MLB Betting Guide: Home Run Player Props & Best Bets Today (3/27/25)

2025-03-27

Welcome back to our weekly write-up on the best Home Run player prop bets! Come back for great off-market picks that we identify, and bet each of them over the long run to grow your bankroll!

 

 

How We Pick The Best Home Run Bets

Our proprietary Betstamp player prop comparison tool generates our player prop picks. It identifies bets where the odds offered are significantly higher than the true probability, Positive Expected Value (+EV) betting (Click HERE to learn more about what +EV Betting is!!). Our data and math-driven approach has won users MILLIONS over the past 3 years, and we aim to uncover valuable, mis-priced bets across various sports to provide disciplined, sustainable profit to users! 

 

 

CLE @ KC - 4:10 PM EST

 

Our Pick: MJ Melendez OVER 0.5 Home Runs +800 @FanDuel (Click HERE To Sign Up To FanDuel!)

Edge: 2.46% Expected Value

 

This pick is a good value because the true line in the market is at +778, while FanDuel offers the OVER at +800, providing bettors with a 2.46% Expected Value. MJ Melendez's last season stats showcase his potential for power with 17 home runs over 135 games, indicating that he has the capability to impact the outcome positively for bettors looking for home run upside. With other books having this number considerably lower (Pinnacle +551), it presents a great opportunity on Opening Day. 

 

Review: Click HERE to see our FanDuel review, promotions and more!

 

 

Maximize Your Sports Betting Winnings

One of the key things to keep in mind when betting Positive Expected Value picks is to make sure to properly manage your bankroll & only bet the correct percentage based on the edge identified. Click HERE to learn more about BANKROLL MANAGEMENT!

 

Want More Picks?

Finding profitable player prop bets doesn't have to be a challenge. If you're interested in seeing more bets like these, JOIN US in our FREE discord to get the best boosted & + EV bets of the day, links to the hottest promotions, and in-depth knowledge on how to beat the books: https://discord.gg/QSz6Yqwfq5 Or check out our daily MLB best bets posted every weekday. 

 

 

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