little surprised too. There hasn't been as much interest in him as uh he must not enter. 

34:29 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
He interviews for all these jobs. He must not interview. Well, oh yeah, uh, charles in the chat, uh, for long shots to make the playoffs. Are you waiting for just uh, make or miss playoff markets? Are you just playing them to win the natty? I'll be perfectly honest. I'm waiting for, like circa or Westgate to open up, cause they usually in those markets they offer the best prices conference futures market. Why didn't I bet it? Well, I mean, I waited until Circa opened up and half my bets were in Circa. So I mean, that's just what it is. I'm just a professional shopper In those markets. I mean if the market's dealing 4-1 and somebody comes along and is giving me 7-1, which this happens all the time is giving me 7-1, then okay, now I'll bet it. So that's where I'm at in the playoffs. I I just I'm waiting. 

35:17
Have you bet too many playoffs? I bet one. I'll say I actually laid points, uh, laid points, laid the juice Oregon. I laid it to 15. That was my biggest one that I bet to make the playoffs, cause I thought they're not that far behind. In my opinion, ohioia, ohio state and georgia is being traded at minus like 600. Uh, minus 215. I thought was a little cheap. I thought that should have been in like the minus 350, minus 400 range on the ducks. So that's the only one I made I want. 

35:41 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I agree with your, your price sensitive uh, you know point there that the lowest hold will likely come from, uh, you know, circa there. However, no, this to me is the market that in season I'm most looking forward to where for where, I think, results and places reposting this. This to me is the market with the most potential for seeing things during the year that take advantage of, because the national title was never one that like it was always, you know, going into most years, it's like these four teams can be six teams. There's no really way. The price may small fluctuate, but you're never going to get. 

36:17
I think this year at least, it'll be intriguing to follow um of of what you're seeing potentially at during the year. When some teams lose, the way it's going to shake out and there's the great unknown of, you know it's like there's going to be some committee action. Who's voting to get in, who's going to win these can? It's anytime you're getting like the first of a kind thing. I think that's the best time to take advantage of, uh, you know some, some people that you know bookmakers that haven't priced us before in this type of scenario. 

36:51 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
So we'll see that folks is joey knish and that was the smartest thing said on today's show. Love it, totally agree. I think, as long as they're gonna and I think from everything I've actually I've literally asked several bookmakers are you gonna keep this up during the season? They have said yes. So I think that's the. The buy lows are going to be there because there will be some heads and flows. These teams are playing ridiculous. A lot of these teams are playing ridiculous schedules this year, even like a georgia I love. I mean at alabama, at texas, at ole miss, they're going to probably drop one of those games. Let's bet them after they lose one of those games instead. Uh, tom in the chat. Thoughts on charlotte, plus 10 in week one. Uh, james, madison might be getting a little overvalued. I do have charlotte in pocket. On that one I I tend to agree that 10 would be the uh. 10 or anything above 10 would be the right price there. On charlotte, have you bet that game? 

37:45 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
yeah, yeah, you know what we've talked. We've talked about jmu being a team that kind of got raided by Indiana and the coach going over there. I guess this is one of those. They'll be a little unknown of. How much of a step up can Charlotte make under Biff the next year? The offense was really brutal, for you know, last year and then how much of a decline to get Jay. 

38:05
so it would be a low confidence. I agree with you. I think taking the points there's the right side, but it's a low confidence. Because, I agree with you, I think taking the points there is the right side, but it's a low confidence because I think it's kind of how much of the gap can this like? For instance, if they're playing last year, I'm laying the hell out of JMU. Yeah, minus 10 versus Charlotte. So that's kind of the thing when you have that transition, as we've talked about a bunch of times in the show, where this is the year where, or like this is the new, the new college football, where teams instead of their you know one six point power rating change, like does Charlotte go up a touchdown and does JMU drop 10 points because they've lost everybody One of those. So again there's a little bit more unknown. I agree, I think 10, 10, one of those, that's all. Again there's a little bit more unknown. 

38:53 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I agree I think 10, 10 or better is the right side. Very high variance game, both teams and we were talking 40 plus new players, the roster for both teams. So very high variance game. Jmu might beat him by. I love bob chesney. Just want to say that love the new coach yeah, that's a winner, charlotte outright win. 

39:07 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
So wouldn't be stunned by either our boy, our man, bob Chesney. I'm glad he got that. I think he'll uh once he gets some players and uh I think he'll have JMU back rolling. 

39:16 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I think he's okay even this year because I mean their win total is what? Eight, eight and a half yeah, I haven't played the under, I mean it's. They get even though I've downgraded their power rating, you know more than a touchdown. Uh, they got a very advantageous schedule this year so I I think they'll be okay there. Charlotte's new quarterback is that Max Brown kid from Florida. I think they'll be an upgrade there at quarterback. 

39:35 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Oh, yeah, yeah, I agree Really bad quarterback play last year. 

39:39 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yes, it was bad. 

39:41 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Michael in the chat thoughts on Stanford TCU. 

39:44 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
That's going to be similar thoughts for me. Wanted to get Stanford plus 10 early, I got bet down. I'll tell you who bet it. Uh, what's his face? Blue horseshoe got involved. It's so funny that that line moved on week one right after we gave out stanford over win total on this podcast. So on this show I should say I yeah again. Tenor above is good. We talked about it. I actually think the line closes like eight, eight and a half tc there yeah, we talked about that previous shows agree with you. 

40:12 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Um, maybe you can find a place to give you like a 10 minus 120 at this point. Um, because I agree I think this could close this closer to a touchdown. Um, and stanford, maybe a little live here yeah, I think they are alive. 

40:26 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Uh, I just stanford's going from, you know, bottom five, returning production in the country to top five. There won't be a bigger. There might not be a bigger upgrade and I love their coaching staff. I thought that, you know, even last year when they were dealt a really bad hand, somehow lost to an FCS team and still won three games. 

40:43
I know they're in a new conference, a lot of travel. They are dangerous team. I think on a weekend and-out basis I'll be betting them ATS. I bet them over their win total. Bet them in this week one game. Love Stanford, big buyer of them this year. Trevor in the chat, anything on Kentucky High production. 

40:56
Return on defense, georgia transfer linebacker. He's running back quarterback to the NFL. I think if Vandergriff can step in limit turnovers they'd get an upset or two. Also, I like Kentucky. I bet over six and a half Gave six and a half. Gave it out. People questioned it but I like it. I seem to be on an island on Kentucky. I think he's done a good job recruiting. Obviously they consistently find a way to win seven games every year, like what he did in the portal, the Ohio State running back kid that chip kid will be good. I think Vandergrift I mean I've seen enough on a couple spring games that'll be okay. I know people think he he's downgrade from Larry. I don't think Devin Larry was healthy last year so and I know it's not sexy, but go dive, deep dive into Kentucky's offense and defensive lines that their meat and potatoes are pretty good. 

41:41 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
So I I like Kentucky over six and a half that was going to be my, you know, and again, when we've talked Kentucky, it's the one it's. I agree that Leary wasn't that good and what? What do you get from Vandergrift, where I think he's kind of the great unknown, obviously big, big time recruit? Never really seemed like he was in the mix of Georgia, so don't know what to make of that totally. But I agree, like there's enough structure in place there to where they're always around you know, like they're they're never going to bottom out or anything like that to you know four or five wins. So I I think it's kind of on the razor edge as far as you know blood, like what it's going to be. But I don't hate the play either way. 

42:19 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
All right, we, we got to get to the nitty gritty here, cause you got to go. Do you got a best bet off top of your head? Are we going to? 

42:27 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
have to search. I didn't come in firing today. 

42:33 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
All right, I didn't either, but I'm looking at the chat. There are some I'm just going to give you. I've been talking about a lot of these conference things that I bet as far as conference futures, egg in the chat he sent this at 114, zach, western Michigan, mac, 10 to 1. I have made that exact bet, 10 to 1. I, I have made that exact bat, 10 to 1. I like that one. So that's another conference future. I told you utsa, I made that bet. Told you alabama, at plus 950, I made that bet. Uh, so there's three as far as conference conference futures bet a little to win a lot. Uh, I made all three of those bets. So hopefully, western Michigan, alabama, utsa, there's three. That should be good, right, instead of giving out another win total. 

43:15 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, no, I agree. Do you disagree? 

43:17 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
with any of them. The second year coach, I worry a little bit as far as new OC, new DC, but I think Miami's worse this year. Toledo's got nobody back. Northern Illinois can you trust him? That head coach is feast or famine. 

43:30 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I do like bg personally, uh, but western michigan is one of the bets that I made in that conference at 10 to 1 yeah, I don't you know what that probably the most, just a macro that the most disappointing I've been this year is that I thought most of the g5 futures were priced pretty well. Like there wasn't one of those. Like I remember when they came out I texted you. 

43:52
I was about to get the bag and get in the car and go run down there wasn't much yeah, we kind of, and again, those I agree, like I don't disagree with though, but there wasn't anywhere it's like, oh my god, we got a hit. So yeah, I don't hate that. Um, I think the mac pretty wide open, ninja, in general more so than a lot of years, like I would say more so than recent years, uh, where I think you've had a couple you know cream of the crop teams at the top, where I agree that Toledo, the Miami, ohios don't think they're on that level anymore. 

44:19 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
And for those of you that are really pay attention to what we say, there was a total mention on this show that is best bet material. I'm not going to say specifically, but if you were, listening closely, you know that's what it is. It won't be a sexy one. A lot of people are going to be like, oh, I'm at the over on those two teams. Uh, not this year, you know. Uh, so that's a very contrarian play. You got anything else, man, I wish you good luck at the doctor. 

44:44 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, hopefully, uh, you know Joey can be uh walking a little looser this week. 

44:49 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
All right. Well, we look forward to a more loose if that could possibly be Joey K on next week's show. And speaking of next week's show, we'll be back with you guys. Looks like there's a possibility we might be moving the show to this time to be determined. 

45:02 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I got Moreto. 

45:04 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Moreto's texting me during the show. Phillips is getting me before the show. I don't know there's chatter that they want to move the show time. 

45:12 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
We can have our social guy do a poll here. What time do people like? Whether the four or five. Sorry if we want to move it to the four time permanently. So yeah, we're open, we're flexible Sounds good. 

45:24 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
That is the man, the myth, the legend himself. Joey Knish For producer extraordinaire Zach Phillips. Sorry, joey Knish, for producer extraordinaire Zach Phillips. Sorry, guys, we didn't get to all the questions and comments today. Again, we got another week. Next Monday is July 1st and that's really. We're going to start heating up here. We're going to start doing some conference previews here in the next week or two. So for all that information and more, make sure you're checking out Hit the Books. And for Joey Knish, zach Phillips, I'm merely Brad Powers. You just watched Hit the Books, part of